If they don't defect and ditch DPP ASAP they will be dead together with DPP & for good! For own survival they need to betray DPP & defect while they can! Filip side before poll and fuck DPP together with the other side. It is going to be a BIG LAND SIDE! Massively and Drastically!
https://tw.news.yahoo.com/【yahoo論壇／公孫策】倒戈風吹起，陳其邁危險了-010031621.html
【Yahoo論壇／公孫策】倒戈風吹起，陳其邁危險了
公孫策
21 人追蹤
政事觀察站2018年10月31日 上午9:00
圖片來源：中央社
高雄市長的選情現在是五五波，還是「差一大截」？雙方叫陣不免流於口水戰。然而。幾個跡象顯示，陳其邁的陣腳正在鬆動，包括民進黨創黨黨員、蔡英文的在地姊妹會要角、原高雄縣黑派操盤人公開表示支持韓國瑜等。
或許那幾位都不算什麼大咖，所以對實質選票的影響不大。然而，選戰跟軍事作戰最大的不同就在於，戰場在選民的腦袋裡，勝敗也在選民的腦袋裡決定。如果這幾個聲音出來，引發更多「倒戈」聲音，選民大眾的腦袋裡將會起連鎖作用。而軍事作戰的一個現象就會出現：最大的殺傷是在勝敗決定之後發生。簡單說，勝方在「追亡逐北」階段，比在戰鬥階段能夠取得更多戰果（包括土地和首級）。也就是說，如果倒戈的聲音持續出現，一旦累積超過臨界點，就會造成「潰退」，結果將一發不可收拾。
之前本專題說到武王伐殷（周武王討伐商紂王），勝利的重點是人心向著周，勝利的關鍵是姜太公的軍事天分，然而，牧野之戰是商紂王的正規軍對上周武王這邊的雜牌軍（800諸侯），結果卻是正規軍潰敗「血流漂杵」！
為什麼會這樣？因為「殷人倒戈」。（商朝都殷，故亦稱殷朝）
《孫子兵法》13篇的最後一段：
昔殷之興也，伊摯在夏；周之興也，呂牙在殷。……
意思是：當初商湯能夠取代夏朝，因為有伊尹輔佐，而伊尹瞭解夏朝內部情況；周武王能夠取代商朝，因為姜子牙瞭解商朝內部情況。
重點來了，伊尹和姜子牙在夏、殷都稱不上重要角色，但由於他們都是上智之才，想必都能提出夏、殷人民／軍隊最聽得進去的號召，那才是「殷人倒戈」的促成因素。（歷史文獻並沒有記載其過程）
另一場歷史上的決定性戰役：淝水之戰。
一統北方的前秦苻堅率百萬大軍南下，號稱「投鞭斷流」，而南方的東晉似乎不堪一擊，卻在開戰後，前秦大軍的後方，有一位漢人將領朱序喊了一聲「秦兵敗了」，百萬大軍就此潰敗，奔逃途中聽到「風聲鶴唳」都以為是晉軍追來——印證了文前說的，最大的殺傷是在勝敗決定之後發生。事實上，東晉軍隊根本沒有「戰」，只有「攆」而已，卻就此改變北強南弱形勢，持續南北均勢一百多年。
要說的重點在於，為什麼一句「秦兵敗了」會造成如此局面？
原來，北方的五胡「匈奴、鮮卑、氐、羌、羯」中，匈奴跟鮮卑是大族，而苻堅的氐族是小族，苻堅以武力統一北方，匈奴、鮮卑屈服於他的武力之下，是「人在矮簷下，不能不低頭」。而朱序深切瞭解這種情況，因此他不需要帶領軍隊倒戈（倒戈也沒多大力量），他只要喊出「秦兵敗了」通關密語，所有匈奴、鮮卑軍隊都會立即抽腿撤退——那是他們最想看到的事情（苻堅敗了，他們都活了），因此一聽到就立即反應（撤軍）。
回到高雄市長選舉。幾位原本都是鐵桿綠軍的人士，公開宣布支持韓國瑜，雖然稱不上「帶槍投靠／陣前倒戈」，可是代表意義是：反對民進黨可以開始大聲喊出了。這在民進黨執政20年的高雄市（原高雄縣更久），毋寧是人心思變的一個訊號。而這樣的情形如果是個案，事情過了就過了，但如果持續再出現，就會產生連鎖效應。且因為戰場是在選民腦中，最後發現「其實已經潰敗」，將是開票那天了！
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https://tw.news.yahoo.com/選戰恐全面慘敗-沈富雄-民眾對民進黨厭惡超乎想像-034334252.html
選戰恐全面慘敗？沈富雄：民眾對民進黨厭惡超乎想像
TVBS新聞網
5.4k 人追蹤
王雅惠
2018年10月31日 下午6:39
圖／翻攝自蔡英文臉書
4年前縣市長選舉，民進黨拿下13席、國民黨6席，然而隨著綠營執政屢遭質疑，年底選戰是否可能翻轉局面？民進黨前立委沈富雄預測，綠營輸掉高雄市和台中市的機會很大，恐怕將全面慘敗，他分析這次民進黨是「中央拖累地方選情」，並指「全台民眾對民進黨厭惡感遠超過他們想像。」
圖／翻攝自沈富雄臉書
民進黨前立委沈富雄近日接受中評社專訪分析年底選情，他指出對比2014年縣市長選舉，民進黨拿下13席，國民黨6席，今年民進黨最壞的情況是保6席或7席。沈富雄說，民眾矚目的高雄市和台中市已經平盤，國民黨目前上漲氣勢還未到頂點，認為綠營輸的機會很大，倘若高雄市輸了，連帶可能影響台中敗選，屆時民進黨恐全面慘敗。
