Recent content by sbfuncle

probability has turned into professors talk. I will have to exit :confused: Before that can I ask you, if according to your data, the probability of a plane crash is so low until the point of How do you explain the past few mths crashes? There were quite a handful of it

Thanks for pointing this out. It make sense that when we go by the km travelled, car will be a more dangerous vehicle. I always have this thought that even plane can be a dangerous mode of transportation, aviation companies will not publish it and cause fear.

It will becos of fatigue, laziness. Human error Etc Humans are the one operating it and maintaining it. The more flights will only cause more accidents. Not same or less. Unless it is by robots, then I shall take back my claims. You never get to see it getting better even with better technology...

Another simpler way you can view it to understand more about what I meant is When you increase the number of flights, the crash rate will increase exponentially. So the more trips you increase and increase until when it reaches like car trips, you will see many many plane crashing. From here...

Simple. I ask you, we let plane take off 664 times vs a car trips of 664 times, would you be able to apply the same formula and tell me that The number of people dying from plane crash is just a drop on the bucket? Leemember that each plane carries a few hundreds of passengers. More likely...

Precisely becos of the more times we toss the more accurate, we need to let more planes take off in order to know the actual probability.

Long ago in sbf I already declared. If everyone is like me doesn't want to contribute to so and so You think you can be a LASUP LOR koon now with this salary you are getting.

I did acknowledge I'm low ses Didn't I? I doesn't want to feed LASUP LOR koon like you, why should I goto pte even I have the money? Similarly I don't contribute a single cents to those high class leestoran. Why should I let them huat?

Most of the time we cannot apply the generic theory of probability to predict things in life. For quantum physics stuff is different I do not understand the details but I know it is different. But eg medical diagnoses, accidents etc it is not applicable. It works more towards Either it happen...

Then all I can say is that You have been conned.

Probability is just a theory. In real life situation it is not applicable. We should aim to get the real probability as close as possible to achieve better leesult, in this case to match the number of trips. It is same as sg pool always trying to scare punters that this team full of uncles...

It is a better gauge to go along with luck. By the 1:many car trips, the actual risk will be higher for planes although the data is showing much lesser risk.

Becos the number of planes taking off by trips for last 10 years cannot match up with the number of vehicle driving off on the road for the last 10 years, not even 100years, not even 1000 years, and not even 10k years. I'm looking at a 1:1 trip risk Only a 1:1 trip ratio can tell us the actual...

See? I told you I have the ability to think and see things people cannot see. Magical numbers forming up - the world is unnatural. Numbers are my buddies. :wink: Early morning first bet already can knockoff work :whistling: Invested $50 immediately collect $640:redface: Among the low ses patient...

I think we will not be able to get the answer becos it will take many thousands of years for planes to take off in order to know the answer. It was just an assumption maths.