US Think-Tank admitted that 1B1R will win WW3, shitlessly looking for ways out, struggling like a desperate cockcroach!

[Ang4MohTrump]

https://www.rt.com/news/461727-us-new-way-war-cnas/








US must develop ‘new way of war’ or risk ‘defeat’ to Russia & China – think tank
Published time: 13 Jun, 2019 00:41 Edited time: 13 Jun, 2019 07:00
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FILE PHOTO © Facebook / 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit/ Marine Corps / Lance Cpl. Harrison C. Rakhshani

The Pentagon’s military posture based on post-Cold War dominance will not work against new Russian and Chinese strategies and must be urgently updated, or the US risks losing a war against either power, a new report warns.
America needs a “new way of war,” according to a report authored by Chris Dougherty of the Center for New American Security (CNAS) and published on Wednesday.
“For the first time in decades, it is possible to imagine the United States fighting—and possibly losing—a large-scale war with a great power,” Dougherty warns.
While the US remains stuck in the “implicit and explicit mental framework” for military strategy and operations that emerged during the 1991 Gulf War, he adds, China and Russia have been devising new strategies and weapons to defeat the US in war should that become necessary.

The current American way of war will not work against China and Russia. They have gone to school on our way of war, but DoD's concepts and weapons systems haven't kept pace. https://t.co/nKbqeZEdFC
— Christopher M. Dougherty (@C_M_Dougherty) June 12, 2019​

Dougherty argues that Beijing and Moscow have “offset their relative weakness versus the United States by using time and geography to their advantage” and developed weapons and strategies to target US vulnerabilities, to the point they could defeat the US and allies in a regional war.
“The United States is a status quo power navigating a period of disruptive change,” he writes, and the way of war that emerged after the Cold War “will not work” in the present day and age.

There is no going back to the post–Cold War era of US military dominance.​

“It rests on a foundation of strategic and operational assumptions that were the product of an anomalous historical period of unchallenged US military dominance,” Dougherty wrote. “The assumptions from that period are now deeply flawed or wholly invalid and must be updated for an era of great-power competition.”
Also on rt.com US says it won't rule out nuclear first strike, because allies wouldn't trust it otherwise
No amount of money thrown at the Pentagon will help if it is used to invest in “flawed concepts.” This would be a waste of resources and “an enormous lost opportunity to make better investments,” Dougherty wrote.
The mere perception that a US defeat is possible could “unravel” the constellation of alliances and partnerships underpinning the global order that has benefited Washington since the end of the Second World War, the report warns.
Also on rt.com New US defense strategy: Return to global dominance, slimming down Pentagon
Dougherty has rung the alarm bells over this issue before, incorporating some of his insights into the January 2018 National Defense Strategy while he worked at the Pentagon.
A former US Army Ranger, Doughtery has also worked at the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments (CSBA). In 2014, he wrote a compelling essay in the National Interest about the short-sighted focus on short wars.
It remains to be seen how much of an effect his new study will have, however. While the Trump administration has raised the Pentagon’s budget repeatedly and pledged to rebuild the “depleted” military, it has had little love for CNAS. The think tank enjoyed considerable influence in Washington during the Obama administration, and has several of its veterans among its directors and advisory board.
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Seattle Is Dying: Drugs And Homelessness In Seattle








Posted By Tim Hains
On Date March 24, 2019



KOMO's Eric Johnson explores the impact the drug and homelessness problem is having on the city and possible solutions in this documentary titled, "Seattle is Dying."

"Let me ask you something. What if Seattle is dying and we don't even know it?" Johnson asks in the introduction. "This story is about a wave of seething anger that is now boiling over into outrage. It is about people who have felt compassion, yes, but who no longer feel safe. No longer feel like they are heard. No longer feel protected. It is about lost souls who wander our streets untethered to home or family or reality, chasing a drug, which in turn chases them."