沈富雄形容民進黨如今就像「雪崩」、「土石流」，認為此次綠營打選戰是「中央拖累地方」，但他也提到有些民進黨人士還不這麼悲觀，直言「猜不透為什麼他們會這麼樂觀」、「這次選舉，全台民眾對民進黨厭惡遠超過他們想像。」
圖／TVBS
沈富雄提到，民進黨打選戰採取守勢，這是脆弱的，而國民黨雖進攻能量有限，但被韓國瑜帶動起來，可能打破過去基本盤。他形容韓國瑜就像「葡式蛋塔熱潮」，過去曾風靡一陣子，他認為韓國瑜運氣不錯，遇上民眾對蔡英文政府累積的不滿，「這火柴一丟就燎原了」。
就算最後國民黨高雄、台中都沒贏，沈富雄認為「還是算小贏」，因為拿下宜蘭縣、彰化縣加起來就等同於台南市人口數；而若台中、高雄兩個贏一個，國民黨就算大贏；若兩都都贏則「天翻地覆」。
2018全台選戰風雲 TVBS最新大數據分析
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https://tw.news.yahoo.com/%E3%80%90yahoo%E8%AB%96%E5%A3%87%EF%BC%8F%E5%85%AC%E5%AD%AB%E7 %AD%96%E3%80%91%E5%80%92%E6%88%88%E9%A2%A8%E5%90%B9%E8%B5%B7%EF%BC%8C%E9%99 %B3%E5%85%B6%E9%82%81%E5%8D%B1%E9%9A%AAAE4%BA%86-010031621.html
[Yahoo Forum/Gongsun Policy] The wind blows, and Chen Qimai is in danger.
Gongsun policy
21 people tracking
Political Observatory, October 31, 2018, 9:00 am
Image source: Central News Agency
The election of Kaohsiung Mayor is now five or five waves, or is it a "poor"? The two sides are inevitably in the war of words. however. Several signs indicate that Chen Qimai’s footsteps are loosening, including the Democratic Progressive Party’s party members, Tsai Ing-wen’s local sister-in-law, and the former Kaohsiung’s black-speaking traders’ public support for South Korea’s Yu.
Perhaps those few are not big coffee, so the impact on the substantive votes is not great. However, the biggest difference between election campaigns and military operations is that the battlefield is in the minds of voters, and victory and defeat are also decided in the minds of voters. If these sounds come out and trigger more "reverse" sounds, the electorate's head will play a chain role. And a phenomenon of military operations will appear: the biggest killing occurs after the victory and defeat decision. To put it simply, the winner can achieve more results (including land and first level) in the "seeking and going north" phase than in the combat phase. That is to say, if the voice of the treaching continues to occur, once it accumulates above the critical point, it will cause a "crash" and the result will be out of control.
