腰子没力！Kangaroo Think-Tank Warning Fellow Chow Ang Moh USA that it is MAGA TOO WEAKLY in Asia-Pacific! 1B1R will eat USA alive!

[Ang4MohTrump]

https://hk.news.yahoo.com/澳洲智庫警告-美軍在太平洋漸力不從心-045001966.html

澳洲智庫警告 美軍在太平洋漸力不從心

法新社

1k 人追蹤

2019年8月19日 下午12:50

澳洲智庫警告 美軍在太平洋漸力不從心
（法新社雪梨19日電） 澳洲一間高級智庫警告，美 國在太平洋已不再有軍事優勢，恐無力保護盟邦對抗中 國。 一份由雪梨大學的「美國研究中心」（United States Studies Centre）今天發布的嚴峻報告指出， 美軍是一支「萎縮中的部隊」，「危險地過度延伸，也 難以有效準備來對抗中國」。 報告作者們指因數十年之久的中東戰事、長年保護 夥伴的義務與經費難再支應足夠軍事投資，導致華府已 「戰略破產」，將使太平洋的盟邦暴露於危險。 「相對地，中國卻因大規模投資先進武器系統，使 其軍力對區域構成的挑戰日增。」 專家們相信，美軍若能部署陸基飛彈，並調整美軍 陸戰隊的角色，將是對抗中國的有效利器；此外，區域 集體防衛，像澳洲與日本分擔更多責任，也不可或缺。


https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...could-crush-some-u-s-military-assets-in-hours



Photographer: Mark Wilson/Getty Images

politics
China Missiles Could Overwhelm U.S. Military in Asia in ‘Hours’, Says Think Tank
By
Jason Scott

August 19, 2019, 9:35 AM GMT+8

• Sydney think tank warns of growing Chinese weapons arsenal
• New report recommends Australia increase its own stockpiles

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A decade of “delayed and unpredictable funding” for the U.S. military’s budget has seen America lose its primacy in the Western Pacific, giving the edge to an increasingly sophisticated China, a Sydney-based think tank warned.


China’s “growing arsenal of accurate long-range missiles poses a major threat to almost all American, allied and partner bases, airstrips, ports and military installations in the Western Pacific,” the University of Sydney’s United States Studies Centre said in a report released Monday.



“As these facilities could be rendered useless by precision strikes in the opening hours of a conflict, the PLA missile threat challenges America’s ability to freely operate its forces from forward locations throughout the region,” it said, referencing China’s People’s Liberation Army.



The report recommended that Australia, a major ally of the U.S., should “increase stockpiles and create sovereign capabilities in the storage and production of precision munitions, fuel and other material necessary for sustained high-end conflict.”


While China is Australia’s largest trading partner, the nations have been at odds over series of issues, including the Australian government’s ban on Huawei Technologies Co. from bidding for 5G contracts and its accusation that Beijing has been “meddling” in national affairs.



https://www.theguardian.com/austral...ndo-pacific-region-faces-unprecedented-crisis
US defence strategy in Indo-Pacific region faces 'unprecedented crisis'
Australia should diversify its network of defence allies as the military might of America weakens, report warns

Ben Doherty
@bendohertycorro
Sun 18 Aug 2019 19.00 BST Last modified on Mon 19 Aug 2019 05.26 BST



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Australia can no longer rely on the US alone for its security in the Indo-Pacific region, the United States Studies Centre report warns. Photograph: Ron Reeves/AP

America’s military authority is waning and it is ill-prepared to go to war with China in the Indo-Pacific region, a new report from the United States Studies Centre has warned, arguing Australia must move towards a shared reliance on a network of allies, in particular Asian militaries such as Japan, for its security.
The report, Averting Crisis, says America’s defence strategy in the Indo-Pacific region is in “the throes of an unprecedented crisis”, created by a mismatch between its ambition to remain the region’s dominant military power, and an overstretched armed force with falling and failing resources.
“Faced with an increasingly contested regional security landscape and with limited defence resources at its disposal, the United States military is no longer assured of its ability to single-handedly uphold a favourable balance of power in the Indo-Pacific,” the report, by the US Studies Centre’s Ashley Townshend and Brendan Thomas-Noone, says.

You can sell your soul for a pile of soy beans, or you can protect your people​

Mike Pompeo​

“China, by contrast, is growing ever more capable of challenging the regional order by force as a result of its large-scale investment in advanced military systems.”

The US will remain influential – it still spends broadly as much on defence as the next eight largest national defence budgets combined – but its military has been overstretched by two decades of counter-insurgency wars in the Middle East, and faces continuing global commitments, ageing equipment, and training cuts.

And while America wants to remain the dominant military power in the Indo-Pacific region, it faces growing deficits and rising public debt, as well as political resistance to continuing increases in military spending.




https://www.channelnewsasia.com/new...fic--warns-top-australian-think-tank-11821284

World US power waning in Pacific, warns top Australian think tank

A hard-hitting report from a top Australian think tank has warned that the United States no longer has military primacy in the Pacific AFP/Amy PHAN

19 Aug 2019 12:53PM
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SYDNEY: The United States no longer has military primacy in the Pacific and could struggle to defend allies against China, a top Australian think tank has warned.
A hard-hitting report from the United States Studies Centre at the University of Sydney released on Monday (Aug 19) said the US military is an "atrophying force" that is "dangerously overstretched" and "ill-prepared" for a confrontation with China.