"It is about the damage they inflict on themselves, to be sure, but also on the fabric of this place where we live. This story is about a beautiful jewel that has been violated. And a crisis of faith among a generation of Seattlites falling out of love with their home."

"There is another part of this story too, it is about a solution, an idea for a city that has run out of them," he continues. "And I ask again, what if Seattle is dying and we don't even know it?"

Read more about the documentary here, via KOMO News.


Related Topics: Seattle, Homelessness, Drug Addiction

 

[tanwahtiu]

There is no peaceful coexistence with BE 5 eye nations anymore ... hoot ahhhh...

 

[Ang4MohTrump]

US Think Tank said, USA will not be able to win war with China, and only to be dragged by China along, like a small car dragged by a train! Cannot dream to stop the train!

https://mil.news.sina.com.cn/china/2019-06-14/doc-ihvhiqay5557111.shtml

美智库：美军打不赢中国 可能还会被牵着鼻子走

美智库：美军打不赢中国 可能还会被牵着鼻子走



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下界九龙齐闹海：从美俄看中国未来战略核潜艇雏形1/18
查看原图图集模式
日前俄罗斯军事网站曝光了一组即将结束测试的俄罗斯海军首艘北风之神级改进版955A型战略核潜艇“弗拉基米尔大公”号的照片。关于北风之神级核潜艇，外界对其最熟悉的恐怕就是普京曾提到的那句话了，“即便把克里姆林宫卖了也要及时造出来”。作为俄罗斯海军第四代水下核战略打击主力，北风之神级可谓是集中了俄罗斯潜艇制造的最佳工艺，但为何俄罗斯仅建造了3艘之后就迅速推出改进型，这又能给中国未来战略核潜艇发展提供怎样的借鉴思路？本期《出鞘》就来谈中美俄新一代战略核潜艇。


