Search results

Hi Locke: Since we have known each other for a long time through this forum, let me say this with all humility: I had a big role to play in devising the 2006 model and also tweaking the model between March and april this year. The model is not without it's flaws and limitations and based on...

Well, I told GMS and his team this Jan that they should field an A team in tampines and campaign relentlessly. It was there for the picking. But GMS and his team despite having done some fair bit of legwork, did not choose. He focused his attention on MP and the best chance to take tampines away...

Thanks bro :)

http://sammyboy.com/showthread.php?92009-PAP-believes-it-will-win-with-60-vote-share That's all they aimed for. The got what they aimed for :)

http://sammyboy.com/showthread.php?92009-PAP-believes-it-will-win-with-60-vote-share Remember the thread and a couple of other threads initiated by me :)? The PAP won with the results of the model (60.1%) and all my predictions came true. Opposition will get 1 GRC (aljunied) and 1 SMC...

PAP prediction model accurate. My prediction of PAP losing Aljunied and Hougang only turns out right. http://sammyboy.com/showthread.php?92009-PAP-believes-it-will-win-with-60-vote-share

Hi..! U mentioned Aubeck Kam and that's interesting. AK is now CEO of MDA and apparently he is just running the organization to the ground. People have to follow his line or be prepared to get the boot. There's a fear and repression atmosphere in the organization and he is very unpopular...

Hi locke: I think you understood it correctly. In singapore context, it is still not clear how much swing in votes will translate into votes as there is no historical data. Hence the model is very weak here.

Well, poll prediction is an inexact science, more so in singapore when they keep redrawing boundaries and people dont give honest views. And the short time given to campaigning and the various issues contributing to swing makes it difficult. But fm whatever I have seen in 2006 and now...

PAP has developed its own prediction model using a standard data mining tool. The model tool was developed by guys in the PAP with some outside help in 2001 and refined in 2006. Now they believe that with all the improvements they have made in the last couple of years, it is a good tool as...

Hi..! There was apparently a very high level meeting within the PAP top echelons between midnight and 2.30 am today morning to make the final assessment. I would have loved to be the fly on the wall at such a meeting. Based on my sources, here's the PAP assessment: PAP will win this GE...

While I wd like to believe that the margin difference can be just 2-3%, I think the reality is likely to be very different. I would think GY's shocked face was that he was not given East coast as was promised earlier, but Aljunied. Poor guy must hv been praying that LTK would stay put in...

Yep all well :) I hv been out of singapore for almost 2 yrs, just making occasional trips. I am back as of Jan 2011. That explains my absence here :) U r right. GY's loss is significant because GCT would have lost a key ally. I am not so sure abt OYK's credentials. Would have to watch him :)...

We will know it on 8th for sure :) Sure many people are discontented, but the Opposition has to slog and really campaign. I am more happy if I am proved wrong. But this will be a wake up call for PAP. WKS wont make it to the cabinet. Happy?

I have debated with GMS in this forum years back and hence his behavior is not unusual to me. He lacks the strategy, the eye for detail and takes on too much on his plate. If ever there was a discontent quotient on this island, Tampines would be have the highest score, even higher than Aljunied...

Don't shame me :) I am only telling the reality and as some of u know, I have access to some ground data. Sometimes reality hurts, but that's how it is!

Actually LTK has a strong case for defamation. He should just sue her.

Marine Parade is still PAP without a doubt

My view is that TPY-Bishan will be a close call. The PAP strategy team after their detailed analysis thinks that it will scrape through. There are 3 precincts which will be crucial. It will be that close. Somehow, my view is different. I think CST will win it. Apparently his doctors had advised...

From all that I know and even the PAP scenario, there was only 2 scenarios: 1. LTK will stick to Hougang 2. LTK will move to aljunied. As the electoral boundaries were being redrawn (in fact even before it was completed), it was known that the chances of LTK contesting from Aljunied was close...