[World] - Without America’s help, Taiwan would be conquered by the People’s Liberation Army in three months or less.

[UltimaOnline]

The wargaming tested 24 different scenarios focused on China attempting to seize the island by invasion in 2026. Crucial was the United States: without America’s help, Taiwan would be conquered by the People’s Liberation Army in three months or less.

The war game assumed the invasion would begin with an opening bombardment by China that destroys most of Taiwan’s navy and air force in a few hours. The Chinese navy would encircle Taiwan and begin ferrying a landing force of thousands of PLA soldiers and their equipment across the Taiwan Strait.

In what the war gamers called the most likely scenario, Taiwan’s army would bog the invaders down on the coast.


“Meanwhile US submarines, bombers, and fighter/attack aircraft, often reinforced by Japan Self-Defense Forces, rapidly cripple the Chinese amphibious fleet,” the report said.

“China’s strikes on Japanese bases and US surface ships cannot change the result: Taiwan remains autonomous,” it said.

Matthew Cancian of the US Naval War College said there were crucial variables on which that success depends.

First, he said, Taiwan itself must be determined to fight back.

Secondly, Japan must give its permission for the United States to launch counterattacks from its bases on Japanese territory.

Without that, Cancian said, “then the US intervention would not be enough to continue Taiwan’s autonomy.”

In such cases the human losses would be high, some 10,000 in the first weeks of the war. The war game raised important unknowns, such as whether the United States would risk nuclear war by attacking China directly.

It also asked if the US and Japanese public would be prepared to accept the losses that came with defending Taiwan, saying US losses could damage Washington’s ability to project global power for a very long time.

“The United States might win a pyrrhic victory, suffering more in the long run than the ‘defeated’ Chinese,” the report said.


https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...l-but-at-huge-us-cost-analysts-war-game-finds

 

[eatshitndie]

they have to do it fast or else age and attrition will catch up with them. and if retirement benefits get cut they stage protests.

 

[laksaboy]

If America finds its balls again, there's a good chance it will 'Yugoslavia' mainland China soon.

 

[oliverlee]

Rolling in tanks into Taiwan is both a distraction from the failure of the Americunts in Ukraine, but also a declaration of war against China. Get ready. Uncle Sam will try to scale the Great wall and conquer it by 2025. Fuck Biden and son

 

[red amoeba]

China need not physically invade Taiwan. They can do so economically. If not because of USA the world would be a better place.

 

[congo9]

The World would not be a better place if China win the war in Taiwan.

 

[congo9]

China need not physically invade Taiwan. They can do so economically. If not because of USA the world would be a better place.

If the CCP has some brain, they would not have come to this stage.
The education level for Xi Jinping is only primary school graduate. Let's put it this way. Uneducated bump don't have the IQ to run a country.

 

[Karmile005]

 

[laksaboy]

Taiwan has never, ever 'belonged' to mainland China. Of course those Tiong commies brainwash their citizens with revisionist history regarding this. The overseas low IQ PRC/CCP supporters ranging from the George Yeos to Dickson Yeos also believe this.

In fact, if Tiongs really want to 'reclaim' their territories, they should reclaim Vladivostok from Russia, which was once part of China. But they're chickenshit when dealing with the Ruskies.

 

[syed putra]

In fact, if Tiongs really want to 'reclaim' their territories, they should reclaim Vladivostok from Russia, which was once part of China. But they're chickenshit when dealing with the Ruskies.

I think xi jinping wants it back. But the area is not really han territory. Its Manchu.
The war in Ukraine is a goid example how china will bombard taiwan.
Currently i was told, russia uses 60k artillery shells per day. China may require loads of missiles to flatten defensive lines. And US may use former Clarke and Subic bay bases as launch pad instead of in japan. Philippines won't mind as eventually te may get their EEZ back, plus a bonus of a artificial islands.
Of course, war with two nuclear powers will not end like in the good old days.

 

[glockman]

Without the US and the might of western countries, commies and ruthless dictators would run riot. Long live independent Taiwan!