........ PAP .....hardcore or diehard supporters account for at least 35% of the votes. Being the largest employer and with a awesome party machinery and branch network, the party can easily capture another 15% to win in our first-past-the-post system.
I agree with your observation about the hardcore PAP support base-as shown during the last Presidential election(
35.2% for father of NS Research scientist Patrick Tan) and this Hougang BE (
37.9% for former policeman DC).
But I disagree they exclude those working in civil service / GLC's /NTUC's/PA ect2. At most PAP support is 40% .
So the issue the opposition have to focus on is the missing 20%.
Why a party which by all accounts have only maximum
support of 40% of the population can get more than 60% of the votes.
We must inject a sense of urgency into this as the mass importation of foreigners and the ease at which they issue citizenship
means the pappy is aware of this problem and trying to shore up its support base with foreigners.
The actual target is 10% -to reduce the pappy's votes to below 50%.
This is an achievable one as the 10% actually are not PAP supporters/sympathisers but still end up voting for the pappy in the GE but not PE/BE.