Previously, this topic mentioned that Wu Wangcha Yin (Zhou Wuwang crusade merchants and kings), the focus of victory is the people's heart toward the week, the key to victory is Jiang Taigong's military talent, however, the battle of Makino is the regular army of Shangyu Wang to the last week of Wu Wang The side of the miscellaneous army (800 princes), the result is the regular army rout "blood flow"!
Why is this happening? Because "the Yin people are turned down." (Shang Dynasty is Yin, so it is also called Yin Dynasty)
The last paragraph of the 13th chapter of Sun Tzu's Art of War:
In the past, Yin Xing also, Yi Yi in the summer; Zhou Zhixing also, Luya is in Yin. ......
The meaning is: when the Shang Tang can replace the Xia Dynasty, because there is Yi Yin assisted, and Yi Yin understands the internal situation of the Xia Dynasty; Zhou Wuwang can replace the Shang Dynasty, because Jiang Ziya understands the internal situation of the Shang Dynasty.
The key point is that Yi Yin and Jiang Ziya can't be called important roles in Xia and Yin, but since they are all talented, they must be able to propose the most appealing call of the Xia and Yin people/military forces. That is "Yin. The contributing factor of people's rebellion. (Historical literature does not document its process)
Another decisive battle in history: the battle of drowning.
The former Qin Dynasty, who was in the north, was under the command of a million-strong army. It was known as "swinging off the flow", while the southern Jin Dynasty seemed to be vulnerable. However, after the war, behind the former Qin army, a Han Chinese general, Zhu Xu, shouted. "Qin Bing defeated," the million-strong army was defeated. On the way to the passage, he heard that "the wind and the cranes" thought it was the Jin army to chase it - confirming what the text said before, the biggest killing occurred after the victory and defeat decision. In fact, the Eastern Jin army did not have "war" at all, only "撵", but it changed the situation of the north and the south and weakened the situation. It continued the balance of power in the north and south for more than 100 years.
The point to be said is why the phrase "Qin Bing defeated" will cause such a situation?
It turns out that among the five huts of the north, "Hun, Xianbei, 氐, 羌, 羯", the Xiongnu and Xianbei are big people, while the Qiang people of the Qiang are small people, and the martial arts unite the north by force. The Xiongnu and Xianbei succumb to his force. It is "the person is under the dwarf, can't help but bow down." Zhu Xu is deeply aware of this situation, so he does not need to lead the army to turn his back (there is not much power in the reverse). He only needs to yell "Qin Bing defeated" customs clearance, and all the Xiongnu and Xianbei troops will immediately withdraw their legs. It was the thing they most wanted to see (they were defeated, they all lived), so they immediately reacted (withdrawn) as soon as they heard it.
Return to the Kaohsiung Mayor election. Several people who were originally hardcore greens publicly announced their support for South Korea's Yu. Although they could not be called "taking a gun and leaning against the front", the representative meaning is that the opposition DPP can start shouting out loud. This is in the Kaohsiung City where the Democratic Progressive Party has been in power for 20 years (the former Kaohsiung County is longer), and Suining is a signal of people's minds. If such a situation is a case, it will pass if the matter is over, but if it continues to appear again, it will have a knock-on effect. And because the battlefield is in the minds of the voters, and finally found that "in fact, has been defeated", it will be the day of the invoicing!
The original issue of this article, "Sun Tzu's Art of War, Sees the Twenty-Fourth of the Election," author authorized to reprint.
