I think you are sadly mistaken if you hoping for an outlier outcome.
NSP has a very poor record for obvious reasons. If you look at their history and the people behind it, their aim had nothing to do winning a seat. Their aim was to stand for elections and the joy of acting like opposition candidates. Shiok Sendiri!
They have lost their deposits before. That is telling.
Your best bet is carve an identity that is distinctly non-NSP. Whether intentionally or unintentionally you have managed to do that. You have also managed to identify Mah and the HDB planning as the weak link rather than identify NSP or you are an asset or better alternative.
If you win votes, it because Mah is hopeless and the HDB policy of late has failed.
So far so good. Don't deviate.
If any else happens it has nothing to do with NSP or you.
In statistical terms, linear regression is actually flawed where you tends to depend on pass failures for future predictions. In such a case where you are projecting, you are simply saying that because in the past there is no success, thus the future is not be. This is flawed because there will always be the first incident break through which may not depend on past certainties. In fact, such break through CANNOT base on past certainties.
Goh Meng Seng