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China 'Overtakes US' As World's Top Trader

jubilee1919

Alfrescian (InfP)
Generous Asset
China 'Overtakes US' As World's Top Trader

10:54am UK, Friday 10 January 2014

As the global shift in economic power continues, data indicates China usurped the US in 2013 as the leading trade powerhouse.

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China's annual trade in goods passed the $4trn (£2.4trn) mark for the first time in 2013, official data has revealed, confirming its position as the world's biggest trading nation.

Exports from the world's number two economy rose 7.9% to $2.21trn (£1.34trn), while imports increased 7.3% to $1.95trn (£1.18trn), the General Administration of Customs (GAC) announced.

The trade surplus stood at $259.75bn (£157bn), up 12.8% from 2012.

Total trade came to $4.16trn, an increase of 7.6%, just below the government's 8% target.

The total was a record high and effectively confirmed a historic geo-economic shift, making China the world's biggest trader of physical goods, not including services.

Reports last February said the United States' total trade in goods was lower than China's in 2012, but GAC said due to differences in calculation methods the change happened for the first time in 2013.

Further confirmation of the new status is expected to come when full US data for the year is released.

Customs spokesman Zheng Yuesheng said: "It is very likely that China overtook the US to become the world's largest trading country in goods in 2013 for the first time."

The European Union was China's biggest trading partner, GAC said, followed by the United States, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (Asean), Hong Kong and Japan.

Between them, the traditional markets of the EU, US and Japan accounted for 33.5% of China's trade, down 1.7%, suggesting emerging markets' share of business was growing.

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China's Xi Jinping has been courted by President Barack Obama

"Generally speaking, the environment for trade to grow in 2014 is likely to be better than 2013," Mr Zheng said, citing improvements in international demand and domestic economic factors.

However, China's trade surplus in December fell 17.4% to $25.64bn (£15.5bn), below expectations.

Exports increased 4.3% to $207.74bn (£125bn) last month, while imports climbed 8.3% to $182.1bn (£110bn).

China's 2013 trade performance came as the economy turned in a mixed performance, slowing during the first half of the year before showing some vigour in the final six months.

A government report last month cited in state media suggested GDP grew 7.6% in 2013, from the 7.7% in 2012, which was the worst performance in 13 years.

President Xi Jinping, who assumed office in March after becoming head of the ruling Communist Party in November 2012, wants to transform the economy to one in which domestic demand is the key growth driver, rather than public investment.

China's yuan currency gained more than 3% against the dollar last year, hitting a series of record highs since Beijing launched its modern foreign exchange market in 1994.

http://news.sky.com/story/1193023/china-overtakes-us-as-worlds-top-trader
 

Cestbon

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
All a predicted just matter is time by when.
US is in deep shit no way to solve it. Interest alone on debt make up 20% of the yearly budget.
Germany asking GOLD back.
Trading in other currency >>> more and more trading on others currency and US$ bill paper become worthless.
 

The_Hypocrite

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
Oh no,,,this is the end of the USA..we will be under ah tiong tyranny and things will get worse,,,if its bad under the USA,,it will be worse under the Ah Tiongs
 

yellowarse

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
Oh no,,,this is the end of the USA..we will be under ah tiong tyranny and things will get worse,,,if its bad under the USA,,it will be worse under the Ah Tiongs

Better to reset the world's economic system and go back to the gold standard with yuan as the reserve currency, than continue with this chimera bubble economy backed by a trashy fiat currency like the USD which is worth less than the toilet paper it's printed on (to the tune of $1 trillion a year). You wouldn't want the equally trashy frankenEuro or moribund Yen to be the reserve currency either.

16 JANUARY 2014

China Claims To Already Have the Third Largest Gold Reserves in the World

It should be noted that this report is sourced from 'ScrapMonster.' I have found it on the webpage for the Shanghai Metals Market. The numbers in this article do not agree with the latest reported number for China from the World Gold Council, which by the way is hopelessly out of date.

More importantly, there is no IMF report that I have been independently been able to find that discloses this information. If this story below is true, then it is quite the news piece, since details on China's gold holdings are of great interest to many. The number in the story below is credible, which first sparked my interest in it.

Let's see if the Chinese confirm or deny this, or more likely, continue to say nothing and buy.


Here is a recent news item about this controversy from Bloomberg:
"After adjusting for net imports from Hong Kong and domestic output, the figure is closer to 5,086 metric tons [central bank holdings plus private gold holdings]. When taking away gold uses for jewelry, industrial and other categories and adding implied bar demand to central bank holdings, the figure is likely closer to 2,710 mt.

"China would need 10 years for its gold holdings to catch up to the U.S., based on adjusted Chinese consumption for jewelry, industrial and other uses and using implied bar demand as the primary driver of incremental central bank additions. Based on run rates during 2013, China may have added 622 metric tons of bars to its central bank holdings, after adding 380 mt in 2012."
This news item below is purportedly what China is willing to 'officially report,'` that they have expanded their official gold reserves by 76%, to 2,710 tonnes. If this is accurate then China is now just behind the US and Germany, which say that they hold 8,133.5 and 3,391.3 tonness respectively. China has already surpassed Italy and France.

Given the 2,710 tonne figure I have to wonder if the author of the Scrapmonster piece picked it up from Bloomberg and then ran with it. It would make some sense, although Bloomberg does not mention anything about the IMF.

There is some controversy regarding the disposition of Germany's gold, much of which is held outside that country, as you would know if you frequent this café. More on that later.

Privately there is a great deal of speculation that the heavy flows of gold through Shanghai are not merely going to the public market in China, but are also helping to fill their central bank reserve vaults even further than they will admit.

As you may recall, China is encouraging its people to place some portion of their personal wealth in precious metals.

It is easy to sneer at goldbugs, those who find a refuge from abusive monetary policy in the traditional safe haven of precious metals, but it quite another thing to tell the 800 pound gorillas in the global market, China and Russia among them, that they do not understand anything about risk and money.

Agree with them or not, they are making their case for what they think will happen in the future of global money, and are putting some of their own sizable wealth down on the table to back it up. And if the models of a few academic economists do not agree with them, they really do not care. They have their own economists, and their own interpretations of history, and their own needs and agendas.

And there are other countries who are now desperately seeking to bring their gold home from the custodial storage in New York, which is an artifact of World War II and the Cold War. And some of them, like Germany are finding that it is not so easy to persuade the New York Fed to return it. We can only wonder why.

These are central banks, who seem to be managing their national affairs with quite an informed and determined outlook towards the future. To completely ignore the implications of this, which to me seem quite clear, is nothing short of willful blindness. If we just shut our eyes and say no, then the change will not affect us. Except that the smart money is already on the move behind the scenes.

There is an ongoing debate happening now among the nations' bankers about the suitable replacement for the de facto Bretton Woods IIarrangement which bases global trade settlements on the fiat dollar, no longer tied to gold since Nixon made a unilateral decision to shut the gold window. They have made public statements about what they would prefer to see adopted, and Russia made this discussion a formal topic during its G20 chairmanship last year.

It has been a long time coming. But change is going to come. It always does. And it may wash over those who stubbornly refuse to even admit that it is happening.
 
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