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https://tw.news.yahoo.com/%E9%81%B8%E6%88%B0%E6%81%90%E5%85%A8%E9%9D%A2%E6%85%98%E6 %95%97-%E6%B2%88%E5%AF%8C%E9%9B%84-%E6%B0%91%E7%9C%BE%E5%B0%8D%E6%B0%91%E9 %80%B2%E9%BB%A8%E5%8E%AD%E6%83%A1%E8%B6%85%E4%B9%8E%E6%83%B3%E5%83%8F-034334252.html
The election campaign is full of mishaps? Shen Fuxiong: The people are disgusted with the DPP beyond imagination
[TVBS News Network]
TVBS News Network
5.4k person tracking
Wang Yahui
October 31, 2018, 6:39 PM
Figure / flip from Cai English face book
Figure / flip from Cai English face book
Four years ago, the county mayoral election, the Democratic Progressive Party won 13 seats, the Kuomintang 6 seats, but with the Green Camp ruling repeatedly questioned, is it possible to overturn the situation at the end of the year? Shen Fuxiong, a former legislator of the DPP, predicted that Green Camp’s chances of losing Kaohsiung City and Taichung City would be great. I am afraid that it will be completely defeated. He analyzed that the DPP is “the central government drags down local elections” and refers to “the people of Taiwan The feeling of disgust in entering the party far exceeds their imagination."
Figure / flipping from Shen Fuxiong Facebook
Figure / flipping from Shen Fuxiong Facebook
Shen Fuxiong, a former legislator of the DPP, recently accepted an exclusive interview with the China Review Society to analyze the election results at the end of the year. He pointed out that compared with the election of the county mayor in 2014, the DPP won 13 seats and the Kuomintang 6 seats. The worst case of the DPP this year is to protect 6 seats or 7 seats. Shen Fuxiong said that the people's attention to Kaohsiung City and Taichung City has been flat, and the Kuomintang's current rising momentum has not yet reached its peak. He believes that the green camp loses a lot of opportunities. If Kaohsiung City loses, it may affect Taichung's defeat, then the DPP will fear. Totally fiasco.
Shen Fuxiong described the DPP as "avalanche" and "earth stream". He believes that the green camp election campaign is "the central drag on the place," but he also mentioned that some DPP people are still not so pessimistic. Why are they so optimistic?" "In this election, the people of Taiwan have aversion to the DPP far more than they imagined."
Figure / TVBS
Figure / TVBS
Shen Fuxiong mentioned that the DPP’s election campaign took a defensive stance. This is fragile. Although the Kuomintang’s offensive energy is limited, it has been driven by South Korea’s Yu, which may break the basics of the past. He described South Korea as a "Portuguese egg tower boom". In the past, he used to be popular for a while. He thought that South Korea’s Yu had a good luck and met the people’s dissatisfaction with the Tsai-English government. "This match will be lost."
