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http://mil.news.sina.com.cn/2018-03-28/doc-ifysskfh5763252.shtml
印媒：对华贸易战是美国衰弱征兆 权力正向亚洲转移
2018年03月28日 08:42 环球网
0
印度Livemint网站3月27日文章，原题：贸易战是美国影响力衰弱的征兆 表面上，美中已打响贸易战的第一枪。但会不会是这种情况：美国对华巨额贸易赤字是一件更深层事情的征兆——正在上演的美国衰落和中国崛起这个传奇的一部分？
毫无疑问，美国是世界第一军事大国，还是最重要的金融大国。而且其中还存在一个有趣的故事，那就是从整个历史来看，当金融的支配地位高于商业利益时，会如何导致帝国崩溃并把接力棒传给一个正在崛起的霸权国家。
该理论与法国历史学家费尔南•布罗代尔和约翰•霍普金斯大学政治经济学家、社会学家乔万尼•阿里吉密切相关。这些学者在政治经济学中发现一种模式，粗略地讲，就是紧随着一个国家商业成功而来的是权力中心的竞争，这会导致此前占主导地位的经济体的金融化。比如，随着英国在制造业上的优越地位输给美国，英国继续从在国外投资上获得收入，金融变成英国的主导产业。早前，类似的情况也在荷兰发生过，当时该国在欧洲商业上的霸主地位输给英国。
阿里吉认为，被金融利益牢牢掌控的美国经济如今处于失掉优越地位的危险中。这种理论认为，金融化是衰落的征兆，是把经济领导权拱手让人的前奏。事实上，很多警告指出权力正从美国向亚洲转移。当初美国成功挡住了日本的挑战，但（如今的）中国却完全不一样。
国际货币基金组织世界经济展望报告中的一张图表，绘制出美中两国按购买力平价计算在全球GDP中所占的份额，清晰表明美国在世界经济中的重要性正下降，而中国正上升。
1980年时，中国在全球GDP中的份额是2.3%，美国是21.8%。到2014年，按购买力平价计算，中国所占份额超过美国。到2017年，中国在世界经济中所占的份额是18.3%，相比之下美国只有15.3%。从美国的观点看，这张图可不好看。难怪美国领导层担心，难怪他们要猛烈抨击中国，不顾一切地努力延缓自己的衰落。
中国正在增进与东南亚、非洲和中亚国家的关系，中国的宏大视野是通过“一带一路”倡议、海上丝路和亚投行等各种平台扩大自己的影响力——这些都是中国影响力日益增强的例证。（作者玛纳斯•查克拉瓦蒂，陈一译）
Indian media: trade war with China is a sign of weakness in the United States power is moving to Asia
March 28, 2018 08:42 Global Network
0
India Livemint website March 27 article, the original title: trade war is a sign of weakening US influence On the surface, the United States and China have started the first shot of the trade war. But will it be the case that the huge trade deficit of the United States against China is a sign of something deeper - part of the legendary decline of the United States and the rise of China?
There is no doubt that the United States is the world’s largest military power and the most important financial power. And there is also an interesting story, that is, from the whole history, when financial dominance is higher than commercial interests, it will lead to the collapse of the empire and pass the baton to a rising hegemony country.
This theory is closely related to French historian Fernand Brodale and John Hopkins University political economist and sociologist Giovanni Aridhi. These scholars found a model in political economy. Roughly speaking, it is the competition of power centers that follows the success of a country’s business. This will lead to the financialization of previously dominant economies. For example, as Britain’s superior position in the manufacturing industry is lost to the United States, the United Kingdom continues to earn income from foreign investment and finance becomes the leading industry in the United Kingdom. Earlier, a similar situation occurred in the Netherlands, when the country’s dominance in European business lost to the United Kingdom.
Ariji believes that the US economy, which is firmly controlled by financial interests, is now in danger of losing its superior position. This theory holds that financialization is a sign of decline and a prelude to economic leadership. In fact, many warnings indicate that power is being transferred from the United States to Asia. At the beginning, the United States successfully blocked the challenges of Japan, but (now) China is completely different.
A chart in the International Monetary Fund's World Economic Outlook report draws the United States and China’s share of global GDP in terms of purchasing power parity, clearly indicating that the importance of the United States in the world economy is declining while China is rising. .
In 1980, China’s share of global GDP was 2.3%, and the United States was 21.8%. By 2014, China’s share in the purchasing power parity calculation exceeded that of the United States. By 2017, China’s share of the world economy is 18.3% compared to 15.3% in the United States. From the U.S. point of view, this picture does not look good. It is no wonder that the American leadership is worried that it is no wonder that they must attack China vigorously and desperately try to delay their own decline.
