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Singapore Inflation to Stay Above 5% for a Few Months, MAS Says

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Bloomberg
Singapore Inflation to Stay Above 5% for a Few Months, MAS Says
September 02, 2011, 4:22 AM EDT
More From Businessweek
By Stephanie Phang

http://www.businessweek.com/news/20...o-stay-above-5-for-a-few-months-mas-says.html

Singapore’s inflation rate will remain higher than 5 percent
in the next few months even as “subdued” global growth may increase risks to the
economy, the central bank said. “Inflationary pressures remain strong,” the
Monetary Authority of Singapore said in a report on its website dated Sept. 1.
“Economic activity in Singapore is likely to grow modestly in the second half of the
year,” supported by Asian demand even as weaker growth prospects in the U.S.
and Europe heighten “downside risks,” it said.
Asian policy makers are juggling the need to contain inflation with protecting their
economies from a faltering U.S. recovery and the European debt crisis. Singapore
has cut its 2011 forecast for export growth as gross domestic product fell an
annualized 6.5 percent in the second quarter from the previous three months,
while the central bank raised this year’s inflation estimate to as much as 5 percent.

“The tight labor market could result in stronger wage growth and a greater degree
of pass-through to services costs,” the central bank said in its quarterly update on
recent developments in the economy. “Inflation is expected to remain elevated at
slightly over 5 percent in the next few months, on account of continued strong
increases in accommodation costs, before slowly trending down towards the
end of the year.”

Car Prices

Car prices will also contribute to inflation the rest of the year, the authority said.
Core inflation, which excludes accommodation and private road transport costs,
may be 2 percent to 3 percent this year
, it said.

The Singapore dollar has reached unprecedented levels since the central bank
said in April it would re-center the currency’s trading band higher and allow
further appreciation to tame price gains, the third policy tightening in a year.
The island uses the exchange rate as its main tool to manage inflation.

“MAS’ latest move took into account the impact of the pre- emptive tightening
moves in April and October 2010, which would continue to have a restraining
effect on economic activity and prices over the rest of this year,” the
central bank said.

--With assistance from Sean Collins in Singapore. Editor: Lars Klemming

To contact the reporter on this story: Stephanie Phang in Singapore at [email protected]
 
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