Even if the Kuomintang Kaohsiung and Taichung did not win, Shen Fuxiong believed that "it is still a small win", because the combination of Yilan County and Changhua County is equivalent to the population of Tainan City; and if Taichung and Kaohsiung win one, the Kuomintang will be big. Win; if both win, then "turn up".
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https://tw.news.yahoo.com/【yahoo論壇／公孫策】倒戈風吹起，陳其邁危險了-010031621.html
【Yahoo論壇／公孫策】倒戈風吹起，陳其邁危險了
公孫策
21 人追蹤
政事觀察站2018年10月31日 上午9:00
圖片來源：中央社
高雄市長的選情現在是五五波，還是「差一大截」？雙方叫陣不免流於口水戰。然而。幾個跡象顯示，陳其邁的陣腳正在鬆動，包括民進黨創黨黨員、蔡英文的在地姊妹會要角、原高雄縣黑派操盤人公開表示支持韓國瑜等。
或許那幾位都不算什麼大咖，所以對實質選票的影響不大。然而，選戰跟軍事作戰最大的不同就在於，戰場在選民的腦袋裡，勝敗也在選民的腦袋裡決定。如果這幾個聲音出來，引發更多「倒戈」聲音，選民大眾的腦袋裡將會起連鎖作用。而軍事作戰的一個現象就會出現：最大的殺傷是在勝敗決定之後發生。簡單說，勝方在「追亡逐北」階段，比在戰鬥階段能夠取得更多戰果（包括土地和首級）。也就是說，如果倒戈的聲音持續出現，一旦累積超過臨界點，就會造成「潰退」，結果將一發不可收拾。
之前本專題說到武王伐殷（周武王討伐商紂王），勝利的重點是人心向著周，勝利的關鍵是姜太公的軍事天分，然而，牧野之戰是商紂王的正規軍對上周武王這邊的雜牌軍（800諸侯），結果卻是正規軍潰敗「血流漂杵」！
為什麼會這樣？因為「殷人倒戈」。（商朝都殷，故亦稱殷朝）
《孫子兵法》13篇的最後一段：
昔殷之興也，伊摯在夏；周之興也，呂牙在殷。……
意思是：當初商湯能夠取代夏朝，因為有伊尹輔佐，而伊尹瞭解夏朝內部情況；周武王能夠取代商朝，因為姜子牙瞭解商朝內部情況。
重點來了，伊尹和姜子牙在夏、殷都稱不上重要角色，但由於他們都是上智之才，想必都能提出夏、殷人民／軍隊最聽得進去的號召，那才是「殷人倒戈」的促成因素。（歷史文獻並沒有記載其過程）
另一場歷史上的決定性戰役：淝水之戰。
一統北方的前秦苻堅率百萬大軍南下，號稱「投鞭斷流」，而南方的東晉似乎不堪一擊，卻在開戰後，前秦大軍的後方，有一位漢人將領朱序喊了一聲「秦兵敗了」，百萬大軍就此潰敗，奔逃途中聽到「風聲鶴唳」都以為是晉軍追來——印證了文前說的，最大的殺傷是在勝敗決定之後發生。事實上，東晉軍隊根本沒有「戰」，只有「攆」而已，卻就此改變北強南弱形勢，持續南北均勢一百多年。
要說的重點在於，為什麼一句「秦兵敗了」會造成如此局面？
原來，北方的五胡「匈奴、鮮卑、氐、羌、羯」中，匈奴跟鮮卑是大族，而苻堅的氐族是小族，苻堅以武力統一北方，匈奴、鮮卑屈服於他的武力之下，是「人在矮簷下，不能不低頭」。而朱序深切瞭解這種情況，因此他不需要帶領軍隊倒戈（倒戈也沒多大力量），他只要喊出「秦兵敗了」通關密語，所有匈奴、鮮卑軍隊都會立即抽腿撤退——那是他們最想看到的事情（苻堅敗了，他們都活了），因此一聽到就立即反應（撤軍）。
回到高雄市長選舉。幾位原本都是鐵桿綠軍的人士，公開宣布支持韓國瑜，雖然稱不上「帶槍投靠／陣前倒戈」，可是代表意義是：反對民進黨可以開始大聲喊出了。這在民進黨執政20年的高雄市（原高雄縣更久），毋寧是人心思變的一個訊號。而這樣的情形如果是個案，事情過了就過了，但如果持續再出現，就會產生連鎖效應。且因為戰場是在選民腦中，最後發現「其實已經潰敗」，將是開票那天了！
- 本文原刊「孫子兵法看選戰之二十四」，作者授權轉載。
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選戰恐全面慘敗？沈富雄：民眾對民進黨厭惡超乎想像
TVBS新聞網
5.4k 人追蹤
王雅惠
2018年10月31日 下午6:39
圖／翻攝自蔡英文臉書
4年前縣市長選舉，民進黨拿下13席、國民黨6席，然而隨著綠營執政屢遭質疑，年底選戰是否可能翻轉局面？民進黨前立委沈富雄預測，綠營輸掉高雄市和台中市的機會很大，恐怕將全面慘敗，他分析這次民進黨是「中央拖累地方選情」，並指「全台民眾對民進黨厭惡感遠超過他們想像。」
圖／翻攝自沈富雄臉書
民進黨前立委沈富雄近日接受中評社專訪分析年底選情，他指出對比2014年縣市長選舉，民進黨拿下13席，國民黨6席，今年民進黨最壞的情況是保6席或7席。沈富雄說，民眾矚目的高雄市和台中市已經平盤，國民黨目前上漲氣勢還未到頂點，認為綠營輸的機會很大，倘若高雄市輸了，連帶可能影響台中敗選，屆時民進黨恐全面慘敗。
沈富雄形容民進黨如今就像「雪崩」、「土石流」，認為此次綠營打選戰是「中央拖累地方」，但他也提到有些民進黨人士還不這麼悲觀，直言「猜不透為什麼他們會這麼樂觀」、「這次選舉，全台民眾對民進黨厭惡遠超過他們想像。」
圖／TVBS
沈富雄提到，民進黨打選戰採取守勢，這是脆弱的，而國民黨雖進攻能量有限，但被韓國瑜帶動起來，可能打破過去基本盤。他形容韓國瑜就像「葡式蛋塔熱潮」，過去曾風靡一陣子，他認為韓國瑜運氣不錯，遇上民眾對蔡英文政府累積的不滿，「這火柴一丟就燎原了」。
就算最後國民黨高雄、台中都沒贏，沈富雄認為「還是算小贏」，因為拿下宜蘭縣、彰化縣加起來就等同於台南市人口數；而若台中、高雄兩個贏一個，國民黨就算大贏；若兩都都贏則「天翻地覆」。
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[Yahoo Forum/Gongsun Policy] The wind blows, and Chen Qimai is in danger.
