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No bet for this match may be the best policy ;)... but Wigan +0.5 at home to Tottenham looks fair and worth a punt.

Indeed, this looks like a banker. Besides form and class superiority, Ferguson would likely want to seal the title here and use the remaining 4 games to experiment and give the youngster a chance. Man Utd at home definitely helps too, winning 14 out of 16 at Old Trafford. Placing my bet too, but...

S-League tomorrow SAF vs Tampines. SAF seems the better bet. Below is an estimate of the probability.Just take note that the line for SAF is above Tampines. Implementing another model, power rating reveal a rating 0.75 in favour of SAF win too. Statistics wise, with a rating of 0.5 &...

More from Maher paper, here http://img.90minut.pl/misc/maher.pdf Basically a Poisson distribution model for scores will be adopted. In particular, if team i is playing at home against team j and the observed score is (x, y), we shall assume that X, is Poisson with mean a, that Y, is also...

Has anyone here get down to using the Poisson distribution to model football results. This has been research in this area by Maher (1982) and Dixon (1997). Implemented both in excel, but not sure if I had model the correlation factor for the bivariate poisson model between home and away...

Support tjs too. Whatever the outcome, I have done my part.

I live in tanjong pagar and a civil servant as well. My vote is going to the opposition.