Talk so much cock, but refuse to go straight to the point!
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR>NATIONAL DAY RALLY
</TR><!-- headline one : start --><TR>Babies: Call it a crisis
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Oh baby, do we need many more: If current trends continue, Singaporeans face the possibility of being a minority in their own country in as quickly as one generation. -- ST FILE PHOTO
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<!-- START OF : div id="storytext"--><!-- more than 4 paragraphs -->MAKE no mistake. The most critical issue in Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong's National Day Rally speech was, and should be, the baby shortage issue.
Weeks ago, Deputy Prime Minister Wong Kan Seng said that with a low fertility rate and without new immigrants, our population would halve by around 2070. The danger of population downsizing by half is real.
What are the consequences if this 'worst case scenario' is allowed to happen? Should citizens downsize to 1.5 million from the current three million and assuming that we have a population of 6.5 million in 2070, we need 1.75 million immigrant citizens just to make sure citizens (at 3.25 million) would not be outnumbered.
This is like converting one in two existing and future permanent residents (PRs) into citizens.
Some possibly serious implications include the introduction of dual citizenship; and local-born citizens would account for only one-third, and PRs one-quarter, of the 6.5 million.
Also, issues concerning local-born versus foreign-born, and citizens versus non-citizens would divide the country deeply, making the sharing of duties, benefits and opportunities among them very complicated.
To allow our current citizen pool to shrink to half is like landfilling half our reservoirs and doubling our reliance on imported water. If we stick to the current 40,000 new births a year (instead of 60,000-plus), a 'point of no return' would set in within 30 to 40 years. The demographic landscape then will be irreversible, unlike landfilled reservoirs which can still be restored. Feeling that they are slowly being outnumbered, more citizens would migrate, quickening the depletion.
Without a critical mass of citizens, it would be very hard, if not impossible, for future generations to survive existing values and institutions. Let us treat the baby shortage as a national crisis: a crisis with consequences far more serious than any we have encountered. Let us set a target to achieve 60,000 or more new births by 2020 or sooner, and maintain this target thereafter. If this can be achieved, reliance on immigrants could be reduced by more than a million by 2070.
We may be unable to feel the impact of the worst case scenario now; but subsequent generations will, from as soon as 30 to 40 years from now.
It is this generation's duty to avert the advent of the 'point of no return' now, beyond which it will be too late to do anything.
Ng Ya Ken
http://www.oceanskyintl.com/Content/control.cfm?ID=40
<TABLE class=bg02 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=top align=left><TD class=bg01 width="45%">Mr Albert Ng Ya Ken @ Ng Ah Kan</TD><TD class=bg02>Non-Executive Director</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR>NATIONAL DAY RALLY
</TR><!-- headline one : start --><TR>Babies: Call it a crisis
</TR><!-- headline one : end --><!-- show image if available --><TR vAlign=bottom><TD width=330>
</TD><TD width=10>
Oh baby, do we need many more: If current trends continue, Singaporeans face the possibility of being a minority in their own country in as quickly as one generation. -- ST FILE PHOTO
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<!-- START OF : div id="storytext"--><!-- more than 4 paragraphs -->MAKE no mistake. The most critical issue in Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong's National Day Rally speech was, and should be, the baby shortage issue.
Weeks ago, Deputy Prime Minister Wong Kan Seng said that with a low fertility rate and without new immigrants, our population would halve by around 2070. The danger of population downsizing by half is real.
What are the consequences if this 'worst case scenario' is allowed to happen? Should citizens downsize to 1.5 million from the current three million and assuming that we have a population of 6.5 million in 2070, we need 1.75 million immigrant citizens just to make sure citizens (at 3.25 million) would not be outnumbered.
This is like converting one in two existing and future permanent residents (PRs) into citizens.
Some possibly serious implications include the introduction of dual citizenship; and local-born citizens would account for only one-third, and PRs one-quarter, of the 6.5 million.
Also, issues concerning local-born versus foreign-born, and citizens versus non-citizens would divide the country deeply, making the sharing of duties, benefits and opportunities among them very complicated.
To allow our current citizen pool to shrink to half is like landfilling half our reservoirs and doubling our reliance on imported water. If we stick to the current 40,000 new births a year (instead of 60,000-plus), a 'point of no return' would set in within 30 to 40 years. The demographic landscape then will be irreversible, unlike landfilled reservoirs which can still be restored. Feeling that they are slowly being outnumbered, more citizens would migrate, quickening the depletion.
Without a critical mass of citizens, it would be very hard, if not impossible, for future generations to survive existing values and institutions. Let us treat the baby shortage as a national crisis: a crisis with consequences far more serious than any we have encountered. Let us set a target to achieve 60,000 or more new births by 2020 or sooner, and maintain this target thereafter. If this can be achieved, reliance on immigrants could be reduced by more than a million by 2070.
We may be unable to feel the impact of the worst case scenario now; but subsequent generations will, from as soon as 30 to 40 years from now.
It is this generation's duty to avert the advent of the 'point of no return' now, beyond which it will be too late to do anything.
Ng Ya Ken
http://www.oceanskyintl.com/Content/control.cfm?ID=40
<TABLE class=bg02 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=top align=left><TD class=bg01 width="45%">Mr Albert Ng Ya Ken @ Ng Ah Kan</TD><TD class=bg02>Non-Executive Director</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>