Gongsun policy
21 people tracking
Political Observatory, October 31, 2018, 9:00 am
Image source: Central News Agency
The election of Kaohsiung Mayor is now five or five waves, or is it a "poor"? The two sides are inevitably in the war of words. however. Several signs indicate that Chen Qimai’s footsteps are loosening, including the Democratic Progressive Party’s party members, Tsai Ing-wen’s local sister-in-law, and the former Kaohsiung’s black-speaking traders’ public support for South Korea’s Yu.
Perhaps those few are not big coffee, so the impact on the substantive votes is not great. However, the biggest difference between election campaigns and military operations is that the battlefield is in the minds of voters, and victory and defeat are also decided in the minds of voters. If these sounds come out and trigger more "reverse" sounds, the electorate's head will play a chain role. And a phenomenon of military operations will appear: the biggest killing occurs after the victory and defeat decision. To put it simply, the winner can achieve more results (including land and first level) in the "seeking and going north" phase than in the combat phase. That is to say, if the voice of the treaching continues to occur, once it accumulates above the critical point, it will cause a "crash" and the result will be out of control.
Previously, this topic mentioned that Wu Wangcha Yin (Zhou Wuwang crusade merchants and kings), the focus of victory is the people's heart toward the week, the key to victory is Jiang Taigong's military talent, however, the battle of Makino is the regular army of Shangyu Wang to the last week of Wu Wang The side of the miscellaneous army (800 princes), the result is the regular army rout "blood flow"!
Why is this happening? Because "the Yin people are turned down." (Shang Dynasty is Yin, so it is also called Yin Dynasty)
The last paragraph of the 13th chapter of Sun Tzu's Art of War:
In the past, Yin Xing also, Yi Yi in the summer; Zhou Zhixing also, Luya is in Yin. ......
The meaning is: when the Shang Tang can replace the Xia Dynasty, because there is Yi Yin assisted, and Yi Yin understands the internal situation of the Xia Dynasty; Zhou Wuwang can replace the Shang Dynasty, because Jiang Ziya understands the internal situation of the Shang Dynasty.
The key point is that Yi Yin and Jiang Ziya can't be called important roles in Xia and Yin, but since they are all talented, they must be able to propose the most appealing call of the Xia and Yin people/military forces. That is "Yin. The contributing factor of people's rebellion. (Historical literature does not document its process)
Another decisive battle in history: the battle of drowning.
The former Qin Dynasty, who was in the north, was under the command of a million-strong army. It was known as "swinging off the flow", while the southern Jin Dynasty seemed to be vulnerable. However, after the war, behind the former Qin army, a Han Chinese general, Zhu Xu, shouted. "Qin Bing defeated," the million-strong army was defeated. On the way to the passage, he heard that "the wind and the cranes" thought it was the Jin army to chase it - confirming what the text said before, the biggest killing occurred after the victory and defeat decision. In fact, the Eastern Jin army did not have "war" at all, only "撵", but it changed the situation of the north and the south and weakened the situation. It continued the balance of power in the north and south for more than 100 years.
