Armed conflict expected in the Taiwan Straits in the last 4 months of 2025

[syed putra]

The outlying islands are just 2-5 km off china mainland. And 30-40 km from Taiwan. Just give it to china. No need to fight.

A friendly gesture leads to long-term benefits.

 

[ftan42]

If the US had not taken action in 2016 during the Obama administration in SGS confrontation with China, it's unlikely they would have another opportunity to do so, given China's rapid advancements in high-tech military assets.

 

[syed putra]

If the US had not taken action in 2016 during the Obama administration in SGS confrontation with China, it's unlikely they would have another opportunity to do so, given China's rapid advancements in high-tech military assets.

SCS is in China's bsck yard. Just like Tibet, they are going to seize it.
But in Sarawak and Sabah case, maybe too late.
The Jiu hu bugger already extracting oil and gas all the way to Vietnam border.
And invited fellow Thai oil and gas company to JV in the venture.

 

[NanoRay]

SAF starlight base, equipment and personnel how?

I closed my remaining bank accounts in Taiwan last July in anticipation of a Chinese takeover.

 

[k1976]

The rise of the orang asli to retake the island. At last orang asli leadership has come forward to right the wrong and bring justice back to islands wrongfully seized from their grasp.

Problem ish these orang also is much fairer than Malay, how?

Learning from Sarawak experience, it dun ends well

 

[Chase]

The outlying islands are just 2-5 km off china mainland. And 30-40 km from Taiwan. Just give it to china. No need to fight.

China could seize Taiwan’s outlying islands, US intelligence report warns​

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/worl...ands-us-intelligence-report-warns/ar-AA1FyI0v

The Chinese are motivated

金門最辣！校花秀迷彩比基尼​

https://tw.news.yahoo.com/金門最辣-校花秀迷彩比基尼-034222283.html

 

[syed putra]

China could seize Taiwan’s outlying islands, US intelligence report warns​

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/worl...ands-us-intelligence-report-warns/ar-AA1FyI0v

The Chinese are motivated

門最辣！校花秀迷彩比基尼​

https://tw.news.yahoo.com/金門最辣-校花秀迷彩比基尼-034222283.html

Wow! That is Kiki hsieh at her best

 

[Chase]

We ignored such warnings before Russia's invasion of Ukraine

 

[k1976]

I closed my remaining bank accounts in Taiwan last July in anticipation of a Chinese takeover.

Just convert to Bank of China only…it has SG branch too

 

[Chase]

The person is likely to take over Xi in second half of this year if Xi fails to consolidate his powers.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wang_Yang_(politician)

 

[zhihau]

An armed conflict in Taiwan Straits is the most urgent geopolitical threat in 2H25.

With emerging social unrests, severe economic-slowdown and persistent shake-ups in Chinese military, it will be beneficial for the Chinese government to escalate tensions in Taiwan Straits between Sept - Dec of 2025; the hurricane season is largely over by China's National Day on October 1st.

Modern China has a long history of using external conflicts to consolidate powers within the government when the nation was in mess. Mao Zedong sent redundant troops and hungry orphans to participate in the Korean War and Deng Xiaoping invaded former ally Vietnam to consolidate his powers.

The current Chinese leadership and regime is in a precarious and weak state domestically. Amidst the meltdown in local real estate prices and surging youth unemployment, the Chinese leaders badly need an external conflict to shore up domestic support. It can be as simple as an takeover of Taiwan's Kinmen Islands that are just a few kilometers from China Mainland or slightly further Mazu Islands to consolidate their grip on Taiwan Straits.

Photo: Kinmen Coastal Defense

Moreover, President Trump is certainly lukewarm towards participating in external conflicts.

Such calculated move, inspired by Russia's annexation of Crimea, would be ideal and highly unlikely to trigger a full-scale battle with United States from the opposite end of Pacific Ocean. Doing so, will also serve as a good gauge before implementing further invasion plans.

In all fairness, the core objective is just to score a win (eg. Kinmen, Mazu) and no Chinese leader will really want to jeopardize their throne to take over the whole Taiwan.

Please read up on Sun Tze - War mongering leads you no where.

 

[Chase]

Please read up on Sun Tze - War mongering leads you no where.

https://news.creaders.net/china/2025/06/03/2876407.html

 

[zhihau]

https://news.creaders.net/china/2025/06/03/2876407.html

Reclamation of Taiwan is merely a question of time and PRC has plenty of that. 要耗多久就給美美國自己決定。

 

[jw5]

Please read up on Sun Tze - War mongering leads you no where.

I learn about war strategies from watching this tvb series.

 

[syed putra]

We ignored such warnings before Russia's invasion of Ukraine

Ukraine was used as a proxy by US to attack Russia you fool. Indirectly at first. By trumps first term in office, Ukraine army was boosted 4 times larger than it was when neutral. And armed to the teeth. Plus CIA had multiple listening posts at Ukraine's border with Russia.