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Regulators Refusing to Act - Hyflux & Noble Group's Decline

JustLikeThis

Alfrescian
Loyal
Wet Wet Leak - Hyflux closed doors to new suitors after Salim/Medco Proposal. New offer was rejected by Hyflux Management & Maybank in concerted move.

With the revelation of the financial health of last Fiscal Year, potential suitor is now assessing if they should go public to make a hostile offer.
If so, terms of April 5 Voting expect to be amended Stay tuned!

NEA continued to be in discussions after Indonesians came into the picture but Olivia was sufficiently biased or bribed. M&A reps from a Chinese state-owned enterprise (SOE) also tried to engage Hyflux but they were also shut-out by Hyflux.

PUB is NEA's proxy. Last night's development came a day after post #451 because it is in the best interest of NEA.

Both Chinese SOE and NEA were prepared to go public because Hyflux's management was unfairly biased towards Indonesians. By going hostile, NEA checkmated the Chinese SOE (before the Chinese SOE can announce a better takeover deal in public). Doing so, will force the Chinese to withdraw their plans and NEA will avoid being blamed for blocking a good suitor again.
Looks like NEA don't intend to be a white knight and treats retail investors like beggar too. The White Knights are the Chinese but they don't want Olivia on board.


THE CHINESE STATE-OWNED ENTERPRISE IS HERE!!!
https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/20190614 Announcement on China investor LOI_final.ashx?App=Announcement&FileID=563634


The Company wishes to announce that it has received another non binding letter of intent for a potential investment in the Group by a potential investor based in China subject to regulatory clearance, due diligence and the execution of a binding agreement on mutually agreeable terms.

The Investor has previously executed a non-disclosure agreement and has commenced preliminary due diligence on the Group.

The Investor is a subsidiary of a state-owned enterprise in the industrial field which works on a global scale to provide comprehensive power services. Other fields of expertise of the Investor’s holding company include wind and solar energy solutions, nuclear industry, medical technology and agriculture
 

Filloz

Alfrescian
Loyal
THE CHINESE STATE-OWNED ENTERPRISE IS HERE!!!
https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/20190614 Announcement on China investor LOI_final.ashx?App=Announcement&FileID=563634


The Company wishes to announce that it has received another non binding letter of intent for a potential investment in the Group by a potential investor based in China subject to regulatory clearance, due diligence and the execution of a binding agreement on mutually agreeable terms.

The Investor has previously executed a non-disclosure agreement and has commenced preliminary due diligence on the Group.

The Investor is a subsidiary of a state-owned enterprise in the industrial field which works on a global scale to provide comprehensive power services. Other fields of expertise of the Investor’s holding company include wind and solar energy solutions, nuclear industry, medical technology and agriculture

@JustLikeThis , how do you get to know these earlier? You can't be just an investor.
 

Filloz

Alfrescian
Loyal
Hi guys, our lawyers have been in touch with the buyer. Buyer feels that they have the industry talent to lead Hyflux but I understand that the talks did not go well because Olivia Lum refused to cede management control.

Lawyer said Buyer described Olivia as "nonchalant". Very likely the talks in stalemate or Olivia might found another local backer who will retain her.
Fingers crossed.

Now I know why Olivia was nonchalant. https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/business/hyflux-potential-investment-from-china-firm-11629958
 

JustLikeThis

Alfrescian
Loyal
@JustLikeThis , how do you get to know these earlier? You can't be just an investor.

I have only stated the facts in this thread, time can prove. Hyflux is an elaborated cover-up by the government and Hyflux Board of Directors.

If you are the government,
Using ACRA or CAD to investigate will open a can of worms, such as DBS issuing debts to retail investors to bail out Accredited ones, force-feeding Hyflux with LNG and NEA's disqualifying China SOE from buying Tuaspring at near $1.5 billion, etc. Therefore, regulators will not intervene and government have to focus on expediting the demise of Hyflux and sweep the investors under the carpet because elections are coming. This is why the police (NEA) went on to kill the rape victim by confiscating Tuaspring.

If you are Olivia & Board of Directors
You just want a new investor who will continue to give you control over Hyflux. In this way, no one can pursue your false-accounting practices. It is not about finding someone who will bail-out the creditors and investors.

If you are the Creditor or Investor,
You aim to jail Olivia Lum & Board of Directors because that is the only way to remove them from the management. While the jailbirds can still vote in EGM or AGM through proxies, they can't stop forensic investigations about their past wrongdoings.


