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Regulators Refusing to Act - Hyflux & Noble Group's Decline

JustLikeThis

Alfrescian
Loyal
Hyflux – Singapore’s Enron

Hyflux, one of Singapore’s most iconic businesses, saw its market capitalisation peak above $2 billion in recent years with rapid growth in Singapore and global business. In 2011, Olivia Lum also became the first Singaporean women to be crowned Ernst & young World Entrepreneur of the Year award.

In a cruel mockery, Ernst & Young is now appointed as financial advisor to Hyflux’s debt restructuring, peddling a >90% loss-absorption scheme for perpetual bondholders and preference shareholders according to a leak from Debtwire in late Nov 2018 and rewarding Olivia and her team with a 3% stake of the enlarged share-capital. It allocated merely $39million in exchange for approximately $900million of perpetual bonds and preference shares.

$39million was not enough to fund the cumulative interest of the above-mentioned subordinated debts. While the proposal is not final, Hyflux is expected to post at least $800m to $1 billion of annual losses in the current FY which will erode almost all of Hyflux’s subordinated debts overnight.

Now, let’s turn back time to another US power generation company, Enron in 2001. Not just Enron was in the same utilities industry as Hyflux, Enron was also the largest bankruptcy reorganization in US history (back then) and biggest audit failure, dragging down Arthur Andersen.

Like Hyflux, Enron’s complex financial statements confused shareholders and analysts though false-accounting practices. It appears that both companies adopted accounting limitations to misrepresent past-earnings and asset-values in balance sheets to indicate favourable performance for fund-raising.

Over the years, Hyflux was able to attract overwhelming funding support from retail investors to fund their questionable business model; concealing its true performance through a series of risk-assessment, accounting and financing manoeuvres and hyped its leverage to unsustainable levels.

The sudden recognition of valuation-losses, cost over-runs, projects-losses since the Hyflux’s suspension, is the consequences of past reckless standards in audits without properly reviews. Looks like Hyflux has a habit of not making sufficient provisions for potential project disruptions, legal disputes and unrealistic valuations of assets.

I am still young and I can work still work for you all” said Olivia Lum in the first Townhall Meeting. In the past 12 months, Hyflux issued a stream of failed promises and assurances. Olivia further described the press conference with potential Indonesian investors as “a happy day” despite the underlying requirements for massive debt write-off.

These comments and mismanagement behind Hyflux’s fall reflects the management’s hubris, and lack of corporate social-responsibility. Retail investors funded Hyflux because of its political and strategic importance to Singapore. Short of a government bailout, along with regulatory oversights and indifference of political leaders, Hyflux’s retail investors are now trapped with no-one on their side.
 

JustLikeThis

Alfrescian
Loyal
Thanks to the greatest bond-analyst in Singapore, Ed Chan for the following UPDATE:
http://www.hnworth.com/article/2018/12/26/2019-singapore-corporate-bonds-lessons-from-2018
He has been an unselfish contributor of bond-related articles and education in Singapore from the earlier Tradehaven days.

Projection for Hyflux notesholders:
Vanilla Bonds ~15.8% capital reovery
Perpetual Bonds & Preference Shares ~13.2% capital recovery (lower than 10% if we exclude the equity-debt swap)



Quote:
Hyflux is almost as good as defaulted which will give Singapore their very first retail bond default very soon. It says so much for all the stricter retail listing rules talked about in the past.

We are learning that senior status does not mean protection in a default because if Hyflux will have their way, their senior bondholders will only get an estimated 15.8% recovery versus 13.2% for the junior subordinated retail bondholders (source: Redd Intelligence) and we are surprised that many a senior bondholder were not aware of any bondholders’ meetings.
 
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JustLikeThis

Alfrescian
Loyal
13.2% for the junior subordinated retail bondholders (source: Redd Intelligence) and we are surprised that many a senior bondholder were not aware of any bondholders’ meetings.

Many 4.2%, 4.25% and 4.6% bondholders are not aware of the proposals and less retail perps and prefs investors will turn up for the second townhall because of the lack of venue and time details.

Let's pray that we will have talents like Ed Chan to lead the retail investors.
 

Focus

Alfrescian
Loyal
You guys need to understand this! The Indonesians want to make money from your debt reductions. That's why they want banks and investors to reductions to give them GUARANTEED profits, thus retaining Tuaspring and plants.

