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Trump getting closer to winning GOP nomination

soikee

Alfrescian
Loyal
Trump is favourite to win tomorrow GOP Primary in Indiana and if he wins tomorrow, he's on course to reaching the 1237 number of delegates required to get nominated.

Also for the first time Trump is polled to lead Hillary Clinton 41% to 38% in the general election and he has yet to start to expose her corruptions and telling of lies.
 

SarahPeiLing

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
Trump is favourite to win tomorrow GOP Primary in Indiana and if he wins tomorrow, he's on course to reaching the 1237 number of delegates required to get nominated.

Also for the first time Trump is polled to lead Hillary Clinton 41% to 38% in the general election and he has yet to start to expose her corruptions and telling of lies.


A Trump nomination does not necessarily lead to a Trump Presidency. Akan datang.
 

452SAR

Alfrescian
Loyal
A Trump nomination does not necessarily lead to a Trump Presidency. Akan datang.

Yours truly concur. A Trump nomination increases the odds of a Democrat victory at presidential election, regardless who the democrat nominee is.
 

harimau

Alfrescian
Loyal
Trump will trash Clinton!

No doubt about it. He will bulldoze anyone standing in his way.

Like LKY!
 

soikee

Alfrescian
Loyal
Trump is favourite to win tomorrow GOP Primary in Indiana and if he wins tomorrow, he's on course to reaching the 1237 number of delegates required to get nominated.

Also for the first time Trump is polled to lead Hillary Clinton 41% to 38% in the general election and he has yet to start to expose her corruptions and telling of lies.



Breaking News: Mr Donald Trump has won the Indiana Primary by a very huge margin and he's on the doorsteps to win the GOP nomination for POTUS general election.

His main adversary lying Ted Cruz is toasted and history.

Pathological liar and corrupt Hilary Clinton is shitting in her pants!
 

eatshitndie

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
53.8% for trump, 34.9% for cruz, and 8.6% for kasich with 20% of precincts reporting. winner-take-all state.
 

eatshitndie

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
breaking. cruz just dropped out, according to his campaign manager jeff roe. running low on money. staffers in tears.
 

Leongsam

High Order Twit / Low SES subject
Admin
Asset
confirmed. cruz is out and has suspended his campaign. live speech and announcement at 5:41pm pt.

What is your opinion of this analysis of the republican campaign...


Republicans have a massive electoral map problem that has nothing to do with Donald Trump

By Chris Cillizza
5:47 PM Tuesday May 3, 2016


Politico reported Monday on a Florida poll conducted for a business group in the state that shows Hillary Clinton beating Donald Trump by 13 points and Ted Cruz by nine.

Why is that important? Because if Clinton wins Florida and carries the 19 states (plus D.C.) that have voted for the Democratic presidential nominee in each of the last six elections, she will be the 45th president. It's that simple.

Here's the underlying math. If Clinton wins the 19 states (and D.C.) that every Democratic nominee has won from 1992 to 2012, she has 242 electoral votes. Add Florida's 29 and you get 271. Game over.

electoral-map-analysis-179ab250-10bc-11e6-8967-7ac733c56f12.jpg
If the 2016 Democratic presidential nominee wins Florida and carries the 19 states (plus D.C.) that have voted for the Democratic nominee in each of the last six elections, here's what the electoral map would look like. Photo / Washington Post

The Republican map - whether with Trump, Cruz or the ideal Republican nominee (Paul Ryan?) as the standard-bearer - is decidedly less friendly.

There are 13 states that have gone for the GOP presidential nominee in each of the last six elections. But they only total 102 electorate votes. That means the eventual nominee has to find, at least, 168 more electoral votes to get to 270. Which is a hell of a lot harder than finding 28 electoral votes.

Many Republicans - particularly in Washington - are already preparing to blame a loss this fall, which many of them view as inevitable, on the divisiveness of Trump. That's not entirely fair to Trump, though.

While his dismal numbers among women and Hispanics, to name two groups, don't help matters and could - in a worst-case scenario - put states like Arizona and even Utah in play for Democrats, the map problems that face the GOP have very, very little to do with Trump or even Cruz.

Instead they are, largely, demographic problems centered on the GOP's inability to win any large swath of non-white voters. New Mexico, a state in which almost half the population is Latino, is the ur-example here. In 2004, George W. Bush won the Land of Enchantment in his bid for a second term. (His margin over John Kerry was 588 votes.) Eight years later, Barack Obama won the state by 10 points over Mitt Romney; neither side targeted it in any meaningful way.

What has become increasingly clear is that any state with a large or growing non-white population has become more and more difficult for Republicans to win. Virginia and North Carolina, long Republican strongholds, have moved closer and closer to Democrats of late. (Obama won both states in 2008 and carried Virginia in 2012.)

