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2015 Election Bookies List

dancingshoes

dancingshoes

Alfrescian
Loyal
Bookies list is out....
Radin Mas SMC : PAP-67.2% , RP-31.2% , Independent-1.6%
( PAP wins )
Bukit Batok SMC : PAP-62.9% , SDP-36.9% , Independent-0.2%
(PAP wins )
MacPherson SMC : PAP-59.3% , WP-39.6% , NSP-1.1%
(PAP wins)
Ang Mo Kio GRC : PAP-79.4% , RP-20.6% (PAP wins)
Aljunied GRC : WP-60.9% , PAP-39.1% (WP wins)
Sembawang GRC : PAP-58.4% , NSP-41.6% (PAP wins)
Bishan- Toa Payoh GRC : PAP-60.6% , SPP-39.4% (PAP wins)
Pasir Ris -Punggol GRC : PAP-77.4% , SDA-22.6% (PAP wins)
Hong Kah North SMC : PAP-61.3% , SPP-38.7% (PAP wins)
Bukit Panjang SMC : PAP-65.1% , SDP-34.9% (PAP wins)
Fengshan SMC : PAP-45.8% , WP-54.2% (WP wins)
Hougang SMC : WP-65.4% , PAP-34.6% (WP wins)
Mountbatten SMC : PAP-56.4% , SPP-43.6% (PAP wins)
Pioneer SMC : PAP-67.6% , NSP-32.4% (PAP wins)
Potong Pasir SMC : PAP-45.1% , SPP-54.9% (SPP wins)
Punggol East SMC : WP-66.9% , PAP-33.1% (WP wins)
Sengkang West SMC : PAP-45.8% , WP-54.2% (WP wins)
Yuhua SMC : PAP-63.9% , SDP-36.1% (PAP wins)
Jurong GRC : PAP-68.7% , SingFirst-31.3% (PAP wins)
Marine Parade GRC : PAP-54.2% , WP-45.8% (PAP wins)
Nee Soon GRC : PAP-60.3% , WP-39.7% (PAP wins)
Tampines GRC : PAP-74.4% , NSP-25.6% (PAP wins)
Tanjong Pagar GRC : PAP-61.2% , SingFirst-38.8% (PAP wins)
Chua Chu Kang GRC : PAP-71.8% , PPP-28.2% (PAP wins)
East Coast GRC : PAP-46.2% , WP-53.8% (WP wins)
Holland-Bukit Timah GRC : PAP-58.7% , SDP-41.3% (PAP wins)
West Coast GRC : PAP-68.6% , RP-31.4% (PAP wins)
Marsiling-Yew Tee GRC : PAP-70.2% , SDP-29.8% (PAP wins)
Jalan Besar GRC : PAP-58.1% , WP-41.9% (PAP wins)


Rival opposition bookie:

Radin Mas SMC : PAP-67.2% , RP-31.2% , Independent-1.6%
( PAP wins )
Bukit Batok SMC : PAP-62.9% , SDP-36.9% , Independent-0.2%
(PAP wins )
MacPherson SMC : PAP-59.3% , WP-39.6% , NSP-1.1%
(PAP wins)
Ang Mo Kio GRC : PAP-79.4% , RP-20.6% (PAP wins)
Aljunied GRC : WP-60.9% , PAP-39.1% (WP wins)
Sembawang GRC : PAP-58.4% , NSP-41.6% (PAP wins)
Bishan- Toa Payoh GRC : PAP-60.6% , SPP-39.4% (PAP wins)
Pasir Ris -Punggol GRC : PAP-77.4% , SDA-22.6% (PAP wins)
Hong Kah North SMC : PAP-61.3% , SPP-38.7% (PAP wins)
Bukit Panjang SMC : PAP-65.1% , SDP-34.9% (PAP wins)
Fengshan SMC : PAP-45.8% , WP-54.2% (WP wins)
Hougang SMC : WP-65.4% , PAP-34.6% (WP wins)
Mountbatten SMC : PAP-56.4% , SPP-43.6% (PAP wins)
Pioneer SMC : PAP-67.6% , NSP-32.4% (PAP wins)
Potong Pasir SMC : PAP-45.1% , SPP-54.9% (SPP wins)
Punggol East SMC : WP-66.9% , PAP-33.1% (WP wins)
Sengkang West SMC : PAP-45.8% , WP-54.2% (WP wins)
Yuhua SMC : PAP-63.9% , SDP-36.1% (PAP wins)
Jurong GRC : PAP-68.7% , SingFirst-31.3% (PAP wins)
Marine Parade GRC : PAP-48.1% , WP-51.9% (WPwins)
Nee Soon GRC : PAP-60.3% , WP-39.7% (PAP wins)
Tampines GRC : PAP-74.4% , NSP-25.6% (PAP wins)
Tanjong Pagar GRC : PAP-61.2% , SingFirst-38.8% (PAP wins)
Chua Chu Kang GRC : PAP-71.8% , PPP-28.2% (PAP wins)
East Coast GRC : PAP-46.2% , WP-53.8% (WP wins)
Holland-Bukit Timah GRC : PAP-58.7% , SDP-41.3% (PAP wins)
West Coast GRC : PAP-68.6% , RP-31.4% (PAP wins)
Marsiling-Yew Tee GRC : PAP-52.1% , SDP-47.9% (PAP wins)
Jalan Besar GRC : PAP-47.5% , WP-52.5% (WP wins)
 