原标题：大谈美国打不赢中俄 美智库反复渲染中俄威胁
[环球时报报道 特约记者 李强 本报记者 刘扬]海湾战争以来，美军在历次局部战争都取得了成功。而按照美国智库“新美国安全中心”（CNAS）的一份最新报告，目前美国的战争方式用来对付中国和俄罗斯已经“不灵了”。不过这个报告并没有明确给出美国需要的战争方式，而是像它的题目那样反复说为什么美国需要新的战争方式。换句话说，整个报告都是在渲染中俄威胁。
“可能是对手选择时间和地点”
美国“军事”网站12日报道称，根据“新美国安全中心”的最新研究报告，五角大楼计划发展用来突破俄罗斯或中国的复杂防御网络的武器和战略是在浪费时间，可能导致美国军队在未来战场上失败。
报道称，美国国防部2018年的《国防战略报告》已经让美国军队制订新的战争计划，旨在打败美国两个实力相当的对手——俄罗斯和中国。五角大楼正在将其许多现代化工作和作战概念的重点放在打败先进的反介入/区域拒止（A2/AD）网络上——从复杂的防空系统到破坏GPS和军事通信的复杂干扰武器——这些系统由这两个对手开发，以降低美国攻击的有效性。而按照“新美国安全中心”国防计划高级研究员克里斯托弗·多尔蒂的说法，这是一个错误。他最新发布的题为《为什么美国需要一种新的战争方式》的报告称：“A2/AD带来的挑战，导致美国国防部门的许多人错误地将其视为中国和俄罗斯的行动重心。”如果目标是打败敌人的A2/AD能力，那么“你是专注于错误的事情”。多尔蒂表示：“当你参加一场有人手持盾牌的战斗时，你不会把所有时间都放在用你的剑砍他们的盾牌……你应该努力找到绕过盾牌的方法。”
报告指出，五角大楼目前的战争方式“在与俄罗斯或中国的战争中并不能真正奏效”。美军方领导人长期以来一直相信一句话——“在我们选择的时间和地点与他们作战”，多尔蒂认为这种说法即便之前有效，对中国和俄罗斯这样的对手来说也会越来越没有效果。“这些拥有巨大军事能力的大国，如果美国和这两个大国之一爆发战争，很可能是他们选择时间和地点。”
美国当前战争方式是什么
那么，在作者眼里，美国目前的战争方式究竟是什么样呢？报告称，目前美国的战争方式被一些人称为“沙漠风暴模式”，主要对付像伊拉克或南斯拉夫那样的对手，他们缺乏顶级传统军队和核武器。
该报告认为，当前的美国战争方式包括以下特征：为和平时期的塑造行动维持前沿存在；通过“灵活的威慑行动”增加危机期间的存在；依靠来自战区盟友、伙伴和其他国家的飞越权和通道，利用本土和其他战区的庇护，在没有敌人攻击威胁的情况下部署部队；在数周或数月内在战区建立和维持远征部队，并在陆地和海上基地以及靠近敌方领土的集结地点集结部队；为战斗空间进行广泛的情报准备。
当条件具备后，在美国选择的时间和地点开始进攻行动，攻击对方的政权目标和指挥、控制、通信、计算机、情报、监视和侦察系统（C4ISR）。然后，在整个战区建立航空航天、信息和海上优势。攻击对手的防御部队和关键基础设施，以削弱其部队的实力，削弱其战斗意志，并系统地破坏对手政权及其军队的凝聚力。一旦敌军人数大大减少，战斗力降低并发生混乱就进行地面行动。将精确火力与快速机动相结合，通过信息优势、非常安全的后勤线路以及最低限度伤亡人数，来消灭敌军并控制关键地域。利用其他施压方式（外交、信息和经济方式）进一步扩大优势。
报告称，这种远征战模型在第一次海湾战争中被证明是极其有效的，1999年对南联盟、2001年针对塔利班、2003年针对伊拉克和2011年针对利比亚的战争使用了这一概念的各种“变种”。
多尔蒂表示，在海湾战争中，美军非常有效地进入并建立了部队，以消灭伊拉克的防空系统，然后按照自己的时间表实施作战。但对中国或俄罗斯来说，这种做法太慢了。
新战争方式还没定论
报告表示，对于习惯于美国军事优势及其防止重大战争能力的几代美国人来说，大国之间发生武装冲突的想法似乎极不可能，认为拥有世界上最昂贵武装力量的美国可能会打输这样一场战争的想法似乎是绝对荒谬的。然而，发生战争并且美国最终失败的可能性“是真实的，并且在不断增加”。
报告称，中国和俄罗斯花了将近20年时间研究当前的美国战争方式。中俄一直在制定新战略并开发新的概念和武器，以便在战争中打败对手。他们利用时间和地理优势来弥补他们与美国的相对弱势，并集中发展新型作战概念和新武器，以攻击美国军事行动中的脆弱节点。这些战略和概念的目标是创造一种看上去合理的制胜理论，即中俄避免与对手进行“公平斗争”，从而可能在地区战争中击败美国及其盟国和伙伴。中俄这些战略，曾经看起来难以置信或遥不可及，但目前已开始取得成效。他们正在改变关键地区的军事平衡，“美国军方在战场上没有上天注定的胜利权”。

报告称，美国需要一种新的战争方式，这种方式不是以历史上的国家力量对比为基础，而是要适应与拥有强大军队和大量非军事力量的大国进行长期竞争。中俄所构成的挑战既现实又艰难，但美国军事思想家过去曾遭遇过类似挑战。前几代美国军事专业人员赢得了针对纳粹德国和日本的两线全球战争，在核毁灭的阴影下建立了大国竞争和军事威慑框架，并开发出最终确定美国军事优势的技术和概念，从冷战后期一直沿用到今天。
不过，美国应该选择什么方式对付中俄，报告并没有给出明确答案。报告认为需要聚焦于以下4点：在对手选择的时间和地点进行有效战斗；更加重视信息战；在没有安全庇护的情况下作战；在没有某一领域优势的情况下，找出打败敌人侵略的方法。
一位中国军事专家对《环球时报》记者表示，这个报告实际上是在反复渲染中俄的军事威胁，大谈中俄的“侵略”。不过现实是美国采取咄咄逼人的战略对中俄施压。就中俄和美国军事实力对比以及所实施的战略来看，中俄不会以军力主动挑战美国，更不可能“侵略”美国。在这方面，该报告无疑是在颠倒黑白。