Whether Hyflux can become profitable is secondary. And Olivia's management is happily bribed by the rewards for managements so they let us die.
 

JustLikeThis

Alfrescian
Loyal
You guys need to understand this! The Indonesians want to make money from your debt reductions. That's why they want banks and investors to reductions to give them GUARANTEED profits, thus retaining Tuaspring and plants.

Whether Hyflux can become profitable is secondary. And Olivia's management is happily bribed by the rewards for managements so they let us die.

Valuations had been inflated in the past by the finance people to aid their fund raising. Hyflux was very active in local secondary and retail SGD bond space:

1. This company has a lot of related-parties transactions among subsidiaries and holding company. It is not difficult to book inflated-revenues with bogus accounting entries.

2. It is even more obvious that an excessive level of past expenses were booked as capital expenses instead of operating expenses. Operating expenses are fully recognized in the same accounting year/period but capital expenditure (CAPEX) are amortized over years. Booking expenses as capital expenses allow them to buy time and make accounts look healthier. Clue: Massive TuasOne's cost over-runs exposed.

3. Non-provision for business risks and project disputes, asset-valuations steeply inflated. Clue: Tuaspring can only fetch a small fraction of book value and the projects disrupted in 2018 is more than what Hyflux experienced in her corporate history.

These are indications of fraud and false accounting entries in Hyflux due to their accounting practices. Looks like Indonesians offer Olivia a bailout, if she can make the retail investors pay for her frauds. Don't believe? Ask the unsecured bankers.
 
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borom

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
If you invest in SGX instruments and expect protection from above , I guess you must be sleeping.
There have been so many precedents in the past eg CLOB, S chips, Noble, China Fishery ect2 and name me one person charged for fraud.
World class financial centre of course-for the companies to make money but for investors, ha ha ha …......
You voted for them (or 70% did) so why complain-
 

Focus

Alfrescian
Loyal
All these years, we thought our country is rich. Our GLCs are big. Even DBS bank made a lot of money from placing out Hyflux bonds in the past decade.

DBS makes more than a billion dollar profit quarterly. Now our country and DBS bank cannot even come out with life-line of a few hundred millions to match the Indonesian's rape on more than 50,000 retail investors. Where is the safety net?

Then our god-damned country saves so much money for what? FUCK PAP
 

realDonaldTrump

Alfrescian
Loyal
All these years, we thought our country is rich. Our GLCs are big. Even DBS bank made a lot of money from placing out Hyflux bonds in the past decade.

DBS makes more than a billion dollar profit quarterly. Now our country and DBS bank cannot even come out with life-line of a few hundred millions to match the Indonesian's rape on more than 50,000 retail investors. Where is the safety net?

Then our god-damned country saves so much money for what? FUCK PAP

If that's they case, then don't save Hyflux and let us have a surprise change in government.
Not a big price to change government and then Hyflux martyrs can RIP.
 

Focus

Alfrescian
Loyal
If that's they case, then don't save Hyflux and let us have a surprise change in government.
Not a big price to change government and then Hyflux martyrs can RIP.

Hyflux just keep dragging and the management probably transferred their assets away by now.

Very FUCKED-UP, until now no mention of location and time for second townhall meeting.
JUST ARREST THE MOTHERFUCKERS in management
 

realDonaldTrump

Alfrescian
Loyal
Hyflux just keep dragging and the management probably transferred their assets away by now.

Very FUCKED-UP, until now no mention of location and time for second townhall meeting.
JUST ARREST THE MOTHERFUCKERS in management

If want to arrest, they will arrest long ago
If want to save, they will save long ago

Stop dreaming lah, PAP will still win big. Hyflux is non-event.
 

JustLikeThis

Alfrescian
Loyal
If that's they case, then don't save Hyflux and let us have a surprise change in government.
Not a big price to change government and then Hyflux martyrs can RIP.

SGX just gave them until Jun 30 to report the results which we know that contain hefty losses and write-offs. It really hints that there will not be any bail out by government.

If General Elections is held in 2019, it is likely be in first half, so Jun 30 result-release will be after the elections. All the ugly things will be official after next GE.