If correct, the assessment has far-reaching implications for US allies like Australia, Taiwan and Japan who depend on American security guarantees.
Donald Trump's presidency has deepened concerns that Washington would not defend its allies in the face of aggression from China. But this latest report has suggested that the United States may struggle to help even if it wanted to.
Accusing Washington of "strategic insolvency", the authors said decades-long Middle East wars, partisanship and under-investment have left Pacific allies exposed.
"China, by contrast, is growing ever more capable of challenging the regional order by force as a result of its large-scale investment in advanced military systems," they warned.


Under President Xi Jinping, China's official defence budget has increased by around 75 per cent to US$178 billion - although the true figure is believed to be much more.
Crucially, Beijing has invested in precision ballistic missiles and counter-intervention systems that would make it difficult for the US military to reach contested areas quickly.
According to the report, "almost all American, allied and partner bases, airstrips, ports and military installations in the Western Pacific" lack hardened infrastructure and are under major threat.
That advantage could be used to seize territory in Taiwan, Japanese-administered islands or the South China Sea before US forces could get there.
Experts believe that the deployment of US land-based missiles and a changed role for the United States Marine Corps will be vital to countering China, as well as collective regional defence -- with the likes of Australia and Japan doing more.
In Australia, concerns have been growing about inadequate defences, prompting debate about whether the country should think about developing nuclear weapons.
Similar discussions are have periodically taken place in neighbouring Indonesia.
A separate report released on Sunday by the Australian Strategic Policy Institute recommended Australia boost and harden military capabilities in the thinly-populated north of the country.
"Because of the significantly reduced warning times for future conflict," wrote author John Coyne, it is likely the north of Australia will be used as a forward operating base or a "lily pad" to reach conflict zones.
The US military has already earmarked around US$210 million to boost a Marine Corps base near Darwin.
During a recent visit to Australia, Defense Secretary Mark Esper suggested the United States wants to deploy intermediate-range missiles in Asia. So far, the Australian government has stressed it has not received a formal request to host those weapons.
Source: AFP/ga

 

[Ang4MohTrump]

1B1R must CANNIBALIZE THE DESPERATE BANKRUPTED BEGGAR in one single gulp ASAP, no mercy no 2nd thought! MAGA! Fisnish it off! Take full control of all worthy resources from USA e.g. shelf oil to offset the tremendous WORLD RECORD DEBTS OWING.

 

[democracy my butt]

腰子没力=IMPOTENCE

 

[tun_dr_m]

Chinese Missile King Ace is making progress in technology at Hypersonic Speed itself. Gap of advantage is widening faster and faster. There is no chance of catching up with Chinese PLA. Yankees will no longer get any idea of what shot them any more. Every time the Chinese shot something it is likely to be yet another new model and more advanced weapon. Before you found out what it is, there is already yet another newer and more deadly weapon being shot.

https://mil.news.sina.com.cn/jssd/2019-08-19/doc-ihytcern1836604.shtml

外媒：中国将为055大驱配高超音速导弹 时速7千公里

2019年08月19日 09:39 新浪军事



660

星空-2号高超音速飞行器升空
中国高超音速系统“星空-2号”可对美国海军构成严重威胁。据《军工信使》16日报道称，在当今和中期美国将没有有效的手段应对这些武器，即便是标准-6也无可奈何。这枚火箭试验中速度达到了5~6M，即约1500~1800米\每秒。需要指出的是，“星空-2号”在30000米的高度飞行了1000公里的距离。该导弹将用中国海军水面舰艇上的垂直发射器发射，比如052D和055舰上的垂发系统。也就是说，“星空-2号”服役后可以成为中国海军的主要攻击型武器，而未来将把它们安装在潜艇和攻击机上，包括岸基轰-6和舰载歼-15。

星空-2号可集成在一个储运发射箱内
“星空-2号”高超音速飞行器的露面是在去年的8月，当时数张该导弹的试验照片出现在网上，人们怀疑这是中国有意披露这一新型武器。而在此前，中国已经多次试验了一种安装在中短程弹道导弹上的高超音速飞行器——东风-ZF，并且确信使用这一技术的第一种实战化武器就是东风-17，据称只需要8枚该导弹，就能瘫痪或消灭一支航母编队。紧接着，一种使用高空气球系留进行高空试验的高超音速弹头也亮相了，而一些公开的图片中也出现了至少三型高超音速飞行器在风洞中的图片，显示中国发展这类武器是多样性的。