The point to be said is why the phrase "Qin Bing defeated" will cause such a situation?
It turns out that among the five huts of the north, "Hun, Xianbei, 氐, 羌, 羯", the Xiongnu and Xianbei are big people, while the Qiang people of the Qiang are small people, and the martial arts unite the north by force. The Xiongnu and Xianbei succumb to his force. It is "the person is under the dwarf, can't help but bow down." Zhu Xu is deeply aware of this situation, so he does not need to lead the army to turn his back (there is not much power in the reverse). He only needs to yell "Qin Bing defeated" customs clearance, and all the Xiongnu and Xianbei troops will immediately withdraw their legs. It was the thing they most wanted to see (they were defeated, they all lived), so they immediately reacted (withdrawn) as soon as they heard it.
Return to the Kaohsiung Mayor election. Several people who were originally hardcore greens publicly announced their support for South Korea's Yu. Although they could not be called "taking a gun and leaning against the front", the representative meaning is that the opposition DPP can start shouting out loud. This is in the Kaohsiung City where the Democratic Progressive Party has been in power for 20 years (the former Kaohsiung County is longer), and Suining is a signal of people's minds. If such a situation is a case, it will pass if the matter is over, but if it continues to appear again, it will have a knock-on effect. And because the battlefield is in the minds of the voters, and finally found that "in fact, has been defeated", it will be the day of the invoicing!
The original issue of this article, "Sun Tzu's Art of War, Sees the Twenty-Fourth of the Election," author authorized to reprint.
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The election campaign is full of mishaps? Shen Fuxiong: The people are disgusted with the DPP beyond imagination
[TVBS News Network]
TVBS News Network
5.4k person tracking
Wang Yahui
October 31, 2018, 6:39 PM
Figure / flip from Cai English face book
Figure / flip from Cai English face book
Four years ago, the county mayoral election, the Democratic Progressive Party won 13 seats, the Kuomintang 6 seats, but with the Green Camp ruling repeatedly questioned, is it possible to overturn the situation at the end of the year? Shen Fuxiong, a former legislator of the DPP, predicted that Green Camp’s chances of losing Kaohsiung City and Taichung City would be great. I am afraid that it will be completely defeated. He analyzed that the DPP is “the central government drags down local elections” and refers to “the people of Taiwan The feeling of disgust in entering the party far exceeds their imagination."
Figure / flipping from Shen Fuxiong Facebook
Figure / flipping from Shen Fuxiong Facebook
Shen Fuxiong, a former legislator of the DPP, recently accepted an exclusive interview with the China Review Society to analyze the election results at the end of the year. He pointed out that compared with the election of the county mayor in 2014, the DPP won 13 seats and the Kuomintang 6 seats. The worst case of the DPP this year is to protect 6 seats or 7 seats. Shen Fuxiong said that the people's attention to Kaohsiung City and Taichung City has been flat, and the Kuomintang's current rising momentum has not yet reached its peak. He believes that the green camp loses a lot of opportunities. If Kaohsiung City loses, it may affect Taichung's defeat, then the DPP will fear. Totally fiasco.
Shen Fuxiong described the DPP as "avalanche" and "earth stream". He believes that the green camp election campaign is "the central drag on the place," but he also mentioned that some DPP people are still not so pessimistic. Why are they so optimistic?" "In this election, the people of Taiwan have aversion to the DPP far more than they imagined."
Figure / TVBS
Figure / TVBS
Shen Fuxiong mentioned that the DPP’s election campaign took a defensive stance. This is fragile. Although the Kuomintang’s offensive energy is limited, it has been driven by South Korea’s Yu, which may break the basics of the past. He described South Korea as a "Portuguese egg tower boom". In the past, he used to be popular for a while. He thought that South Korea’s Yu had a good luck and met the people’s dissatisfaction with the Tsai-English government. "This match will be lost."
Even if the Kuomintang Kaohsiung and Taichung did not win, Shen Fuxiong believed that "it is still a small win", because the combination of Yilan County and Changhua County is equivalent to the population of Tainan City; and if Taichung and Kaohsiung win one, the Kuomintang will be big. Win; if both win, then "turn up".
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