China is increasing its relations with Southeast Asia, Africa, and Central Asian countries. China’s grand vision is to expand its influence through the “Belt and Road Initiative”, Maritime Silk Road, and the AIIB, all of which are increasingly influenced by China’s influence. Enhanced illustration. (Author Manas Chakravati, translated by Chen Yi)
印媒：对华贸易战是美国衰弱征兆 权力正向亚洲转移
2018年03月28日 08:42 环球网
0
印度Livemint网站3月27日文章，原题：贸易战是美国影响力衰弱的征兆 表面上，美中已打响贸易战的第一枪。但会不会是这种情况：美国对华巨额贸易赤字是一件更深层事情的征兆——正在上演的美国衰落和中国崛起这个传奇的一部分？
毫无疑问，美国是世界第一军事大国，还是最重要的金融大国。而且其中还存在一个有趣的故事，那就是从整个历史来看，当金融的支配地位高于商业利益时，会如何导致帝国崩溃并把接力棒传给一个正在崛起的霸权国家。
该理论与法国历史学家费尔南•布罗代尔和约翰•霍普金斯大学政治经济学家、社会学家乔万尼•阿里吉密切相关。这些学者在政治经济学中发现一种模式，粗略地讲，就是紧随着一个国家商业成功而来的是权力中心的竞争，这会导致此前占主导地位的经济体的金融化。比如，随着英国在制造业上的优越地位输给美国，英国继续从在国外投资上获得收入，金融变成英国的主导产业。早前，类似的情况也在荷兰发生过，当时该国在欧洲商业上的霸主地位输给英国。
阿里吉认为，被金融利益牢牢掌控的美国经济如今处于失掉优越地位的危险中。这种理论认为，金融化是衰落的征兆，是把经济领导权拱手让人的前奏。事实上，很多警告指出权力正从美国向亚洲转移。当初美国成功挡住了日本的挑战，但（如今的）中国却完全不一样。
国际货币基金组织世界经济展望报告中的一张图表，绘制出美中两国按购买力平价计算在全球GDP中所占的份额，清晰表明美国在世界经济中的重要性正下降，而中国正上升。
1980年时，中国在全球GDP中的份额是2.3%，美国是21.8%。到2014年，按购买力平价计算，中国所占份额超过美国。到2017年，中国在世界经济中所占的份额是18.3%，相比之下美国只有15.3%。从美国的观点看，这张图可不好看。难怪美国领导层担心，难怪他们要猛烈抨击中国，不顾一切地努力延缓自己的衰落。
中国正在增进与东南亚、非洲和中亚国家的关系，中国的宏大视野是通过“一带一路”倡议、海上丝路和亚投行等各种平台扩大自己的影响力——这些都是中国影响力日益增强的例证。（作者玛纳斯•查克拉瓦蒂，陈一译）
Indian media: trade war with China is a sign of weakness in the United States power is moving to Asia
March 28, 2018 08:42 Global Network
0
India Livemint website March 27 article, the original title: trade war is a sign of weakening US influence On the surface, the United States and China have started the first shot of the trade war. But will it be the case that the huge trade deficit of the United States against China is a sign of something deeper - part of the legendary decline of the United States and the rise of China?
There is no doubt that the United States is the world’s largest military power and the most important financial power. And there is also an interesting story, that is, from the whole history, when financial dominance is higher than commercial interests, it will lead to the collapse of the empire and pass the baton to a rising hegemony country.
This theory is closely related to French historian Fernand Brodale and John Hopkins University political economist and sociologist Giovanni Aridhi. These scholars found a model in political economy. Roughly speaking, it is the competition of power centers that follows the success of a country’s business. This will lead to the financialization of previously dominant economies. For example, as Britain’s superior position in the manufacturing industry is lost to the United States, the United Kingdom continues to earn income from foreign investment and finance becomes the leading industry in the United Kingdom. Earlier, a similar situation occurred in the Netherlands, when the country’s dominance in European business lost to the United Kingdom.
Ariji believes that the US economy, which is firmly controlled by financial interests, is now in danger of losing its superior position. This theory holds that financialization is a sign of decline and a prelude to economic leadership. In fact, many warnings indicate that power is being transferred from the United States to Asia. At the beginning, the United States successfully blocked the challenges of Japan, but (now) China is completely different.
A chart in the International Monetary Fund's World Economic Outlook report draws the United States and China’s share of global GDP in terms of purchasing power parity, clearly indicating that the importance of the United States in the world economy is declining while China is rising. .
In 1980, China’s share of global GDP was 2.3%, and the United States was 21.8%. By 2014, China’s share in the purchasing power parity calculation exceeded that of the United States. By 2017, China’s share of the world economy is 18.3% compared to 15.3% in the United States. From the U.S. point of view, this picture does not look good. It is no wonder that the American leadership is worried that it is no wonder that they must attack China vigorously and desperately try to delay their own decline.
China is increasing its relations with Southeast Asia, Africa, and Central Asian countries. China’s grand vision is to expand its influence through the “Belt and Road Initiative”, Maritime Silk Road, and the AIIB, all of which are increasingly influenced by China’s influence. Enhanced illustration. (Author Manas Chakravati, translated by Chen Yi)
