Jai Hind! Air India flight carrying 242 people heading for London crashes #PrayforCECA

[True Believer]

Retardec sinkies probably dont even know scoot going to hire 100 ceca pilots. Their turn next. Finally can draw cpf! Huat ah!

SIA shares will tumble further after more CECA pilots are hired; especially if they graduated from Uptron in India.

 

[Pinkieslut]

In spite of blowing up in mid-air from missiles fired by Pakistani fighter jets, all the Indian pilots safely returned home, according to the Indian Air Force. LOL!

That’s the magic of CECAs! Can talk dragon and phoenix until the dead become alive!

 

[Pinkieslut]

In spite of blowing up in mid-air from missiles fired by Pakistani fighter jets, all the Indian pilots safely returned home, according to the Indian Air Force. LOL!

That’s the magic of CECAs! Can talk dragon and phoenix until the dead become alive!

 

[True Believer]

That’s the magic of CECAs! Can talk dragon and phoenix until the dead become alive!

CECAs speak with forked tongues. That is why our SG ministers were so easily outsmarted into signing CECA.

 

[Pinkieslut]

In spite of blowing up in mid-air from missiles fired by Pakistani fighter jets, all the Indian pilots safely returned home, according to the Indian Air Force. LOL!

That’s the magic of CECAs! Can talk dragon and phoenix until the dead become alive!

 

[sbfuncle]

It's a Boeing 787-8 Dreamliner.

KNN, Scoot has plenty.

You are well learned with planes.
If you had worked in sfc, probably you will have alot to talk about with your ex mentor KNN

 

[Leongsam]

 

[Leongsam]

The SG Govt brings in CECA PMEs to steal our jobs, CECA doctors to kill our sick and now, CECA pilots to kill our higher SES who travel by air.

Evidence shows that it was not the Pilot's fault.

 

[sbfuncle]

More than 3000 people are killed worldwide in traffic accidents every single day so the death toll in this accident is just a drop in the bucket.

If more people rode bicycles instead of driving around in their dangerous cars the death toll would be so much lower.

I have done the maths on this.
You have to take into account the number of vehicles driving off and the number of planes taking off per day.

Plane taking off is far far lesser than that of a vehicle driving off on the road.

If you match them up, plane death number will be greater in number becos each plane take off with hundreds of passengers.

In other words, taking a plane is actually more dangerous than taking a car.
But airline companies will not tell you this else many people will fear to travel.

 

[Leongsam]

I have done the maths on this.
You have to take into account the number of vehicles driving off and the number of planes taking off per day.

Plane taking off is far far lesser than that of a vehicle driving off on the road.

If you match them up, plane death number will be greater in number becos each plane take off with hundreds of passengers.

In other words, taking a plane is actually more dangerous than taking a car.
But airline companies will not tell you this else many people will fear to travel.

I just did the math too.

Here's what I found when comparing probabilities:


Flying (Commercial Airlines): The risk of death is approximately 0.000009% per trip (1 in 11 million flights, based on global aviation data).


Cars: The risk of death is approximately 0.0001% to 0.001% per trip (1 in 100,000 to 1 in 1 million trips, depending on trip length and conditions, derived from U.S. crash data and average trip assumptions).


The conclusion therefore is that planes are still a lot safer even on a "per trip" basis.

 

[sbfuncle]

I just did the math too.

Here's what I found when comparing probabilities:


Flying (Commercial Airlines): The risk of death is approximately 0.000009% per trip (1 in 11 million flights, based on global aviation data).


Cars: The risk of death is approximately 0.0001% to 0.001% per trip (1 in 100,000 to 1 in 1 million trips, depending on trip length and conditions, derived from U.S. crash data and average trip assumptions).


The conclusion therefore is that planes are still a lot safer even on a "per trip" basis.

This data you found is taking the present number of flights.
Did you managed to get the data on the flight world wide per day vs the car driving off per day worldwide?

I couldn't get this data.
But I believe the number difference is like what you mentioned, a drop In the bucket, so I assume plane could be more danger or perhaps same as a car.

If we take your data, it simply means we are delaying the death count of a plane.
The actual risk factor has not been taken into account.

 

[ChopSengHuat]

Karma to India and this happened after India attacked Pakistan ?

 

[sbfuncle]

I just did the math too.

