Bank of America's top global strategist warns of growing bubble risk in the stock market as the economy heads for a no-landing scenario — and shares 3 charts showing the market could be headed for trouble
Michael Hartnett, Bank of America's top global strategist, thinks a no-landing scenario is the most-likely outcome for the US economy in the months ahead. That means the labor market would remain strong, but inflation would also stay above the Federal Reserve's long-term goal of 2%.
While that's fine for now, Hartnett warns it's a path that eventually leads to trouble for the economy and stocks. The longer inflation stays elevated, the longer the Fed has to keep policy restrictive or even tighten further, putting the economy at risk of a recession as businesses and consumers slow borrowing and spending.
Traders just pulled billions out of stocks and junk bonds
Elevated market valuations are now stirring investor angst
Pedestrians walk past the New York Stock Exchange.
Photographer: Michael Nagle/Bloomberg
By Denitsa Tsekova and Isabelle Lee
April 20, 2024 at 4:15 AM GMT+8
The great market rally of 2024 looks dangerously close to unraveling as Wall Street’s once-invincible bull brigade begins to withdraw its winnings.
With Treasury yields breaking out, Federal Reserve hawks ascendant and Middle East strife flaring, money has just been pulled out of equities and junk bonds at the fastest rate in more than a year. Dip-buyers have been muzzled. The S&P 500 fell every day this week as the top seven tech behemoths closed nearly 8% lower, with equity volatility climbing.