Hyflux gets more time to report financials, conduct AGM amid restructuring
https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/co...ort-financials-conduct-agm-amid-restructuring

Hyflux now has until June 30, 2019 or before the lifting of its trading suspension to announce its results for the second and third quarters of fiscal 2018, a 4.5-month extension. The same deadline will apply for reporting its full-year 2018 results, a four-month extension. The company also received a four-month extension to conduct an annual general meeting for FY2018, which was originally supposed to be held by April 30, 2019; and a three-month extension to report its financials for the first quarter of fiscal 2019.
 

Focus

Alfrescian
Loyal
超级白 has been like that for a long time.
Only by voting them out then there will be fairness.

So many people's hard-earn savings gone in the scam. These are people's savings, for retirement, for children's education, for medical, etc.
Now ask these people to start again or go and die?

Not million dollars bonus and salary of the greedy politicians.
 

JustLikeThis

Alfrescian
Loyal
SGX just gave them until Jun 30 to report the results which we know that contain hefty losses and write-offs. It really hints that there will not be any bail out by government.

If General Elections is held in 2019, it is likely be in first half, so Jun 30 result-release will be after the elections. All the ugly things will be official after next GE.

Update:

The next townhall is just a formality. Hyflux is also unlikely to be an election-issue with the local press relatively muted and massive losses unveiled, only after the next General Elections.

In retaliation, Perpetual Securityholders now are planning to convene a resolutions meeting possibility in Mar 2019 (before the next General Elections), if the second Townhall reconfirms that Olivia plays them out.

Condition 9 of Hyflux Perpetual Bonds Term Sheet
http://investors.hyflux.com/newsroom/Hyflux_Ltd_-_OIS_Perpetual-Capital-Securities-17May2016.pdf

(a) Non-payment when Due
Notwithstanding any of the provisions below in this Condition 9, the right to institute
proceedings for Winding-up is limited to circumstances where payment has become due.


Reference: The non-payment of the XD coupons for perpetual bonds was a material breach of the term sheet ("Enforcement Event"). Hyflux was also not supposed to pay the preference and ordinary shareholders dividend without paying the perpetual bondholders. ("Default")

(b) Proceedings for Winding-up
If (i) a final and effective order is made or an effective resolution is passed for the Winding-up
of the Issuer or (ii) the Issuer fails to make payment in respect of the Securities on the date
on which such payment is due and such failure continues for a period of seven business days
after the due date (together, the “Enforcement Events”), the Issuer shall be deemed to be
in default under the Trust Deed and the Securities and the Trustee may, subject to the
provisions of Condition 9(d), institute proceedings for the Winding-up of the Issuer and/or
prove in the Winding-up of the Issuer and/or claim in the liquidation of the Issuer for such
payment.


(c) Enforcement
Without prejudice to Condition 9(b) but subject to the provisions of Condition 9(d), the
Trustee may without further notice to the Issuer institute such proceedings against the Issuer
as it may think fit to enforce any term or condition binding on the Issuer
 
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Focus

Alfrescian
Loyal
Hi all, the venue and time of the second Townhall Meeting is announced. No mention in press so I think not many will turn up or else will riot.
 

JustLikeThis

Alfrescian
Loyal
ACRA must look into Hyflux's false accounting practices:


Like Hyflux, Enron’s complex financial statements confused shareholders and analysts though false-accounting practices. It appears that both companies adopted accounting limitations to misrepresent past-earnings and asset-values in balance sheets to indicate favourable performance for fund-raising.

Over the years, Hyflux was able to attract overwhelming funding support from retail investors to fund their questionable business model; concealing its true performance through a series of risk-assessment, accounting and financing manoeuvres and hyped its leverage to unsustainable levels.

The sudden recognition of valuation-losses, cost over-runs, projects-losses since the Hyflux’s suspension, is the consequences of past reckless standards in audits without properly reviews. Looks like Hyflux has a habit of not making sufficient provisions for potential project disruptions, legal disputes and unrealistic valuations of assets.

I am still young and I can work still work for you all” said Olivia Lum in the first Townhall Meeting. In the past 12 months, Hyflux issued a stream of failed promises and assurances. Olivia further described the press conference with potential Indonesian investors as “a happy day” despite the underlying requirements for massive debt write-off.

These comments and mismanagement behind Hyflux’s fall reflects the management’s hubris, and lack of corporate social-responsibility. Retail investors funded Hyflux because of its political and strategic importance to Singapore. Short of a government bailout, along with regulatory oversights and indifference of political leaders, Hyflux’s retail investors are now trapped with no-one on their side.
 
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