US think tank: the US military can not win China, it may still be led by the nose
US think tank: the US military can not win China, it may still be led by the nose
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The lower bound of Jiulong Qiuhai: from the United States and Russia to see China's future strategic nuclear submarine prototype 1/18
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A few days ago, the Russian military website exposed a group of photos of the Russian Navy’s first modified version of the 955A strategic nuclear submarine "Vladimir Dagong". Regarding the North Wind God-class nuclear submarine, the most familiar to the outside world is probably the one that Putin once mentioned. "Even if the Kremlin is sold, it must be made in time." As the main force of the fourth generation of the Russian Navy's underwater nuclear strategy, the god of the North Wind can be said to be the best process for the construction of Russian submarines, but why did Russia quickly build a modified model after only three ships, which can give China What kind of reference ideas for the development of strategic nuclear submarines in the future? This issue of "Sheathing" will come to talk about the new generation of strategic nuclear submarines in China, the United States and Russia.

Original title: Big talk about the United States, not winning China and Russia, the US think tank repeatedly rendering the Sino-Russian threat

[Global Times Report Special Reporter Li Qiang Reporter Liu Yang] Since the Gulf War, the US military has achieved success in all local wars. According to a recent report by the US think tank "New American Security Center" (CNAS), the current US war method is used to deal with China and Russia has been "not working." However, this report does not clearly state the way the war is needed in the United States. Instead, it repeats the question of why the United States needs a new way of war. In other words, the entire report is threatening to render China and Russia.

"Maybe the opponent chooses the time and place"

The US "military" website reported on the 12th that according to the latest research report of the "New US Security Center", the Pentagon plans to develop weapons and strategies to break through the complex defense network of Russia or China. It is a waste of time and may lead to the US military in the future. Failed on the battlefield.

According to reports, the US Defense Department’s 2018 Defense Strategy Report has allowed the US military to formulate a new war plan aimed at defeating two rivals in the United States, Russia and China. The Pentagon is focusing its many modern work and operational concepts on defeating advanced anti-access/area rejection (A2/AD) networks – from complex air defense systems to sophisticated interference weapons that destroy GPS and military communications. The system was developed by both rivals to reduce the effectiveness of US attacks. According to Christopher Dougherty, a senior researcher at the New American Security Center's Defense Program, this is a mistake. His latest report, "Why the United States Needs a New Way of War," said: "The challenge brought by A2/AD has led many people in the US defense sector to mistake it as the focus of action for China and Russia. "If the goal is to defeat the enemy's A2/AD capabilities, then "you are focused on the wrong thing." Doltier said: "When you participate in a battle with a shield, you will not spend all your time cutting your shield with your sword... You should try to find a way to bypass the shield."

The report pointed out that the Pentagon's current mode of war "cannot really work in the war with Russia or China." The US military leaders have long believed in a sentence - "to fight against them at the time and place we choose." Doherty believes that this statement will become more and more effective for opponents such as China and Russia, even if it is effective before. no effect. "These big countries with huge military capabilities, if the United States and one of these two big countries have a war, it is likely that they choose the time and place."

What is the current US war method?

So, in the eyes of the author, what is the current form of war in the United States? According to the report, the current US warfare is called “Desert Storm Mode” by some people, mainly against opponents like Iraq or Yugoslavia, who lack top traditional troops and nuclear weapons.

According to the report, the current US warfare includes the following characteristics: maintaining the frontier for shaping the peacetime; increasing the existence of the crisis through “flexible deterrence”; relying on the right of flying and the passage from allies, partners and other countries in the theater. Use local and other theater asylum to deploy troops without the threat of enemy attacks; establish and maintain expeditionary forces in theaters in weeks or months, and assemble troops at land and sea bases and assembly sites close to enemy territory ; extensive intelligence preparation for the battle space.