S

Sideswipe

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
eat the bets which put PAP >70% to win. the bookies understand the election or not. at least 30% opposition votes in every constituency no matter what, even in LHL's fiefdom.
 
mojito

mojito

Alfrescian
Loyal
Nee Soon slate for WP is very weak this time. Shake head kind of weak. But heard at the hawker center people whining openly about ward being abandoned by PM Lee. So who knows, maybe they look at Louis Ng and say vote the Gurmit Singh better.
 
C

Charlie99

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
Based on the above odds provided by the bookies, they project that the non-PAP candidates is likely to win 5 SMC's and between 2 to 4 GRC's.
If that is the case, let us encourage the residents at the following constituencies to ensure that they take the time to vote for the non-PAP candidates:

1. Aljunied GRC

2. East Coast GRC

3. Holland-Bukit Timah GRC

4. Jalan Besar GRC

5. Marine Parade GRC

6. Nee Soon GRC

7. Sembawang GRC
 
P

PTADER

Alfrescian
Loyal
dancingshoes said:
i didn't ask, i received this from a friend.
Click to expand...

I have compared the list with the latest polling results for the Week ending 04 September 2015 (+/- 2% margin of error) and the results are off. You can take it that the "Rival Opposition List" is pure bullshit and should be called "Bookie Hope List" instead. It is either the work of a rabid WP supporter or the bookie is an extremely rich guy with a lot of money to throw away.

The latest polling numbers show that the 5.3% "LKY Swing" towards the PAP taken from the polling for the Week ending 08 August 2015 has all but dissipated. The old man may have to rise up from his grave to get this short-lived swing going again.

The latest polls for the Week ending 04 September 2015 show that Hougang will definitely remain with WP. Depending on whether the margin of error works in favour of WP, Aljunied, PE and East Coast are back in play when they weren't a month ago.

The SDP may well have a pleasant surprise this Saturday with a swing in Holland-Bukit Timah that makes the HBT GRC in play when it was a sure loss for the SDP for the Week ending 08 August 2015.

That national embarrassment who is given to ejaculating "Heng Ahhhhh"s from his squalid mouth and who likes to marvel at his CPF statements, the whiter-than-white Missy Vivian and his orthodontically-challenged five foot way prostitute team mate, may well have to find new jobs after this weekend.
 
Narong Wongwan

Narong Wongwan

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
This is just a prediction of results.
It's not the market odds.
Market odds you put or eat votes.
ie aljunied WP -3% +95 that means If you take WP any win by them above 3% you win and get $9.50 for even $10 betted. If PAP win or WP win by less than 3% you lose full sum.
 
virus

virus

Alfrescian
Loyal
Sideswipe said:
eat the bets which put PAP >70% to win. the bookies understand the election or not. at least 30% opposition votes in every constituency no matter what, even in LHL's fiefdom.
Click to expand...

yup. Opposition are attracting younger growing numbers. 30% is understatement, i suspect closer to 39% by now. FAP died hard fans have been dying fast, likely down to 21%. vote buying of this poorer income group of about 20% is not likely to yield much. i see less then 5% swing votes.
 
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