中国用高空气球进行乘波体飞行试验
“星空-2号”高超音速飞行器有分析证明是使用了BP-12A短程战术导弹作为助推器来试验的，那次试验该助推飞行器飞行了400秒，在到达30000米的高空达到了5.5~6马赫的速度，这样计算下来整个有动力飞行距离可达700公里多一点。在抛弃整流罩之后进入了滑翔状态，外媒分析乘波体弹头可能又飞行了300余公里才命中了目标，这样“星空-2号”高超音速飞行器的射程就达到了1000公里。专家认为，“星空-2号”高达5.5~6马赫的速度，即使如今美国先进的舰载标准-6导弹，因为速度只有3.5马赫所以拦击的概率微乎其微。

中国舰载垂发系统可容纳星空-2
更重要的是，从“星空-2号”高超音速飞行器使用BP-12A短程战术导弹作为助推器并且是装载在其运输储存发射箱中进行试验的情况来看，该导弹未来最大可能就是成为舰载版高超音速武器，而且会装载到052D和055舰上的垂发系统中，从而成为未来中国海军进行远海作战的主要反航母武器使用。因为一旦脱离了东风-21D和东风-26的射程保护，即使是舰载的鹰击-18与鹰击-12，也很难突入美国海军航母战斗群F/A-18E/F的作战半径内发射，所以中国必需要具备在远洋作战时的反航母作战能力，这是中国远洋海军必须具备的战力。

打航母是海军一定时间内的主要作战目标

分析认为，从迹象来看，“星空-2号”高超音速导弹主要在30000米以下的高空飞行，这就没有了东风-21D和东风-26需要最后突破黑障的难点，再加上弹道末端采用的是乘波体速度为5.5~6马赫的高超音速，这使得对方的现代化拦截系统只能望弹兴叹。从中国公开的多次高超音速飞行试验来看，这种乘波体飞行器的技术已臻成熟，有希望近期装备于052D和055舰上的垂发系统，从而保护进行远洋活动的中国海军出现在全球大洋上。当然，就像俄罗斯的“先锋”高超音速导弹一样，“星空-2号”也会整合到轰-6K、歼-15、苏-30MKK、歼轰-7AⅡ以及歼-16等战机上去，以进一步延伸这些战机的作战范围和打击手段，从而最大限度的保护大多在印-太地区作战的中国海军的安全，当然也是对美国在亚太部署中程导弹的最好回应！（作者署名：军评陈光文）


Foreign media: China will drive the Hypersonic missile for the 055 drive at a speed of 7,000 kilometers per hour.
August 19, 2019 09:39 Sina Military
660

Starry-2 hypersonic vehicle lifted off

China's hypersonic system "Starry Sky-2" poses a serious threat to the US Navy. According to the "Military Courier" reported on the 16th, there will be no effective means to deal with these weapons in the United States and the medium-term, even the standard -6 can not help. The speed of this rocket test reached 5~6M, which is about 1500~1800m\sec. It should be pointed out that "Starry Sky-2" flew a distance of 1000 kilometers at a height of 30,000 meters. The missile will be launched with vertical launchers on Chinese naval surface ships, such as the 052D and 055 ship's sling system. In other words, "Starry Sky-2" can become the main attack weapon of the Chinese Navy after its service, and will be installed on submarines and attack aircraft in the future, including shore-based bomber-6 and shipboard 歼-15.

Star-2 can be integrated into a storage and launching box

The appearance of the "Starry Sky-2" hypersonic vehicle was in August last year, when several test photos of the missile appeared on the Internet. It is suspected that this is China's intention to disclose this new type of weapon. Previously, China has repeatedly tested a hypersonic vehicle installed on medium and short-range ballistic missiles, Dongfeng-ZF, and is convinced that the first actual weapon to use this technology is Dongfeng-17, which is said to be only If you need 8 missiles, you can destroy or destroy an aircraft carrier formation. Then, a hypersonic warhead that used high-air ball tethering for high-altitude tests was also unveiled, and some public pictures also showed pictures of at least three hypersonic vehicles in the wind tunnel, showing that China’s development of such weapons is Diversity.

China uses high air ball for flight flight test

The "Starry Sky-2" hypersonic vehicle was analyzed and proved to be using a BP-12A short-range tactical missile as a booster. In that test, the booster aircraft flew for 400 seconds and reached 5.5 at an altitude of 30,000 meters. The speed of Mach 6 is calculated, so that the entire dynamic flight distance can be more than 700 kilometers. After abandoning the fairing, it entered the gliding state. The foreign media analysis of the wave body warhead may have flowed more than 300 kilometers to hit the target, so that the "Starry Sky-2" hypersonic aircraft has a range of 1000 kilometers. Experts believe that the "Starry Sky-2" is as high as Mach 5.5 to 6 Mach. Even today's advanced US shipboard Standard-6 missile, because the speed is only Mach 3.5, the probability of interception is negligible.

China's shipborne sling system can accommodate Starry Sky-2

More importantly, the "Starry Sky-2" hypersonic vehicle uses the BP-12A short-range tactical missile as a booster and is loaded in its transport storage launch box for testing. The missile may become the biggest future. The shipboard version of the hypersonic weapon, and will be loaded into the 052D and 055 ship's sling system, which will become the main anti-aircraft weapon used by the Chinese navy in the future. Because once the range protection of Dongfeng-21D and Dongfeng-26 is removed, even the ship's eagle -18 and eagle -12 will be difficult to penetrate into the operational radius of the US Navy aircraft carrier F/A-18E/F. Launch, so China must have the anti-aircraft combat capability when fighting in the ocean, which is the necessary force for the Chinese Ocean Navy.

