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Don't mix up the different kinds of sampling done. If those global polling companies can sample the actual votes, their results will also be the same as ELD. The logistics and methods for this is so trivial. Those global companies don't get to sample actual votes though, for the simple reason...

It's just basic statistics. Sampling is really this accurate and statisticians have known this for centuries.

Statistically, the population size (150k in your example) doesn't really affect the confidence interval that much. The main thing that affects confidence interval (aka margin of error) is the confidence level (almost everyone uses 95%) and the sample size (100 * number of polling stations). Most...

N=100 gives a 95% confidence interval of +/- ~10% If they are claiming +/- ~4%, then that means a minimum of 6-7 polling station results per constituency will be sampled for N=600+

Sorry, I'm calling to call BS on this 'straw poll'. Most polls do 1000 samples for a margin of error of ~3% 10000 polls is logistically implausible and hard to hide. If it had really happened, lots of people would have noticed and reported it. Furthermore the margin for N=10000 is ~1%, not 3%...

No they dan't. They can only win 4CF.

We don't actually have the luxury of that big plot of land to reserve for the solar panels. A LFTR would be nice though!

Too bad she doesn't have a life annuity...

Picked the wrong fight. Remember when she endorsed and supported TJS in PE2011? Politically naive.

Survival of the Fittest. The weak parties will see themselves losing their deposits, which should tell them that they should probably quit. PE2011 and BE2013 taught people that they should not be wasting their votes on weak candidates. We shouldn't worry about 3-cornered fights so much anymore...

This is actually good. If WP performs better and all the rest perform worse, the PAP will end up losing even more seats, even with 63%

Anyone remember back when TJS gifted the presidency to Tony Tan?

You're overestimating his popularity. SDP has shot their own foot many times in the past, but I can't see them making this kind of mistake this time. I can see Roy Ngerng ending up in RP though.

Re: The Hammer continues to focus on frivolous issues WP speaks a lot. Some people just refuse to listen, then say that WP is quiet. Hansard has all the proof one needs to show that WP has been speaking.

In GE2011, the moderate opposition parties (WP, SPP) performed far better than the hardcore opposition parties (SDP, RP) In PE2011, 34.85% voted for the moderate candidate while 25.04% voted for the hardcore opposition candidate. In BE2013, the combined hardcore opposition candidates couldn't...

Singaporean in GE2011, PE2011 and BE2013 have voted and the votes said that they want to see a moderate opposition in parliament, not a hardcore opposition.

From their 2011 manifesto http://wp.sg/manifesto/ Page 50

No, the CPF MSS will continue to increase after 2015, but this increase will be pegged to inflation. So based on Singapore's average inflation of 2.9% for the past few decades, you can expect the minimum sum to increase from $161000 in 2015 to ~$165500 in 2016, but of course this will vary...

The plan was to raise the minimum sum from $80k in 2003 to $120k (in 2003 S$ before inflation) in 2013, after which the minimum sum will be pegged to inflation. Because of the 2008 financial crisis, the $120k target was pushed back from 2013 to 2015 and the increments were made more gradual...