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Sample count expected at 9pm

scroobal

Alfrescian
Loyal
http://www.ibtimes.sg/bukit-batok-results-sample-count-give-early-indication-around-9-pm-1358
Bukit Batok results: Sample count to give early indication around 9 pm.
May 7, 2016 18:25 SGT
By Jacob J
Bukit Batok by-election: Multi-pronged fight looms a SDP seeks alliance
Voters queue to cast their ballots during the general election at a polling center in Singapore September 11, 2015Reuters
With polling in the Bukit Batok by-election nearing its final stage, there is heightened speculation about who will be the eventual winner.

Singapore has banned the publication of opinion surveys and speculative reports on eventual winners.

However, the election commission will release a sample count of the votes as early as in the first hour of counting.

The early indication of who might have won the contest – People's Action Party's Murali Pillai or Singapore Democratic Party's Chee Soon Juan – is expected to be released around 9.30 pm.

The polling closes at 8pm, and the counting will start soon after. Election authorities said the sample count is released to prevent unnecessary speculation about the winner. The indicative result claims an accuracy rate of more than 95 percent.

The indicative result is arrived at through a random count of 100 votes from each of the nine polling stations.

The method was first experimented in the country in the general election last year. In all the constituencies, the final result was in line with the indicative results relapsed in the early stage of counting.

In Bukit Batok, the sample count had shown that PAP candidate David Ong won 74 percent of votes, which was quite close to the eventual result that showed Ong won 73 percent votes.

Last year, the sample result in Bukit Batok came shortly after 9 pm while the final result came in after 1 am.

Meanwhile, the election commission has released details about the places where candidates and their supporters can assemble for the result announcement.

The field near Bukit Batok Industrial Park A and the Bukit Gombak Stadium are the two places the party members and supporters can wait for the results announcements, the police said.
 

kkbutterfly

Alfrescian
Loyal
if the sample count result is not close, then there is little points waiting the final result anymore
 

OverTheCounter

Alfrescian (InfP)
Generous Asset
if the sample count result is not close, then there is little points waiting the final result anymore


Non-mathematicians don't understand this. They are going to construct a 95% confidence interval for the proportion of voters who voted Murali. This means that there will only be a five percent chance the actual vote count will be outside their confidence interval.
 

Debonerman

Alfrescian
Loyal
Can somebody who is at Bukit Batok Stadium where the SDP supporters will be waiting give me a heads up if you have spotted Bob Sim Kheng Hwee aka leetahbar aka God Meng Seng's appearance. He will most likely to be found in disguise with a limp bulge behind his zipper and a bulge at the side of his waist which is a hidden urine drainage bag for his diabetic condition about 20 meters away from Jaslyn Go, sniffing the air hoping to get a whiff of her scent. This is about as close to sex with her as he can ever get. He called his own mother a laucheebye you know.
 

winnipegjets

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
Non-mathematicians don't understand this. They are going to construct a 95% confidence interval for the proportion of voters who voted Murali. This means that there will only be a five percent chance the actual vote count will be outside their confidence interval.

100 percent accuracy as a result.

Only stupid sinkees believe in the PAP's engineered election.
It is just like telling us that our elections are fair when the Elections Department reports to the PM!
 
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winnipegjets

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
Singapore has banned the publication of opinion surveys and speculative reports on eventual winners.

Why? Because the PAP doesn't want any polls that will contradict their version. Imagine, an exit poll showing CSJ going to win. Elections Department then has no room to engineer the result to favour the PAP.


The polling closes at 8pm, and the counting will start soon after. Election authorities said the sample count is released to prevent unnecessary speculation about the winner. The indicative result claims an accuracy rate of more than 95 percent.

The truth is to ensure that the result can be doctored to the whim and fancy of the PM. Remember, the Elections Department reports to the PM.
The indicative result is arrived at through a random count of 100 votes from each of the nine polling stations.
The method was first experimented in the country in the general election last year. In all the constituencies, the final result was in line with the indicative results relapsed in the early stage of counting.

100 percent accurate! Which statistician can claim such a superior sampling pool?
 

OverTheCounter

Alfrescian (InfP)
Generous Asset
100 percent accuracy last GE. This is total BS.
It is just like telling us that our elections are fair when the Elections Department reports to the PM!


Nope, this is neither voodoo nor fraud. This is basic statistics. And it is not 100% accuracy either - there is a certain margin of error associated with the confidence level. But it is accurate. Why? Because the weighted pooled sample proportion is an unbiased estimator of the true population parameter.
 

Jah_rastafar_I

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
Singapore has banned the publication of opinion surveys and speculative reports on eventual winners.

Why? Because the PAP doesn't want any polls that will contradict their version. Imagine, an exit poll showing CSJ going to win. Elections Department then has no room to engineer the result to favour the PAP.




The truth is to ensure that the result can be doctored to the whim and fancy of the PM. Remember, the Elections Department reports to the PM.


100 percent accurate! Which statistician can claim such a superior sampling pool?

Then the entire point of holding rallies is all just a sham.
 

JohnTan

Alfrescian (InfP)
Generous Asset
My grassroots buddies and I would be feasting on seafood supper while we await early hints of Murali's victory though the sample count.
 

frenchbriefs

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
Nope, this is neither voodoo nor fraud. This is basic statistics. And it is not 100% accuracy either - there is a certain margin of error associated with the confidence level. But it is accurate. Why? Because the weighted pooled sample proportion is an unbiased estimator of the true population parameter.

What law of probabilities and physics tells us,95% confidence interval that sinkies are balless eunuchs.the other 5 percent represent the chance of freak accident or chee pulling off a v for vendetta and blowing up the parliament.
 

myfoot123

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
It is good sign the result is not out soon because it could be neck-to-neck or SDP could be winning close and PAP want a recount.

If BB voters dissappoint Singaporeans, we will throw more rats into that smelly town and keep Part-timer Murali busy.
 
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