Playing the aircraft carrier is the main operational target of the Navy in a certain period of time.

According to the analysis, from the indications, the "Starry Sky-2" hypersonic missile mainly flies at an altitude of 30,000 meters or less. This eliminates the difficulty of the Dongfeng-21D and Dongfeng-26 to finally break through the black obstacle, plus the end of the ballistic It adopts a hypersonic speed with a wave velocity of 5.5~6 Mach, which makes the other modern interception system only hope to sigh. Judging from the many hypersonic flight tests published by China, the technology of this type of spacecraft has matured, and it is hoped that the Chinese dynasty equipped with the 052D and 055 ships will be installed in the near future. On the global ocean. Of course, like Russia’s “Pioneer” hypersonic missile, “Starry Sky-2” will be integrated into the fighters such as H-6K, J-15, Su-30MKK, JH-7A and J-16 to further Extend the operational scope and means of attack of these fighters to maximize the protection of the safety of the Chinese navy, which is mostly operated in the India-Taiwan region, and of course the best response to the US deployment of medium-range missiles in the Asia-Pacific region! (Author's signature: Military Review Chen Guangwen)

 

[Ang4MohTrump]

https://mil.news.sina.com.cn/china/2019-08-21/doc-ihytcern2345752.shtml

澳智库有点慌：美国在西太平洋是“萎缩中的力量”

澳智库有点慌：美国在西太平洋是“萎缩中的力量”



58

原标题：澳大利亚智库称美国在西太平洋是“萎缩中的力量”，并呼吁“美澳合作”
[文/观察者网 李天宇]8月19日，澳大利亚悉尼大学的美国研究中心（United States Studies Centre）发布了一份报告，称美国在过去几十年里失去了“在西太平洋地区的首要地位”，变成了一支“正在萎缩的力量”。而这些专家给美国开出的“药方”则是“加强与澳大利亚和日本等‘地区盟友’的‘集体防御’”。
这份名为《避免危机：印度-太平洋地区的美国战略、军事开支和集体防御》（AVERTING CRISIS： AMERICAN STRATEGY， MILITARY SPENDING AND COLLECTIVE DEFENCE IN THE INDO-PACIFIC）的报告由该中心主任阿什利·汤森（Ashley Townshend）、研究员布兰登·托马斯-诺恩（Brendan Thomas-Noone）和助理研究员玛蒂尔达·斯图尔特（Matilda Steward）共同完成。
在报告摘要部分的第一句话，这些作者就写道：“美国已不再享有在印度-太平洋地区至高无上的军事地位，其维持力量平衡的能力越来越不稳定”。
自第二次世界大战结束以来，美国在西太平洋的边界位于日本、琉球群岛、台湾岛、菲律宾、泰国和澳大利亚的所谓“第一岛链”。但作者认为，美国过去二十余年里在中东付出了太多的损耗，并认为为中东地区“治安战”服务的体制不适合所谓的“大国竞争”。
报告称，美国目前正处于“战略破产”的危险之中，因为美国政治和外交界坚持一种过时的“超级大国心态”，即认为美国无论在经济还是军事领域都拥有无可匹敌的实力，不需要在二者之间战略权衡。
这种心态反映到现实中就是，美国在过去几十年来“不断恶化”的国际环境中一直致力于加强并维持同时打击多个对手的能力，结果这种努力影响了国家的财政，而财政问题反过来又迫使美国国会压缩军费，形成了一种恶性循环。
报告对美国国防战略的未来持悲观态度，它说：“在接下来的十年里，由于政治、财政和内部压力的综合因素，美国的国防预算不太可能满足其国防战略的需要。”
该报告的作者门希望美国把战略注意力集中在单独一件事务上——或者说，按照他们的意思，转移到“与中国在西太平洋的竞争”上。他们认为，美国目前在印度-太平洋地区“并没有为一场大国之间的竞争做足够的准备”，甚至已经成了该地区一支“正在萎缩的力量”。相反，中国的军事实力却在不断提升之中。
自1991年以来，美国空军的战斗机和轰炸机中队数量减少了58%，而战斗机的平均机龄也达到了26年。与空军相似，美国海军的力量自1987年以来也一直在下降，从当时的594艘舰艇下降到了今天的290艘。
报告以“菲茨杰拉德”号和“约翰·麦凯恩”号导弹驱逐舰在2017年发生的两起撞船事故为例，称美国海军体量的下降已经影响了其训练水平和部署效率。

