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Thanks :) feel honored :)

Maybe you have a valid point !

I cant believe that Tracy is Nicole. Their styles dont sync. I think Tracy was with SPH

Hi Sorry, I must have missed the post. I am sure a lot have interesting nicks; some even better than mine

Hi bro :) Nice to see u here and feels nice to be remembered. I also agree that oldies like us can take some credit for giving the younger kids some new perspective. I think a couple have already acknowledged. Going by what I saw in this forum last couple of weeks, the debate around...

Hi..! You have an amazing memory. Yes, the cancer guy did talk about horse racing as well. Yes, I did volunteer to help/teach delinquent children and was involved with 12 teenagers for about 9 months. Some improvement did occur. But my approach was not in sync with their manuals.

Hi..! I wonder what has QXP's bike at NLB to posting here :) Anyway, we sparred a lot and that guy had all the time in the world to do research, distort stuff and be nasty to LKY. TT was (in my view) a jjournalist from SPH.

Looks like you had a great life! All this is part of growing up :)

Hi..! well, if u felt educated with posts from people like me, I feel honored. Thank you :) Well, I left Singapore and moved to another country in 2008 and came back in feb this year. I would visit singapore just 1-2 times each year for a week or so. Life has it's ups and downs. But right...

Oh yes.. I rem both of them. I think MM was an intelligent guy too..

Hi..! Feels nice to be remembered after all these years. For the record, I joined the original Sam's forum in 1998. Maybe I am an old fart :)

Hey.. U still around :) Good to see u. Any update on the other guys mentioned in my original post

Hi..! For the record, old timers know that I used to cover the run up to the 2006GE and made several predictions. I left Singapore in 2008 and hence also left the forum only to return to Singapore in Feb 2011. My innate interest in elections and the fact that I had a network here helped me to...

I agree with everything that you say!

U r right. The model doesn't take care of spillover effect. It is difficult to model the spillover effect. Having said that, the NSP (though it performed reasonably) had no "killer proposition" to offer. Unless NSP defines a clear value proposition, I dont see the fortunes changing for them.

3 aspects: The earlier PAP level of margin. No major issue against LSS. WP B grade team Low key election campaign. My share for them was 61+/-3%. 54% was unexpected.

I have always maintained that my model has limitations. I predicted that PAP will win, but not with this reduced margin.

Hi..! The margin of victory of East coast GRC comes as a surprise. LSS was thrown into EC GRC (instead of Aljunied) because he wanted a "safe" seat. The margin of victory is a surprise to many including me! The WP team was relatively unknown and their campaign was also low key compared to...

U have to give it to me that the model predicted the vote share around 60%+/- share nation wide and it was that accurate. I was also accurate in predicting the precise 2 seats, though in this forum(see all the threads) and outside kopitiam talk, everyone was predicting more GRC wins. So, just...

U will appreciate if I dont give all the details, wont U:)? >>My wildest guess is that MPS session data is the bedrock of this model, correct?<< Important, but this is not the bedrock. >>Also, a smaller base of voters in each constituency will tend towards some inaccurate results as opposed...