Probability of Numbers

[steffychun]

The probability of the PAP calling for a by election in Punggol East SMC

The probability of all oppo parties contesting

The probability of Yam Ah Mee declaring all nomination forms complete

The probability of dirty tricks during a by-election

The probability of the PAP team losing

The probability of the SDP Team winning.

 

[metalmickey]

The probability of the PAP calling for a by election in Punggol East SMC

50% because who knows if they will weasel out of this. This election will be more costly because they have something to lose.

The probability of all oppo parties contesting

0%

The probability of Yam Ah Mee declaring all nomination forms complete

70% because maybe the SDA might take part.

The probability of dirty tricks during a by-election

90%

The probability of the PAP team losing

20%

The probability of the SDP Team winning.

0% because they won't be contesting.

 

[Troll]

The probability of the PAP calling for a by election in Punggol East SMC - 10/10 (its only a matter of timing)

The probability of all oppo parties contesting - 5/10

The probability of Yam Ah Mee declaring all nomination forms complete - 8/10

The probability of dirty tricks during a by-election - 10/10

The probability of the PAP team losing 3/10

The probability of the SDP Team winning. 2/10