美国军事人员的数量在冷战后期出现了明显下降。（图自该报告）

在日本横须贺港干船坞中等待维修的“菲茨杰拉德”号。（图自该报告）
报告还提到了战略威慑力量，渲染“中国导弹威胁”。作者声称，“中国越来越多的精确远程导弹，对美国及其盟国在西太平洋的几乎所有基地、简易机场、港口和军事设施都构成了重大威胁……由于这些设施有可能在战争爆发后的头几个小时内就被精确打击废掉，美国在该地区自由调动前线部队的能力也受到了挑战。”
对此，外交部发言人耿爽表示：如果你感兴趣的话，可以向军方询问。我能告诉你的是，中国坚定不移走和平发展道路，奉行防御性国防政策。
在报告的末尾，作者提出了一系列建议。不过这些建议与其说是提给美国政府的，还不如说是提给澳大利亚政府的。

这些建议的第一条就是“与地区盟友一同在印度-太平洋地区进行集体威慑”。他们希望澳大利亚政府“改变行动与战略规划”，用“复杂的高端能力”来满足其“盟友”的需要。
此外，报告还建议澳大利亚将其国防资源从中东地区转移到印度-太平洋。它说，在2001至2018年间，澳大利亚为在中东地区的军事存在总共花费了147亿澳元（约合人民币703亿元），同期只在印度-太平洋地区花了39亿澳元（约合人民币186亿元）。
报告作者认为，在中东地区的军事行动让澳大利亚付出了昂贵的代价，但获得的战略收益回报是“可疑的”。
他们还希望澳大利亚在其人烟稀少的北部地区进行更多建设，因为该地区在“印度-太平洋地区发生重大冲突”的背景下可以为其“盟友”提供人员及物资的中转节点。
从已经发生的新闻来看，澳大利亚似乎也的确有此打算。7月30日，澳大利亚外长佩恩表示，美国政府计划在澳大利亚北部的达尔文增建新的军事基础设施。这项计划将耗资2.115亿美元（约合人民币15亿元）。



关键字 : 美国亚太澳大利亚中国

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The Australian think tank is a bit flustered: the United States is "the power in shrinking" in the Western Pacific.
The Australian think tank is a bit flustered: the United States is "the power in shrinking" in the Western Pacific.
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Original title: Australian think tanks claim that the United States is "a force in shrinking" in the Western Pacific and calls for "US-Australian cooperation"

[Text / Observer Network Li Tianyu] On August 19th, the United States Studies Centre of the University of Sydney in Australia released a report saying that the United States has lost its "primary position in the Western Pacific" in the past few decades. ", has become a "strength of strength." The "prescription" that these experts have given to the United States is "strengthening the 'collective defense' with 'regional allies' such as Australia and Japan."

The report entitled "Avoid Crisis: AMERICAN STRATEGY, MILITARY SPENDING AND COLLECTIVE DEFENCE IN THE INDO-PACIFIC" was reported by the director of the center, Ashley. Ashley Townshend, researcher Brendan Thomas-Noone and assistant researcher Matilda Steward.

In the first sentence of the summary section of the report, the authors wrote: "The United States no longer enjoys the supreme military status in the Indian-Pacific region, and its ability to maintain a balance of power is becoming increasingly unstable."

Since the end of the Second World War, the United States has been on the western Pacific border in Japan, the Ryukyu Islands, Taiwan Island, the Philippines, Thailand and Australia. However, the author believes that the United States has paid too much depletion in the Middle East in the past 20 years and believes that the system of serving the "security war" in the Middle East is not suitable for the so-called "great power competition."

The report said that the United States is currently in danger of "strategic bankruptcy" because the US political and diplomatic circles insist on an outdated "superpower mentality" that the United States has unrivaled strength in both economic and military fields. There is no need for a strategic trade-off between the two.

This mentality is reflected in the reality that the United States has been committed to strengthening and maintaining the ability to simultaneously attack multiple opponents in the “deteriorating” international environment of the past few decades. As a result, such efforts have affected the country’s finances and financial problems. In turn, it forced the US Congress to reduce military spending, creating a vicious circle.

The report is pessimistic about the future of the US defense strategy. It said: "In the next decade, due to a combination of political, fiscal and internal pressures, the US defense budget is unlikely to meet the needs of its defense strategy."

The author of the report hopes that the United States will focus its strategic attention on a single matter—or, as they wish, to move to “competition with China in the Western Pacific.” They believe that the United States is currently "not adequately prepared for competition among major powers" in the India-Pacific region, and has even become a "shrinking force" in the region. On the contrary, China’s military strength is constantly improving.

Since 1991, the number of US Air Force fighter and bomber squadrons has decreased by 58%, and the average age of fighters has reached 26 years. Similar to the Air Force, the power of the US Navy has been declining since 1987, from 594 ships at that time to 290 today.

The report takes the two crashes of the Fitzgerald and John McCain missile destroyers in 2017 as an example, saying that the decline in the US Navy’s volume has affected its training level and deployment efficiency. .
The number of US military personnel has dropped significantly during the late Cold War. (The figure from this report) The number of US military personnel has dropped significantly during the late Cold War. (Figure from the report)
"Fitzgerald" waiting for repairs in the dry dock of Yokosuka Port, Japan. (Photo from the report) "Fitzgerald" waiting for repairs in the dry dock of Yokosuka Port, Japan. (Figure from the report)

The report also mentioned the strategic deterrent power to render the "China missile threat." The author claims that "more and more precision long-range missiles in China pose a major threat to almost all bases, airstrips, ports and military installations of the United States and its allies in the Western Pacific...because these facilities are likely to be after the war In the first few hours, it was accurately defeated and the ability of the United States to freely mobilize front-line troops in the region was also challenged."