Hyflux – Singapore’s Enron

Hyflux, one of Singapore’s most iconic businesses, saw its market capitalisation peak above $2 billion in recent years with rapid growth in Singapore and global business. In 2011, Olivia Lum also became the first Singaporean women to be crowned Ernst & young World Entrepreneur of the Year award.

In a cruel mockery, Ernst & Young is now appointed as financial advisor to Hyflux’s debt restructuring, peddling a >90% loss-absorption scheme for perpetual bondholders and preference shareholders according to a leak from Debtwire in late Nov 2018 and rewarding Olivia and her team with a 3% stake of the enlarged share-capital. It allocated merely $39million in exchange for approximately $900million of perpetual bonds and preference shares.

$39million was not enough to fund the cumulative interest of the above-mentioned subordinated debts. While the proposal is not final, Hyflux is expected to post at least $800m to $1 billion of annual losses in the current FY which will erode almost all of Hyflux’s subordinated debts overnight.

Now, let’s turn back time to another US power generation company, Enron in 2001. Not just Enron was in the same utilities industry as Hyflux, Enron was also the largest bankruptcy reorganization in US history (back then) and biggest audit failure, dragging down Arthur Andersen.

Like Hyflux, Enron’s complex financial statements confused shareholders and analysts though false-accounting practices. It appears that both companies adopted accounting limitations to misrepresent past-earnings and asset-values in balance sheets to indicate favourable performance for fund-raising.

Over the years, Hyflux was able to attract overwhelming funding support from retail investors to fund their questionable business model; concealing its true performance through a series of risk-assessment, accounting and financing manoeuvres and hyped its leverage to unsustainable levels.

The sudden recognition of valuation-losses, cost over-runs, projects-losses since the Hyflux’s suspension, is the consequences of past reckless standards in audits without properly reviews. Looks like Hyflux has a habit of not making sufficient provisions for potential project disruptions, legal disputes and unrealistic valuations of assets.

I am still young and I can work still work for you all” said Olivia Lum in the first Townhall Meeting. In the past 12 months, Hyflux issued a stream of failed promises and assurances. Olivia further described the press conference with potential Indonesian investors as “a happy day” despite the underlying requirements for massive debt write-off.

These comments and mismanagement behind Hyflux’s fall reflects the management’s hubris, and lack of corporate social-responsibility. Retail investors funded Hyflux because of its political and strategic importance to Singapore. Short of a government bailout, along with regulatory oversights and indifference of political leaders, Hyflux’s retail investors are now trapped with no-one on their side.
 
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JustLikeThis

Alfrescian
Loyal

The only reason that Olivia announces her WILLING TO CONSIDER the China SOE is to put aside Utico due to Monday's deadline. Utico will kick Olivia and Board of Directors out and expose all their crimes when someone new takes over.

Look, the China SOE is still subjected to regulatory approval, if you read the fine prints. The government will rather Hyflux to vaporize, than to fall into the hands of China (remember they told you so many things were non-disclosures???).

This is a positive development. Having a Chinese SOE as controlling-shareholder is the best outcome for many creditors. There is no need to redeem the $900m Hyflux PnPs, they can continue trading as a Chinese quasi-sovereign bond. Such debts command a premium. Even if the coupons is reduced to 3%pa, being owned by a China SOE means that we can easily trade the PnPs at near 100-par.

Remember another water-play called United Envirotech (SGX Listed)? They used to pay 7.5% coupon for their ordinary bonds (not PnPs)
https://www.bondsupermart.com/main/bond-info/bond-factsheet/SG57D9996208
After CITIC took over them, they just need to pay 3.9% coupon for issuing riskier PnPs (lower-cost of-financing and turns the company around)
https://www.bondsupermart.com/main/bond-info/bond-factsheet/AP5359785

Let's hope it is CITIC or HuaNeng and I refer to post #901 in this thread. Government will want to block the Chinese; it only boils down to whether the government play dirty or fair, going forward.
  • Play Dirty - Block the Chinese or even confiscate more assets from Hyflux to wipe out this company.
  • Play Clean - Send in a local GLC like Sembcorp or Keppel to outbid China, and absorb Hyflux into them.
 
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Empower

Alfrescian
Loyal
This is a positive development. Having a Chinese SOE as controlling-shareholder is the best outcome for many creditors. There is no need to redeem the $900m Hyflux PnPs, they can continue trading as a Chinese quasi-sovereign bond. Such debts command a premium. Even if the coupons is reduced to 3%pa, being owned by a China SOE means that we can easily trade the PnPs at near 100-par.

