• IP addresses are NOT logged in this forum so there's no point asking. Please note that this forum is full of homophobes, racists, lunatics, schizophrenics & absolute nut jobs with a smattering of geniuses, Chinese chauvinists, Moderate Muslims and last but not least a couple of "know-it-alls" constantly sprouting their dubious wisdom. If you believe that content generated by unsavory characters might cause you offense PLEASE LEAVE NOW! Sammyboy Admin and Staff are not responsible for your hurt feelings should you choose to read any of the content here.

    The OTHER forum is HERE so please stop asking.

Serious Keppel Fels set to bag US$500m contract

SNTCK

Alfrescian
Loyal
It will be the yard's first significant job this year, amid a rig-building slump and a collapse in oil prices

KEPPEL Fels, the rig-building arm of Keppel Corp, is close to clinching its first significant contract this year, having emerged as the frontrunner by a large margin for a tension leg wellhead platform (TLWP) contract.

The deal with the Repsol-operated Ca Rong Do (CRD) field development off southern Vietnam is valued at upwards of US$500 million. Sealing this deal would deliver a much needed boost to Keppel Fels amid an order book drought following a slump in rig-building demand, along with the collapse in oil prices.

The Business Times understands that Keppel Fels put in a bid of about US$500 million under its Floatec joint venture for the TLWP, which will be the first of its kind in Vietnamese waters.

The bid value could not be confirmed, but Floatec - a 50:50 joint venture between Keppel Fels and McDermott - was widely believed to have led in its price bid over that which was submitted by the second-place contender, Modec.

One source said several hundreds of million dollars separated the competing price bids, though the large margin could have arisen from differing bases of designs or execution.

The difference in the bid prices may also have stemmed from the level of compliance with the demand for local content.

PetroVietnam, as the overarching custodian of oil-and-gas resources for the country, had initially pushed for the TLWP to be built entirely locally. More specifically, the national oil company was looking to secure the TLWP job for its subsidiary, PetroVietnam Technical Services Corporation (PTSC).

If strictly enforced, the local-content demand will constrain the margin Keppel Fels can derive from executing the project, if its joint venture were to be awarded the contract.

But some project watchers suggest that Repsol, in taking into account PTSC's lack of experience in executing TLWPs, may have been motivated by scheduling and cost considerations to eventually renegotiate the local-content demand with Petro Vietnam.

IHS principal researcher Ang Ding Li said: "Experience in complex projects is important to ensure the delivery of the facility and that production (at CRD) is on schedule."

In this case, the project execution is expected to be smoother if it is carried out by parties with more experience, such as those from Singapore and South Korea.

Keppel Offshore & Marine, through the Floatec joint venture, has delivered the Papa Terra TLWP to Petrobras; the hull construction for that platform was executed by Keppel in 2009.

Keppel Fels is understood to be negotiating to buy over McDermott's half-share in Floatec, amid finalising the CRD contract with Repsol. The restructuring of Floatec may influence the economic value that the Singapore-based O&M player can derive from the CRD contract.

A Keppel spokesman would not be drawn into confirming the intended takeover, but maintained that the two parents of Floatec were continuing to adjust their businesses "to match the levels of activity in the market".

"Ongoing project support and pursuits will be supported by both parents, in line with our previous commitments, and we continue to engage actively on these opportunities."

The contract for the CRD TLWP, along with the terms, including local-content execution, are expected to be ironed out in the next few weeks, some sources said.

But for the CRD TLWP contract to be effective, the field development has to be sanctioned by Repsol and its project partners.

PetroVietnam is said to have already thrown in its support to this end, by granting Repsol the required US$7 per mmBtu (million British thermal unit) sales-gas price to ensure the economic viability of the project amid a lower-oil-price environment, sources said.

This is considered a significant milestone, given that super-majors BP and Chevron had failed to nail down gas-sales terms supporting their erstwhile field developments in Vietnam. PetroVietnam had to step in to take charge after the two super-majors exited from certain projects in the country.

But Vietnam's national oil company is now believed to be counting on CRD to take off and lend a breath of fresh air to an otherwise-lacklustre year for economic contributions from the country's oil-and-gas industry.

Low oil prices challenging the economic viability of extracting oil from CRD have also dented investments in the larger upstream sector in Vietnam.

A final investment decision (FID) on CRD is nonetheless subject to the conclusion of tenders for other project elements. An ongoing bid round for a leased floating production, storage and offloading (FPSO) vessel is especially seen as critical to the project moving to schedule.

Repsol is said to have struggled to bring bids from two contractors in the running - Yinson Floating Production and Bumi Armada - in line with the project budget for the FPSO.

A re-tender may be on the table for it if either of the bid prices cannot be brought in line with Repsol's expectation.

Hassan Basma of HBA Offshore considers this a viable option. The FPSO veteran believes that, with excess capacity in the FPSO market from a downturn in contracting activity, Repsol can attract more competitive bids for the tender for the leased FPSO if it were to be opened up to more bidders (sooner than later).

A similar reasoning supports the award of the TLWP prize to Floatec before other project elements, including the FPSO, are in place.

David Boggs, managing director of Energy Maritime Associates, said: "If Repsol were to hold on to the belief that oil prices were to stay at this level or higher, and that there will not be higher contractor prices going forward, it would justify awarding the TLWP contract."

The CRD TLWP and FPSO are two of the largest floating production-based contracts in the tender pipeline for South-east Asia's upstream oil-and-gas sector.