When the conditions are met, the offensive action begins at the time and place chosen by the United States, attacking the other party's political objectives and command, control, communications, computer, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance systems (C4ISR). Then, establish aerospace, information and maritime advantages throughout the theater. Attacking the opponent's defense forces and critical infrastructure to weaken the strength of their forces, weaken their will to fight, and systematically undermine the cohesiveness of the opponent's regime and its army. Ground operations are carried out once the number of enemy forces is greatly reduced, combat effectiveness is reduced and chaos occurs. Combine precision firepower with fast maneuvering to eliminate enemy forces and control key areas through information superiority, very safe logistics, and minimal casualties. Use other methods of pressure (diplomatic, information, and economic) to further expand your advantage.

According to the report, this model of expeditionary war proved to be extremely effective in the first Gulf War. The concept was used in 1999 against the Yugoslav Federation, in 2001 against the Taliban, in 2003 against Iraq and in 2011 against Libya. Various "variants".

Doherty said that during the Gulf War, the US military entered and established troops very effectively to eliminate Iraq's air defense system and then conduct operations according to its own timetable. But for China or Russia, this is too slow.

The new war method is still inconclusive

The report said that for generations of Americans accustomed to the US military superiority and its ability to prevent major wars, the idea of armed conflict between big powers seems extremely unlikely, and the United States, with the world’s most expensive armed forces, may lose. The idea of such a war seems to be absolutely ridiculous. However, the possibility of war and the eventual failure of the United States "is real and growing."

The report said that China and Russia have spent nearly 20 years studying the current American war. China and Russia have been developing new strategies and developing new concepts and weapons to defeat their opponents in the war. They use time and geographic advantages to compensate for their relative weakness with the United States and focus on developing new operational concepts and new weapons to attack vulnerable nodes in US military operations. The goal of these strategies and concepts is to create a seemingly plausible winning theory that China and Russia avoid “fair struggles” with their opponents and thus may defeat the United States and its allies and partners in regional wars. These strategies of China and Russia once seemed unbelievable or out of reach, but they have begun to achieve results. They are changing the military balance in key areas. "The US military has no right to victory on the battlefield."

The report said that the United States needs a new way of warfare, which is not based on historical national power comparisons, but is adapted to long-term competition with large countries with strong military and large non-military forces. The challenges posed by China and Russia are both realistic and difficult, but American military thinkers have encountered similar challenges in the past. Previous generations of US military professionals have won two-line global wars against Nazi Germany and Japan, established a major power competition and military deterrence framework in the shadow of nuclear annihilation, and developed technologies and concepts that ultimately determine US military superiority, from the Cold War. It has been used until now.

However, the United States should choose what method to deal with China and Russia, and the report does not give a clear answer. The report believes that it is necessary to focus on the following four points: effective combat at the time and place chosen by the opponent; more emphasis on information warfare; combat without security asylum; and finding out to defeat enemy aggression without the advantage of a certain field method.

A Chinese military expert told the Global Times reporter that this report is actually repeatedly rendering the Sino-Russian military threat and talking about Sino-Russian "aggression." However, the reality is that the United States has adopted an aggressive strategy to exert pressure on China and Russia. Judging from the comparison of the military strength between China and Russia and the United States and the strategies implemented, China and Russia will not actively challenge the United States with military power, and it is even less likely to "aggress" the United States. In this regard, the report is undoubtedly reversing black and white.
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[Ang4MohTrump]

Bankrupted Beggars borrowing $$$$ from China to build expensive and useless military toys to fight China?? Pathetically HOPELESS! Should be slayed without mercy!

 

[tanwahtiu]

A time will come China and Russia will expand their military complexes and setup military factories in S America that will stall US army like dogs with tail curled behind their legs...