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Will this time be worse than SARS 2003?
Black Death warning in nine countries amid fears plague could spread on flights from Madagascar
PLAGUE warnings have been issued for nine countries surrounding Madagascar amid fears the disease could spread via sea trade and flight routes.
The outbreak is considered a much bigger threat to the region than in previous years because it has taken on its pneumonic form — meaning it is airborne and spread by sneezing and coughing.
And experts say the epidemic could still worsen as the death tolls hits 124 with more than 1300 left infected.
The Medieval disease famously wiped out one third of Europe’s population in the 13th and 14th centuries in one of the most devastating pandemics in human history known as the Black Death.
Dr Ashok Chopra, a professor of microbiology and immunology at the University of Texas, told The Sun Online the crisis in Madagascar had yet to peak.
He warned it was possible for the deadly plague to move further into the region given the regular flights going in and out of the country.
“If they are travelling shorter distances and they’re still in the incubation period, and they have the pneumonic (form) then they could spread it to other places,” Dr Chopra.
“We don’t want to have a situation where the disease spreads so fast it sort of gets out of control.
“Most of the cases in the past have been of the bubonic plague but if you look at this particular outbreak, 70 per cent of the cases are pneumonic plague, which is the most deadly form of the disease.
“If the treatment is not given in a very short period of time these people will end up dying.”
Plague symptoms include sudden fevers, head and body aches, vomiting and nausea.
Dr Chopra said it spread “very rapidly”, as seen by the number of cases in Madagascar doubling within a week.
Speaking from Madagascar, Christine South, head of the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies’ emergency operations, said: “With anything like this there is a possibility that somebody could be infected and get on a plane.
“We have done preparedness support to some of the neighbouring countries.”
However, she added she believed the plague outbreak may now be stabilising but medical staff would have a clearer understand of this over the next few days.
According to the World Health Organisation, the disease — which has struck heavily populated cities — sparked a false alarm in the Seychelles after a traveller reported symptoms of the disease.
“The risk of regional spread is moderate due to the occurrence of frequent travel by air and sea to neighbouring Indian Ocean islands and other southern and east African countries,” WHO said.
“Nine countries and overseas territories have been identified as priority countries in the African region for plague preparedness and readiness by virtue of having trade and travel links to Madagascar.
“These countries and overseas territories include Comoros, Ethiopia, Kenya, Mauritius, Mozambique, La Réunion (France), Seychelles, South Africa, and Tanzania.”
The Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade urges travellers to speak to their doctor before travelling to Madagascar and exercise caution.
Black Death warning in nine countries amid fears plague could spread on flights from Madagascar
PLAGUE warnings have been issued for nine countries surrounding Madagascar amid fears the disease could spread via sea trade and flight routes.
The outbreak is considered a much bigger threat to the region than in previous years because it has taken on its pneumonic form — meaning it is airborne and spread by sneezing and coughing.
And experts say the epidemic could still worsen as the death tolls hits 124 with more than 1300 left infected.
The Medieval disease famously wiped out one third of Europe’s population in the 13th and 14th centuries in one of the most devastating pandemics in human history known as the Black Death.
Dr Ashok Chopra, a professor of microbiology and immunology at the University of Texas, told The Sun Online the crisis in Madagascar had yet to peak.
He warned it was possible for the deadly plague to move further into the region given the regular flights going in and out of the country.
“If they are travelling shorter distances and they’re still in the incubation period, and they have the pneumonic (form) then they could spread it to other places,” Dr Chopra.
“We don’t want to have a situation where the disease spreads so fast it sort of gets out of control.
“Most of the cases in the past have been of the bubonic plague but if you look at this particular outbreak, 70 per cent of the cases are pneumonic plague, which is the most deadly form of the disease.
“If the treatment is not given in a very short period of time these people will end up dying.”
Plague symptoms include sudden fevers, head and body aches, vomiting and nausea.
Dr Chopra said it spread “very rapidly”, as seen by the number of cases in Madagascar doubling within a week.
Speaking from Madagascar, Christine South, head of the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies’ emergency operations, said: “With anything like this there is a possibility that somebody could be infected and get on a plane.
“We have done preparedness support to some of the neighbouring countries.”
However, she added she believed the plague outbreak may now be stabilising but medical staff would have a clearer understand of this over the next few days.
According to the World Health Organisation, the disease — which has struck heavily populated cities — sparked a false alarm in the Seychelles after a traveller reported symptoms of the disease.
“The risk of regional spread is moderate due to the occurrence of frequent travel by air and sea to neighbouring Indian Ocean islands and other southern and east African countries,” WHO said.
“Nine countries and overseas territories have been identified as priority countries in the African region for plague preparedness and readiness by virtue of having trade and travel links to Madagascar.
“These countries and overseas territories include Comoros, Ethiopia, Kenya, Mauritius, Mozambique, La Réunion (France), Seychelles, South Africa, and Tanzania.”
The Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade urges travellers to speak to their doctor before travelling to Madagascar and exercise caution.
