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In uncertain Times: US dollar the safest bet

GoFlyKiteNow

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US treasuries safer bet in uncertain times
19 May 2010, 0038 hrs ,ET Bureau

Amid the crisis in the Eurozone, central banks across the world have flocked to the dollar by investing in US government bonds or treasuries, thereby reversing a four-month trend that saw them pull out of the greenback.

Central banks across the globe have hiked their exposure In US government bonds to $2,708.8 billion in March from $2,676.5 billion in February, according to the latest data released by the US treasury department.

Total foreign holdings of treasuries, including investments by other entities such as corporates and commercial banks, rose by around 3.5% to $3884.6 billion in March from $3752.2 billion in the previous month. This is the highest monthly rise in holdings since the sub-prime crisis deepened in September 2008 after the collapse of Lehman Brothers.

According to a treasury official of a local private bank, this reflects preference for safety that is seen in the US dollar by investors after the Euro crisis got worse. “Besides that, the US economy is slowly getting back on track,” he added.

Country-wise details showed that China led the pack of investors in hiking its investments in US treasuries from $877.5 billion in February to $895.2 billion in March.

Others to have increased their exposure to treasuries include Japan, the UK, the Caribbean and oil exporting countries. Even India increased its exposure by $400 million though it has a very small exposure to US treasury bonds at $32 billion.

The trend assumes significance at a time when China seems unwilling to bow to increasing global pressure, particularly from the US, to revalue the yuan. Canada’s finance minister, Jim Flaherty, told ET that his country was in favour of a flexible exchange rate system determined by market forces.
 

longbow

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Not surprising now that Euro's hopes of being reserve currency is shot to hell.

Facts - world largest GDP, reserve currency, high debt levels BUT not as bad as many countries in the Eurozone as long as Japan and China continues buying debt.

As far as solid regulatory laws - well that is what we are told until we see the liar loans, swaps, screwed up ratings agencies, Wall Street double dealing bailouts (IMF told Indonesia to tighten belts but when it came to US it was pure bailout to the tune of trillions by the Feds)
 

BlueCat

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now it is US's turn to laugh and clap at Europe.
i think as Europe has so many countries,the crisis is just starting,believe more countries will announce and ask for help.
 

GoFlyKiteNow

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Not surprising now that Euro's hopes of being reserve currency is shot to hell.

Facts - world largest GDP, reserve currency, high debt levels BUT not as bad as many countries in the Eurozone as long as Japan and China continues buying debt.

As far as solid regulatory laws - well that is what we are told until we see the liar loans, swaps, screwed up ratings agencies, Wall Street double dealing bailouts (IMF told Indonesia to tighten belts but when it came to US it was pure bailout to the tune of trillions by the Feds)

All can say what they want.
Without a reserve currency, the world will go to pieces. Simple as that.

Silly to equate Indonesia with USA. The latter holds a unique global reserve status. Applying the same rules of the game is madness.

About liars and cheats whatever on wall street. Bound to happen.
But the important thing it the inherent strength of the US democratic system that ensures transparency and self correction. That is the intangible priceless issue here.

Don't take my word for it. See the facts on the ground. Where does the world go to when in uncertain times.?. To the US dollar.

Why not the remimbi.?. Even PRC want to keep its reserves in US dolars and quote its reserves in USD, not in remimbi.

The USA is not asking anyone to buy its debts. No need. The world has no choice but buy it. The USA does not owe them any gratitude.
Its the other way around. They owe USA a lot. Get real. Go see the facts.

Those who don't like the USA system, have the choice to park their savings in Remimbi or any other. Nobody is forcing them to go buy US credit notes from the treasury.
 

Watchman

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You sometimes wonder why GIC and Temasek buy up some of the US properties, funds and treasury bonds .

At a time couldn't be worst .

Even though they should know the implications .

If they think they will know the trend of it turning around .
Wait two years for it to gain 20% is it possible


Temasek Holdings has sold off half its ill-timed investment in Merrill Lynch - or about 87m shares, according to a mutual funds report on institutional trades on US stocks.
The online report, MFFAIRS (Mutual Fund Facts About Individual Stocks), reported it sold off 86,949,594 shares (50%), leaving a current holdings of 86,949,594 shares (50%), according to the filings made public.

The report gave no exact date or price of the sale.

Neither has there been any confirmation from Temasek, which had paid US$48 a share last year. http://www.mffais.com/newsarticles/2...37-211738.html

Last week Merrill Lynch was traded at $31.

At that price Temasek would have suffered a loss of $17 a share - or a total loss of about US$1.48b for the 87mil shares.
 
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