In response, Foreign Ministry spokesperson Yan Shuang said: If you are interested, you can ask the military. What I can tell you is that China is determined not to follow the path of peaceful development and pursue a defensive national defense policy.

At the end of the report, the author made a series of recommendations. However, these proposals are not so much for the US government, but for the Australian government.

The first of these recommendations is “collective deterrence in the Indian-Pacific region with regional allies”. They want the Australian government to “change action and strategic planning” and use “complex high-end capabilities” to meet the needs of its “allies”.

In addition, the report also recommended that Australia transfer its defense resources from the Middle East to the Indian-Pacific. It said that between 2001 and 2018, Australia spent a total of A$14.7 billion (approximately RMB70.3 billion) for the military presence in the Middle East, and spent only A$3.9 billion in the Indian-Pacific region during the same period (approximately RMB 18.6 billion) yuan).

The authors of the report believe that military operations in the Middle East cost Australia a high price, but the return on strategic returns is “suspicious.”

They also hope that Australia will build more in its sparsely populated northern region, as the region can provide transit nodes for its “allies” in the context of “a major conflict in the Indian-Pacific region”.

Judging from the news that has already happened, Australia seems to have such plans. On July 30, Australian Foreign Minister Payne said that the US government plans to build a new military infrastructure in Darwin, northern Australia. The plan will cost $211.5 million (about 1.5 billion yuan).
Keywords : US Asia Pacific Australia China
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国防大学教授：中国军事发展成了谁的“威胁”？

2019年08月21日 08:05 环球时报



136

原标题：杨育才：中国军事发展成了谁的“威胁”？
澳大利亚悉尼大学日前发布了一项研究报告，认为美国在印太地区不再享有绝对军事优势，称中国持续增加的精准远程导弹数量，对美国、盟国与伙伴国在西太平洋地区几乎所有的基地、机场、港口和军事设施构成了主要威胁。
对于报告内容和相关观点须做具体分析，区别对待。其中，涉及中国导弹武器实力提升的内容，不拘泥于具体数字偏差，不必否认，不妨承认。进入新世纪，中国军队的战略威慑和实战能力显著提升属客观现实，对各军种建设，尤其火箭军的装备和战技术能力发展毋庸讳言。当然，对报告中观点含混不清或不准确的部分须加以澄清，谨防误导。如美国在印太地区不再享有绝对军事优势，这个事实自从有竞争对手建立起核战略威慑能力以来，就已经存在，改变远非始自近期，更不独因中国造成。同时，美国针对任何单个对手的总体优势依然突出，美军的体系支撑能力和各主要军种的实战能力都很强，加上军事同盟的作用，世界范围内罕有匹敌。此外，对臆想和蓄意鼓噪“中国威胁”的谬论，则须坚决予以揭露并驳斥。有关中国导弹对美国、盟国及伙伴国构成主要威胁的观点，完全是危言耸听、心怀叵测。
就国家军事建设的性质而言，中国是战略防御型国家，在地区范围内推行防御战略，主要进行的是防御性战略部署。既不存在威胁他国的战略，没有进攻性的军事战略部署，也不曾有威胁他国的历史。就如何解决现有国际利益矛盾问题，中国倡导平等对话和政治解决，从不以武力或使用武力相威胁。任何国家，只要对中国没有敌意，无意干预中国内部事务和蓄意侵害中国主权，则中国绝无与之敌对的军事选项。

就中国军事实力发展的现实看，说中国已经取得优势，要严格限定区域、局部和领域的范围。中国自身的统一问题还没有解决，有日益增加的海外利益需要保护，通过威慑和采取非战争军事行动，来维护国家军事安全与地区和平的战略需求巨大。至少现阶段，军队的发展现状还跟不上维护国家和地区安全的使命要求，建设海洋强国和世界一流军队的强军战略尚处于起始阶段。
如果非要说“中国威胁”，那可以是指中国针对可能的外部侵略和干预具备了一定的反制能力。中国日益强大的反干预能力，或者说“反介入”“区域拒止”能力，可能对潜在侵略者的凌霸行径和地区霸权政策构成了真实的障碍。
在“第三次抵消战略”框架下，美国提出了一系列新的战略和作战概念，均服务于对中国的遏制战略。论据包括美军加强针对中国南海主权的“自由航行”行动，舰机频繁穿航台湾海峡。中国面临的军事威胁才是现实的，迫切到如果没有一定的反制能力，恐怕针对中国和东亚一些国家的大规模局部战争早已降临。报告建议美国做必要的战略调整，把战略重心真正转移到印太地区，这种建议从美国的角度看或许不乏洞见，未来也可能成为“再平衡”中国的战略组成部分。（作者是国防大学教授）