The overall project cost for CRD was last reported at US$1.1 billion. In addition to the TLWP and FPSO, a third contract is expected to be tendered out in the coming months for a subsea installation of the production infrastructure. Keppel O&M and Sembcorp Marine will be eyeing a contract for the modification of the leased FPSO planned for CRD. Ezra Holdings, through its subsea joint venture with Chiyoda, is seen as a likely contender for the subsea installation contract.

http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/keppel-fels-set-to-bag-us500m-contract#xtor=CS1-3
 

uvwxyz

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
huat huat huat:smile:

Can buy into keppel now but slowly. I think oil prices shouldn't drop too much from here and in fact should stabilise pretty soon. Keppel dividends just round the corner too. Their div payout is usually in the months of May and August, the May payout being the larger.
 

SNTCK

Alfrescian
Loyal
Can buy into keppel now but slowly. I think oil prices shouldn't drop too much from here and in fact should stabilise pretty soon. Keppel dividends just round the corner too. Their div payout is usually in the months of May and August, the May payout being the larger.

uncle
i have too many of semb corp and keppel corp. very hard to swallow anymore.
 

uvwxyz

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
O & G sector should recover , it is just a matter of time. When it does recover it might takeoff very quickly. If you have some money to spare I think can buy a bit every now and then and also the supporting counters like Ezion and Triyards.

Take a look at GLP also. Their buyback since mid May is quite fierce.


O&G stands 30% of my portfolio. is it too much?

i keep average down till i scare
 

SNTCK

Alfrescian
Loyal
i eyeing this Alibaba very long liao. somemore recently he bought Lazada.
then in 2014, he also bought singpost stake.

so i am thinking, they maybe extend their business in South East Asia
 

SNTCK

Alfrescian
Loyal
A few stock in my watch list
1 SGX
2 Singpost

then US market
1 Alibaba
2 Bank of America
3 Apple
 

uvwxyz

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
Now is a good time. In fact GLP has been buying back their shares even before mid MAY and at above $2.


10 Jun 2016


MARKET PULSE: STARHUB, GLP


KEY IDEA

StarHub Ltd: Downgrade to HOLD on valuation
Since our upgrade to Buy on 31 Mar, StarHub has made a strong recovery from S$3.31 then to a recent high of S$3.70, or about 12%. And if we add in the quarterly dividend of S$0.05 that was paid on 27 May, the total return would have been just over 13%. Having said that, the recent strong run-up also meant that the current share price has hit our DCF-based fair value of S$3.69. With further gains from here likely limited, we downgrade our call to HOLD. We would probably look to re-engage closer to S$3.50. That said, we think that the recent developments by the company to go into cyber security for example is a move in the right direction as it would transform StarHub from a pure carrier towards an integrated solutions provider in the fast-growing mobile eco-system. (Carey Wong)


MORE REPORTS

Global Logistic Properties Ltd: Actively conducting share buybacks
Since its FY16 results announcement on May 19, GLP has been actively conducting company share buybacks in the open market. So far, the company has gone into the market on 14 occasions to purchase some 26.7m shares for S$48m, which translates to an average price of S$1.80 per share. Given the group’s strong balance sheet with, on a pro-forma basis, US$2.0b cash with a look-through net debt to assets ratio of 24%, there is significant capital to deploy and we believe that these share buybacks are accretive to shareholders at currently undervalued share prices. We continue to take a positive view on management team’s pragmatic and disciplined approach to capital allocation in current conditions, and continue to see long-term value in GLP’s shares. That said, we are cognizant of the increased scope for volatility ahead as the market continues to seek clarity regarding Chinese macro-economic risks. Maintain BUY with an unchanged fair value estimate of S$2.37. (Eli Lee)


For more information on the above, visit www.ocbcresearch.com for the detailed report.






what price u think GLP good to enter?
 

SNTCK

Alfrescian
Loyal
u betting on oil hitting a homerun too?i got 7k on xop and xle now.not much but thats about half my networth.

If 7k is half of your net assets
I suggest you
1st reserve your capital, very easy to lose 7k in market
2nd upgrade your skill or knowledge to earn better income.
3rd try to save as much as possible. Everyday save little more , one year also can save a Sum of money.
 

frenchbriefs

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
If 7k is half of your net assets
I suggest you
1st reserve your capital, very easy to lose 7k in market
2nd upgrade your skill or knowledge to earn better income.
3rd try to save as much as possible. Everyday save little more , one year also can save a Sum of money.

oil is a gamble i feel i have to make,its one of those rare opportunities when something a commodity that ought to be valuable,is selling at depressed prices.otherwise in normal circumstance i will not deploy my capital like that....most likely it will be in US index funds or etfs,or some good quality sg businesses dividend stocks or some high quality sg reits.im still young and relatively broke so i feel i have to take slightly more aggressive risks.

upgrading or earning better income must see how life goes

im already saving more than 50 percent of my income,trying to save at least 1k a month,its very torturous and tedious to live on less than $600 a month.enough to want to commit suicide.
 

SNTCK

Alfrescian
Loyal
oil is a gamble i feel i have to make,its one of those rare opportunities when something a commodity that ought to be valuable,is selling at depressed prices.otherwise in normal circumstance i will not deploy my capital like that....most likely it will be in US index funds or etfs,or some good quality sg businesses dividend stocks or some high quality sg reits.im still young and relatively broke so i feel i have to take slightly more aggressive risks.

upgrading or earning better income must see how life goes

im already saving more than 50 percent of my income,trying to save at least 1k a month,its very torturous and tedious to live on less than $600 a month.enough to want to commit suicide.

How old?
Go to study CPA. Be accountant
 
Top