Remember another water-play called United Envirotech (SGX Listed)? They used to pay 7.5% coupon for their ordinary bonds (not PnPs)
https://www.bondsupermart.com/main/bond-info/bond-factsheet/SG57D9996208
After CITIC took over them, they just need to pay 3.9% coupon for issuing riskier PnPs (lower-cost of-financing and turns the company around)
https://www.bondsupermart.com/main/bond-info/bond-factsheet/AP5359785

Let's hope it is CITIC or HuaNeng and I refer to post #901 in this thread. Government will want to block the Chinese; it only boils down to whether the government play dirty or fair, going forward.
  • Play Dirty - Block the Chinese or even confiscate more assets from Hyflux to wipe out this company.
  • Play Clean - Send in a local GLC like Sembcorp or Keppel to outbid China, and absorb Hyflux into them.

Good morning, thank you for your insights. You said the Chinese SOE is the best for us.
What do you know about them?
 

JustLikeThis

Alfrescian
Loyal
Good morning, thank you for your insights. You said the Chinese SOE is the best for us.
What do you know about them?

For now, we do not know the identity of the Chinese prospects. Assuming that they are the one that I know, these folks are here to expand their Belt-Road footprints, backed by ICBC. They are not here force haircuts down our throats. They want control over Hyflux's business and plan to turn Hyflux around by providing cheaper cost of financing, create goodwill for China, etc.

On surface, all these while, the Chinese were just after Tuaspring or get control over Hyflux. However, Hyflux's books were cooked (unfit for sale). If you are Olivia Lum or NEA, the China SOE is a menace because the Chinese (that I assumed to be) offered a bailout, not restructuring. BUT Hyflux's management is seeking a restructuring like Noble's scot-free managment.

The share suspension was self-imposed a year ago and restructuring was engineered to over-up for fraudulent accounting practices and collusions with state organs. This was why PUB confiscated Tuaspring to checkmate the Chinese to complicate matters (closer to corporate restructuring/failure), for those involved, can continue to operate in complete impunity. Things happened for a reason and you will only know why later. Get this into your brains.

Therefore, Olivia wants to sacrifice us in exchange for immunity and get another run in Hyflux. This is why the completion restructuring is so important to the Board of Directors because once creditors and retail investors agree to the restructuring, they cannot pursue past wrongdoings. The terms in the last cancelled scheme's voting did contain waivers/discharges of rights.
 
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Revenger

Alfrescian
Loyal
lol

even Salim can't get the escrow money back .

only winner is Maybank . heard they are auctioning off the power station to the lowest bidder .
 

JustLikeThis

Alfrescian
Loyal
lol

even Salim can't get the escrow money back .

only winner is Maybank . heard they are auctioning off the power station to the lowest bidder .

Everyone's thinking is the same. Restructuring gives Olivia a clean start and immunity for her past wrongs. In the same way, Maybank teamed up with Salim, hoping to improve credit worthiness of their exposure to Hyflux and Pacific Light's debts.

Maybank has huge exposures to another power plant, Pacific Light, owned by Salim in Singapore. Pacific Light is in trouble themselves. Sitting on over hundred-millions of accumulated-losses and they have also not make sufficient provisions for assets write-downs. Like Hyflux, Pacific Light is sitting on a massive debt-burden, estimated to be above S$1 billion. Again, in similar situation, these loans includes term-loan and credit-facilities from Maybank. Pacific Light's balance sheet is almost negative capital (not confirmed).

Pacific Light is shared by Indonesians, Filipinos and Malaysians. There are also industry speculations that a Pacific Light shareholder will seek to scale-down or exit Singapore Power Market if the Indonesians cannot swallow Hyflux by mid-2019.
https://www.firstpacific.com/media/...eralco_PowerGen_Buy_Singapore_Power_Plant.pdf

Back then, the thinking was that a restructured Hyflux (massive write-off by unsecured retail investors and unsecured bankers) will strengthen the Indonesian's balance sheet in Singapore (Pacific Light + Hyflux). Had the restructuring went through, synergies between Pacific Light and Hyflux is hard to realize and it is more likely a case of using Hyflux's clean balance sheet (after restructuring) to bail out Pacific Light at the expense of retail investors.

Anyway, that's already histories. To each of his own, there were some things plotted against us and fortunately, thanks to the massive negative votes submitted in proxy before the scheme meeting, the earlier restructuring attempt failed.
 