关键字 : 中国军力导弹



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澳智库报告：驻扎亚洲美军已无法抵挡解放军先发攻击

澳智库报告：驻扎亚洲美军已无法抵挡解放军先发攻击



214

原标题：澳研究报告宣称：驻扎亚洲美军已无法抵挡解放军先发攻击

据美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）报道，澳大利亚悉尼大学的美国研究中心发布一份新的研究报告宣称，美国军方不再是亚洲的主要武装力量，因为中国迅速提升的军事实力，解放军的导弹部队可以在数小时内击溃在亚洲的美军基地。
悉尼大学美国研究中心的这份研究报告宣称，美国在印度太平洋地区的防御战略“正处于前所未有的危机之中”，可能很难在中国面前保护其盟友。这意味着澳大利亚、日本和其他美国的合作伙伴需要在该地区建立并重新调整其力量，并考虑加强与美国的合作，以确保其自身的安全。

这份研究报告重点介绍了，与美国及其亚洲盟国和伙伴相比，中国军队所取得巨大进步的领域，其中最主要的是在导弹方面。报告称，“中国部署了一系列强大的精确导弹和其他反干预系统，来削弱美国的军事优势。”报告还称这些导弹已经数以千计，并称几乎所有美国以及其主要伙伴和盟国在西太平洋的军事设施，都可能因在冲突开始的几个小时里遭到其精确打击而变得无用。
而在8月19日举行的中国外交部例行记者会上，外交部发言人耿爽表示不了解具体情况，需要再去了解和核实一下。但他强调，中国坚定不移走和平发展道路，奉行防御性国防政策。
CNN也向美国五角大楼就该报告发出置评请求，但截止至文章发表时尚未收到回复。

CNN报道称，澳大利亚的这份研究报告的大部分内容其实对五角大楼来说都不足为奇。早在2018年11月，美国国防战略委员会在向国会提交的一份报告中就表示，“美军可能遭受不可接受的高伤亡”，而且“可能会在一场针对中国或俄罗斯的战争中挣艰难取胜，甚至失败。”在六个月后，美国国防部发布的2019年度《中国军事与安全发展报告》称，中国有意发展出世界一流的军力，并成为“印度-太平洋地区的卓越大国”。根据这份军力报告中的说法，超过2000枚能够打击陆地和海上目标的短程和中程弹道导弹正是该计划的一部分。
而这项澳大利亚研究对美国能够跟上中国发展的能力产生了质疑，并警告美国称其正面临“战略性破产”的危机。例如，在美国对其核动力攻击潜艇舰队的需求更大的时候，舰队规模却正在萎缩。美国印度-太平洋司令部司令菲尔·戴维森在3月份告诉国会，他只能获得印度-太平洋司令部所需潜艇数量的一半。

悉尼大学的报告称：“简而言之，由于中国部署巡航导弹、高超音速技术和防空系统，水面之上的环境变得更加致命，美国在海底战争中的持久优势将在地区力量平衡中变得越来越重要。”
报告还称，澳大利亚和日本等合作伙伴必须加紧填补美国将要离开的空白。报告说：“华盛顿将要求其地区盟友和合作伙伴提供重要和持续的支持。”例如，该报告建议澳大利亚增加常规动力潜艇的产量，这些潜艇最适用于海岸线以及中国南海等地区的行动。此外，报告还鼓励通过盟友之间的通讯软件进行“集体防御”。



关键字 : 中国美国军力澳大利亚

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Professor of National Defense University: Who is the "threat" of China's military development?


August 21, 2019 08:05 Global Times



136



Original title: Yang Yucai: Who is the "threat" of China's military development?

The University of Sydney, Australia, recently released a research report that the United States no longer enjoys an absolute military advantage in the Indo-Pacific region, saying that China continues to increase the number of precision long-range missiles, to almost all bases in the Western Pacific region of the United States, its allies and partner countries, Airports, ports and military installations constitute a major threat.

The report content and related opinions must be analyzed and treated differently. Among them, the content related to the improvement of the strength of China's missile weapons is not limited to specific numerical deviations, and it is not necessary to deny it. In the new century, the strategic deterrence and actual combat capability of the Chinese military are obviously objective, and it is undoubted that the development of various services, especially the equipment and technical capabilities of the Rocket Army. Of course, the ambiguous or inaccurate part of the report should be clarified and beware of misleading. If the United States no longer enjoys an absolute military advantage in the Indo-Pacific region, this fact has existed since the establishment of a nuclear strategic deterrent capability by its competitors. The change is far from the recent, not even the cause of China. At the same time, the overall advantage of the United States against any single opponent is still outstanding. The US military's system support capability and the actual combat capabilities of all major branches are very strong. Together with the role of the military alliance, it is rarely matched in the world. In addition, the paradox of delusion and deliberate encouragement of the "China threat" must be resolutely exposed and refuted. The view that the Chinese missile poses a major threat to the United States, its allies and partner countries is completely alarmist and speculative.

