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COVID-19 made Putin say HUAT AH! Russian GOLD SELLING MORE THAN NATURAL GAS! 发啊!

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26年来首次!俄罗斯黄金出口收入竟超过天然气,又是因为疫情?
2020-07-19 17:44

新冠肺炎疫情以及国际能源市场价格的波动,令俄罗斯天然气出口收入锐减。

俄罗斯央行近日公布的数据显示,今年4月和5月,俄罗斯出口收入结构发生巨变,黄金出口收入26年来第一次超过天然气出口收入。

俄罗斯联邦海关总署和中央银行(CBR)的最新数据显示,4月和5月,俄罗斯矿业公司向海外出售了65.4吨黄金,价值35.5亿美元。同期,俄罗斯的天然气出口所带来的收益约为24亿美元,为2002年来的最低水平。据估算,第二季度天然气出口将为俄带来约35亿美元的收入,依旧无法赶上黄金出口收益。

俄罗斯信用评级机构ACRA可持续发展风险评估小组主席库达洛夫(Maxim Khudalov)称,这是自上世纪90年代来首次出现这样的情况。他说:“至少自1994年起,通常天然气出口给俄罗斯带来的收入要比黄金多。”

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黄金出口收入激增

去年4月至5月,俄罗斯的黄金出口规模为2.47亿美元,今年同期的35.5亿美元是其14倍。

2019年全年,俄罗斯出口了总价约为57亿美元的黄金,其中大部分销往英国。据俄罗斯海关的数据,去年俄罗斯向英国出口黄金53.3亿美元,占俄黄金出口总额的约93%。此外,哈萨克斯坦、瑞士等12个国家去年向俄罗斯购买了4.09亿美元的黄金。

库达洛夫认为,俄央行暂时性停止购买黄金,迫使俄罗斯国内银行开始向海外寻找新买家。目前,在俄罗斯国内只有银行可以向海外买家出售黄金。7月俄央行发布的数据显示,俄罗斯持有的黄金和外汇储备总额已增至5683亿美元。3月底,俄罗斯央行“官宣”,自4月开始暂停增持黄金储备。目前,俄央行仍未显示出重新增持黄金储备的意愿。值得注意的是,俄央行暂停增持黄金的消息发布之际,恰逢俄罗斯国内的黄金开采旺季,因此,开拓海外买家似乎成为了顺理成章之事。

今年第一季度受新冠肺炎疫情影响,全球很多黄金矿产商的产量都受到了限制,不过俄罗斯的黄金产量没有受到影响,反而有所增加。俄央行数据显示,一季度俄罗斯黄金产量超64吨,同比增长5.11%。俄罗斯黄金生产商联盟预计,2020年俄罗斯的黄金产量会有小幅增长。惠誉则预计,今年俄罗斯黄金产量将占全球总产量的10.6%,且按照这一节奏,10年后俄罗斯将成为全球第二大黄金生产国。


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For the first time in 26 years! Why is Russia's gold export revenue exceeding that of natural gas?
2020-07-19 17:44
Novel coronavirus pneumonia and the fluctuation of international energy market prices have reduced Russian gas export revenues.
According to the data recently released by the Russian central bank, the structure of Russia's export income changed dramatically in April and may this year, with gold export income exceeding natural gas export income for the first time in 26 years.
In April and may, Russian mining companies sold 65.4 tons of gold, valued at $3.55 billion, overseas, according to the latest data from the Customs Administration of the Russian Federation and the central bank (CBR). Over the same period, Russia's natural gas exports generated revenue of about $2.4 billion, the lowest level since 2002. It is estimated that natural gas exports in the second quarter will bring Russia about 3.5 billion US dollars in revenue, still unable to catch up with gold export earnings.
'This is the first time that this has happened since the 1990s, 'said Maxim khudalov, chairman of the sustainable development risk assessment group at acra, a Russian credit rating agency. "Since at least 1994, gas exports have generally brought more revenue to Russia than gold," he said
Gold export revenue surged
From April to may last year, Russia's gold export volume was 247 million US dollars, which was 14 times that of 3.55 billion US dollars in the same period of this year.
Throughout 2019, Russia exported gold worth about $5.7 billion, most of which went to the UK. According to the data of Russian customs, Russia exported 5.33 billion US dollars of gold to the UK last year, accounting for about 93% of Russia's total gold exports. In addition, Kazakhstan, Switzerland and other 12 countries bought $409 million of gold from Russia last year.
Kudalov believes that Russia's central bank temporarily stopped buying gold, forcing domestic banks to start looking overseas for new buyers. At present, only banks in Russia can sell gold to overseas buyers. Data released by the Russian Central Bank in July showed that Russia's total gold and foreign exchange reserves had increased to $568.3 billion. At the end of March, the Russian central bank "officially announced" that it had suspended the increase of gold reserves since April. At present, the Russian central bank has not shown the willingness to increase its gold reserves again. It is worth noting that the announcement of the Russian central bank's suspension of gold holdings coincides with the peak gold mining season in Russia. Therefore, it seems logical to develop overseas buyers.
Novel coronavirus pneumonia affected the first quarter of this year, and many gold producers in the world were restricted. But Russia's gold production was not affected, but increased. Russian central bank data showed that Russia's gold production exceeded 64 tons in the first quarter, up 5.11% year-on-year. The Federation of Russian gold producers expects a small increase in Russian gold production in 2020. Fitch predicts that Russia's gold production will account for 10.6% of the world's total production this year, and according to this rhythm, Russia will become the world's second largest gold producer in 10 years.
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