At the same time as these states have grown friendlier to Democrats, there are very few states that are growing increasingly Republican. Wisconsin and Minnesota are two but neither is moving rapidly in Republicans' favor just yet.

What you are left with then is an electoral map in which the Democratic nominee begins at a significant advantage over the Republican one. (It is the obverse of the massive Republican electoral college edge of the 1980s.) And that edge is totally distinct from any individual candidate and his/her strengths or weaknesses. Yes, Trump as the nominee is more problematic than Ryan as the nominee, but the idea that Ryan would start the general election with a coin-flip chance of being elected president is just wrong.

The Republican map problem goes deeper than Trump - or any one candidate. Blaming Trump for a loss this November not only misses the point but could ensure that Republicans are doomed to repeat history in 2020.

 

eatshitndie

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
What is your opinion of this analysis of the republican campaign...

saw the same report a few days ago, and thought it was fairly accurate. in the last 4 election cycles (16-year span), the blue states remained blue on both coasts except for the carolinas which remained red and florida which turned purplish-red for bush and purplish-blue for obama. red states in the heartland will typically remain red as bible-thumping, gun-carrying americans still dominate the voter bloc. colorado and missouri are becoming purplish as migrants from both coasts take root and retire there for lower cost of living - with liberal whites going to colorado and welfare-seeking blacks going to big mo. if hillary can win in colorado and missouri plus florida which is also considered a purple (not blue) state, she will win the presidential race. but i doubt as trump will draw the non-partisan, independent, and libertarian votes which typically comprise 20% of total votes. swing votes from this camp of misfits and fence-sitters will be huge for trump, as turncoat democrats may also vote for him, especially those hardcore bernie supporters who hate the dem establishment and washington insiders. among political nut cases here, "enemy of my enemy is my friend" and they would either abstain from voting or cast their lot with a so called "conservative" outsider. i truly think when it comes down to the final race between trump and hillary, trump has a chance as pubs and independents gel around the presumptive nominee and negative stories start to swirl around hillary, especially when she slept through benghazi, and her state department email fiasco begins to become an albatross around her neck. trump will need to tone down his extreme rhetoric and work the middle and purple states. i'm calling for trump.
 

soikee

Alfrescian
Loyal
saw the same report a few days ago, and thought it was fairly accurate. in the last 4 election cycles (16-year span), the blue states remained blue on both coasts except for the carolinas which remained red and florida which turned purplish-red for bush and purplish-blue for obama. red states in the heartland will typically remain red as bible-thumping, gun-carrying americans still dominate the voter bloc. colorado and missouri are becoming purplish as migrants from both coasts take root and retire there for lower cost of living - with liberal whites going to colorado and welfare-seeking blacks going to big mo. if hillary can win in colorado and missouri plus florida which is also considered a purple (not blue) state, she will win the presidential race. but i doubt as trump will draw the non-partisan, independent, and libertarian votes which typically comprise 20% of total votes. swing votes from this camp of misfits and fence-sitters will be huge for trump, as turncoat democrats may also vote for him, especially those hardcore bernie supporters who hate the dem establishment and washington insiders. among political nut cases here, "enemy of my enemy is my friend" and they would either abstain from voting or cast their lot with a so called "conservative" outsider. i truly think when it comes down to the final race between trump and hillary, trump has a chance as pubs and independents gel around the presumptive nominee and negative stories start to swirl around hillary, especially when she slept through benghazi, and her state department email fiasco begins to become an albatross around her neck. trump will need to tone down his extreme rhetoric and work the middle and purple states. i'm calling for trump.



Latest poll by Rasmussen shows Trump leading Hillary 41% to 39% and that is before Trump starts to whack crooked Hillary.

What is happening in America today is a revolution. Sander's voters will turn up to vote for Trump.

Nothing can stop Trump .... in Indiana which is Cruz's iron wall and the Never Trump Group spent tens of millions in advertisement compared to Trump's spending only $800,000 and yet he wins a landslide victory.
 

Leongsam

High Order Twit / Low SES subject
Admin
Asset
and negative stories start to swirl around hillary, especially when she slept through benghazi, and her state department email fiasco begins to become an albatross around her neck. trump will need to tone down his extreme rhetoric and work the middle and purple states. i'm calling for trump.

Thanks. I just want hillary to lose no matter what.
 

soikee

Alfrescian
Loyal
What's wrong with having a bitch in the White House? The entire country has gone to the dogs anyway.


Couple of days ago the old hag criticised Trump about he flying in his private Boeing 757 to deliver his campaign speech and then retreat back to his penthouse in NY.

Trump fucked her back that at least he owns his plane and pays for his fuel and crews unlike her flying around in a private jet provided by her party's lobby groups.

Blardy bitch while she was Sec of State she lobbied for donations amounting to a few hundred million Dollars from wealthy Middle East countries for her Clinton Foundation.

Trump promised that if he wins the presidency he will get his AG to prosecute her for corruption.
 
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