Here's what I found when comparing probabilities:


Flying (Commercial Airlines): The risk of death is approximately 0.000009% per trip (1 in 11 million flights, based on global aviation data).


Cars: The risk of death is approximately 0.0001% to 0.001% per trip (1 in 100,000 to 1 in 1 million trips, depending on trip length and conditions, derived from U.S. crash data and average trip assumptions).


The conclusion therefore is that planes are still a lot safer even on a "per trip" basis.

I think we will not be able to get the answer becos it will take many thousands of years for planes to take off in order to know the answer.

It was just an assumption maths.

 

[birdie69]

CECAs speak with forked tongues. That is why our SG ministers were so easily outsmarted into signing CECA.

The ministers were stupid and naive to sign the agreement, no minister in any other countries of the world has agreed the CECA agreement. Now, sinkies are the one paying the price for the stupid mistake and suffering, the country has become shitty and filthy.

 

[Leongsam]

This data you found is taking the present number of flights.
Did you managed to get the data on the flight world wide per day vs the car driving off per day worldwide?

I couldn't get this data.
But I believe the number difference is like what you mentioned, a drop In the bucket, so I assume plane could be more danger or perhaps same as a car.

If we take your data, it simply means we are delaying the death count of a plane.
The actual risk factor has not been taken into account.

? I just compare the number of plane trips vs the number of car trips that occur daily and use the accident and death statistics to work out the percentages.

 

[Leongsam]

I think we will not be able to get the answer becos it will take many thousands of years for planes to take off in order to know the answer.

It was just an assumption maths.

Why do we need many thousands of years of planes taking off? Why can't we just take the last 10 years of plane trips vs car trips and compare the death toll based upon available statistics from websites like statista.com ?

 

[sbfuncle]

Why do we need many thousands of years of planes taking off? Why can't we just take the last 10 years of plane trips vs car trips and compare the death toll based upon available statistics from websites like statista.com ?

Becos the number of planes taking off by trips for last 10 years cannot match up with the number of vehicle driving off on the road for the last 10 years, not even 100years, not even 1000 years, and not even 10k years.

I'm looking at a 1:1 trip risk
Only a 1:1 trip ratio can tell us the actual probability of a plane vs a car crash

As such, what you mentioned and airlines provides is merely a probability based on a lesser plane trips and luck doesn't really go by this manner.

 

[sbfuncle]

Why do we need many thousands of years of planes taking off? Why can't we just take the last 10 years of plane trips vs car trips and compare the death toll based upon available statistics from websites like statista.com ?

It is a better gauge to go along with luck.
By the 1:many car trips, the actual risk will be higher for planes although the data is showing much lesser risk.

 

[Leongsam]

Becos the number of planes taking off by trips for last 10 years cannot match up with the number of vehicle driving off on the road for the last 10 years, not even 100years, not even 1000 years, and not even 10k years.

I'm looking at a 1:1 trip risk
Only a 1:1 trip ratio can tell us the actual probability of a plane vs a car crash

As such, what you mentioned and airlines provides is merely a probability based on a lesser plane trips and luck doesn't really go by this manner.

Yes it does that's exactly how probability theory works.

The probability of being killed in a plane crash per trip that you take is total deaths / total trips over a period of time.

Similarly the probability of being killed in a car ride is defined the same way.

Of course the devil is in the details so if you're driving in a Nordic state the chances are a lot lower compared to driving in India or Africa. Same applies to plane trips international flights have a better safety record compared to domestic flights which are not stringently controlled by international codes.

 

[sbfuncle]

Yes it does that's exactly how probability theory works.

The probability of being killed in a plane crash per trip that you take is total deaths / total trips over a period of time.

Similarly the probability of being killed in a car ride is defined the same way.

Of course the devil is in the details so if you're driving in a Nordic state the chances are a lot lower compared to driving in India or Africa. Same applies to plane trips international flights have a better safety record compared to domestic flights which are not stringently controlled by international codes.

Probability is just a theory.
In real life situation it is not applicable.
We should aim to get the real probability as close as possible to achieve better leesult, in this case to match the number of trips.

It is same as sg pool always trying to scare punters that this team full of uncles probably will lose the match. But I always do my further in depth analysis and determine it is merely a trap and I bet it when most people dare not to.
The first level of probability doesn't work at all.