Filloz

Alfrescian
Loyal
The only reason that Olivia announces her WILLING TO CONSIDER the China SOE is to put aside Utico due to Monday's deadline. Utico will kick Olivia and Board of Directors out and expose all their crimes when someone new takes over.

Look, the China SOE is still subjected to regulatory approval, if you read the fine prints. The government will rather Hyflux to vaporize, than to fall into the hands of China (remember they told you so many things were non-disclosures???).

This is a positive development. Having a Chinese SOE as controlling-shareholder is the best outcome for many creditors. There is no need to redeem the $900m Hyflux PnPs, they can continue trading as a Chinese quasi-sovereign bond. Such debts command a premium. Even if the coupons is reduced to 3%pa, being owned by a China SOE means that we can easily trade the PnPs at near 100-par.

Remember another water-play called United Envirotech (SGX Listed)? They used to pay 7.5% coupon for their ordinary bonds (not PnPs)
https://www.bondsupermart.com/main/bond-info/bond-factsheet/SG57D9996208
After CITIC took over them, they just need to pay 3.9% coupon for issuing riskier PnPs (lower-cost of-financing and turns the company around)
https://www.bondsupermart.com/main/bond-info/bond-factsheet/AP5359785

Let's hope it is CITIC or HuaNeng and I refer to post #901 in this thread. Government will want to block the Chinese; it only boils down to whether the government play dirty or fair, going forward.
  • Play Dirty - Block the Chinese or even confiscate more assets from Hyflux to wipe out this company.
  • Play Clean - Send in a local GLC like Sembcorp or Keppel to outbid China, and absorb Hyflux into them.

HAHA, you are Olivia's Personal Secretary is it?
 

JustLikeThis

Alfrescian
Loyal
Utico's deal probably lapsed. Latest announcement aims to salvage some pride, by claiming to concurrently match-making with two other targets.

Menezes goes on to add that as part of the company’s expansion strategy, its interests do not end with acquiring Hyflux. “This is not the only company that we have express interest in. At the moment, we have an appetite to acquire. We have also expressed interest in two other companies. So Hyflux is just one of them,” says Menezes. “At the moment we have made offers to buy three companies and they are well known in the world. For us it doesn’t end with Hyflux. These also include European companies.


Anyway, Utico appears to be pretty small company. Total assets (ballooned by debts) is too little compared to Hyflux.

“We have today about Dh2.5bn ($681mn) of assets. As a water company, we have the least debt-to-equity ratio in the world for a large player. That means we are not indebted, which gives a lot that we can do. We have many projects that are ongoing and under development that consist of a mix of debt and equity.

https://www.utilities-me.com/water/12961-cover-feature-water-knight
 

Huatable

Alfrescian
Loyal
For now, we do not know the identity of the Chinese prospects. Assuming that they are the one that I know, these folks are here to expand their Belt-Road footprints, backed by ICBC. They are not here force haircuts down our throats. They want control over Hyflux's business and plan to turn Hyflux around by providing cheaper cost of financing, create goodwill for China, etc.

On surface, all these while, the Chinese were just after Tuaspring or get control over Hyflux. However, Hyflux's books were cooked (unfit for sale). If you are Olivia Lum or NEA, the China SOE is a menace because the Chinese (that I assumed to be) offered a bailout, not restructuring. BUT Hyflux's management is seeking a restructuring like Noble's scot-free managment.

The share suspension was self-imposed a year ago and restructuring was engineered to over-up for fraudulent accounting practices and collusions with state organs. This was why PUB confiscated Tuaspring to checkmate the Chinese to complicate matters (closer to corporate restructuring/failure), for those involved, can continue to operate in complete impunity. Things happened for a reason and you will only know why later. Get this into your brains.

Therefore, Olivia wants to sacrifice us in exchange for immunity and get another run in Hyflux. This is why the completion restructuring is so important to the Board of Directors because once creditors and retail investors agree to the restructuring, they cannot pursue past wrongdoings. The terms in the last cancelled scheme's voting did contain waivers/discharges of rights.

Very true. No wonder the shares were voluntarily suspended.
 

Huatable

Alfrescian
Loyal
Hi guys, our lawyers have been in touch with the buyer. Buyer feels that they have the industry talent to lead Hyflux but I understand that the talks did not go well because Olivia Lum refused to cede management control. Lawyer said Buyer described Olivia as "nonchalant". Very likely the talks in stalemate or Olivia might found another local backer who will retain her.
Fingers crossed.

China White Knight came. Your lawyer still sleeping. 1000x bigger than Utico and Salim.
 
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