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Will LTK step out of Hougang safe haven ?

Sideswipe

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
That is not the point. There is no incentive for any minister to do that. As for LTK and oppositions, it's about entering the tiger's cave to capture the cubs.

Hougang with LTK as the incumbent is a safe seat for WP. It's a big dilemma for WP and LTK every GE wheater the latter should contest a GRC and risk losing WP only seat which he will win.

In 2006 GE if LTK was in WP team for Aljunied GRC, could he pull in an extra 6.5% of votes to win the GRC?

The reality are PP and Hougang SMC are no longer oppositions safe seats without CST and LTK. 人在情在 人走情走... their votes will not shift directly to their successors. PAP will have good chances of winning back the two SMC.
 

Queen Seok Duk

Alfrescian
Loyal
Hougang with LTK as the incumbent is a safe seat for WP. It's a big dilemma for WP and LTK every GE wheater the latter should contest a GRC and risk losing WP only seat which he will win.

In 2006 GE if LTK was in WP team for Aljunied GRC, could he pull in an extra 6.5% of votes to win the GRC?

The reality are PP and Hougang SMC are no longer oppositions safe seats without CST and LTK. 人在情在 人走情走... their votes will not shift directly to their successors. PAP will have good chances of winning back the two SMC.

What would you do if you were in LTK's position ?

I just don't want LTK to do a CST ... at least LTK's 'market value' is still high at the moment.
 

jw5

Moderator
Moderator
Loyal
Hougang with LTK as the incumbent is a safe seat for WP. It's a big dilemma for WP and LTK every GE wheater the latter should contest a GRC and risk losing WP only seat which he will win.

In 2006 GE if LTK was in WP team for Aljunied GRC, could he pull in an extra 6.5% of votes to win the GRC?

The reality are PP and Hougang SMC are no longer oppositions safe seats without CST and LTK. 人在情在 人走情走... their votes will not shift directly to their successors. PAP will have good chances of winning back the two SMC.
Low should stay in Hougang SMC.
The main problem with GRC is that the votes will be greatly influenced by the weakest 1 or 2 candidates and not the 1 or 2 strongest. It's not a risk worth taking.
Chiam's case on the other hand is different.
This could be his last elections and he wants to do something that he or any opposition party has never done. He has also a better case of anchoring a GRC and saying that he will have 4 or 5 young men and women to help him run the place, rather than saying that he wants to hold on to his SMC for yet another round, especially given his recent illness.
 

Sideswipe

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
Low should stay in Hougang SMC.
The main problem with GRC is that the votes will be greatly influenced by the weakest 1 or 2 candidates and not the 1 or 2 strongest. It's not a risk worth taking.

yes, agree. and LTK has to protect his own interests. It's very hard for him to leave his safe seat and contest a GRC where chances of winning even in Aljunied GRC are not high.

But I reckon Aljunied GRC is worth a gamble. PAP 12% lead in electoral term is a marginal constituency - this GRC is winnable...
 

kitelover3112

Alfrescian
Loyal
The prob with the opposition parties is that once the GE ends, they disappear or go back to doing their own thing. Only when the next one looms near, will they then appear again. As a Hougang resident, even though I hate to see the sight of that Eric Low fella with his smug face, one can't help but think he's still serious abt serving the constituency and helping out whichever way he can. Look at James Gomez, elections over only migrate to Sweden. What gives?
 
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