As far as the nature of national military construction is concerned, China is a strategic defensive country, and its defense strategy is implemented within the region, mainly for defensive strategic deployment. There is no strategy to threaten other countries, no offensive military strategic deployment, and no history of threatening other countries. On how to resolve the existing contradictions in international interests, China advocates equal dialogue and political settlement, and never threatens to use force or use of force. Any country that has no hostility towards China and has no intention of interfering in China's internal affairs and deliberately infringing upon China's sovereignty will have no military options against China.

Looking at the reality of China's military strength development, China has already gained an advantage and must strictly limit the scope of regional, local and regional. China’s own reunification issue has not yet been resolved. There is a growing need for overseas interests to protect. The strategic need to maintain national military security and regional peace through deterrence and non-war military operations is enormous. At least at this stage, the current development of the military cannot keep up with the mission of safeguarding national and regional security. The strategy of building a strong military and a world-class army is still in its infancy.

If we have to say "China threat", it can mean that China has a certain ability to counteract possible external aggression and intervention. China's increasingly powerful anti-intervention capabilities, or "anti-intervention" and "regional refusal" capabilities, may pose real obstacles to the aggressive aggressor's tyrants and regional hegemonic policies.

Under the framework of the “Third Offset Strategy”, the United States has proposed a series of new strategies and operational concepts, all serving the containment strategy for China. The arguments include the US military's "free navigation" action against the sovereignty of the South China Sea, and the ship frequently traversed the Taiwan Strait. The military threat facing China is realistic. It is urgent that if there is no certain counter-attack capability, I am afraid that large-scale local wars against China and some East Asian countries have already come. The report suggests that the United States should make the necessary strategic adjustments and truly shift the strategic focus to the Indo-Pacific region. This proposal may be insightful from the perspective of the United States, and the future may become a strategic component of “rebalancing” China. (The author is a professor at the National Defense University)



Keywords : Chinese military missile



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Australian think tank report: the US military stationed in Asia has been unable to withstand the PLA's first attack


Australian think tank report: the US military stationed in Asia has been unable to withstand the PLA's first attack



214



Original title: Australian research report claims: the US military stationed in Asia has been unable to withstand the PLA's first attack

According to CNN, the American Research Center of the University of Sydney in Australia released a new study stating that the US military is no longer the main armed force in Asia because of China’s rapidly increasing military strength, the PLA’s missiles. The troops can defeat the US military base in Asia within a few hours.

The study by the Center for American Studies at the University of Sydney stated that the US defense strategy in the Indian Pacific region "is in an unprecedented crisis" and that it may be difficult to protect its allies in front of China. This means that partners in Australia, Japan and other US countries need to establish and realign their power in the region and consider strengthening cooperation with the United States to ensure its own security.

This research report highlights the areas in which the Chinese military has made tremendous progress compared to the United States and its Asian allies and partners, the most important of which is missiles. The report said that "China has deployed a series of powerful precision missiles and other anti-intervention systems to weaken the US military advantage." The report also said that these missiles have been thousands of, and said that almost all the United States and its major partners and allies are Military facilities in the Western Pacific may be rendered useless because of their precise strikes during the first few hours of the conflict.

At the regular press conference of the Chinese Foreign Ministry held on August 19th, the Foreign Ministry spokesperson Yan Shuang said that he did not understand the specific situation and needed to know and verify it. However, he stressed that China firmly adheres to the path of peaceful development and pursues a defensive national defense policy.

CNN also sent a request for comment on the report to the Pentagon, but it has not received a reply until the article was published.

CNN reports that most of the Australian research report is actually not surprising for the Pentagon. As early as November 2018, the US Defense Strategy Committee stated in a report to Congress that "the US military may suffer unacceptably high casualties," and "may be struggling in a war against China or Russia." Winning or even failing." Six months later, the 2019 "China Military and Security Development Report" issued by the US Department of Defense stated that China intends to develop world-class military strength and become "a great power in India-Pacific region." According to the military report, more than 2,000 short- and medium-range ballistic missiles capable of hitting land and sea targets are part of the plan.

The Australian study questioned the ability of the United States to keep up with China's development and warned the United States that it was facing a "strategic bankruptcy" crisis. For example, while the United States has a greater need for its nuclear-powered attack submarine fleet, the fleet is shrinking. The United States India-Pacific Command Commander Phil Davidson told Congress in March that he could only get half the number of submarines required by the India-Pacific Command.

The University of Sydney report: "In short, due to the deployment of cruise missiles, hypersonic technology and air defense systems in China, the environment above the water surface has become more deadly. The long-term advantage of the United States in the submarine war will change in the regional balance of power. It is getting more and more important."

The report also said that partners such as Australia and Japan must step up to fill the gap that the United States will leave. The report said: "Washington will require its regional allies and partners to provide important and sustained support." For example, the report recommends Australia to increase the production of conventional power submarines, which are best suited for operations on coastlines and areas such as the South China Sea. In addition, the report encourages “collective defense” through communication software between allies.



Keywords : China US Military Australia

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Including Pee Sai SG54, ALL USA BASES will turn into Mushroom Smoke Clouds within 15mins, when PLA Rocket Army starts the music.