Malaysia GE 2013
Malaysia's GE 2013 is finally here.
Officially, the polls show BN making big gains. There is even talk that they could recapture the 2/3 majority.
Unofficially, the numbers do not look quite so rosy. There was been speculation that BN's numbers have been "statistically massaged" to hold the coalition together. The raw number suggests that BN is in fact neck to neck with PKR. The difference is so small that it is impossible to call the outcome owing to statistical sampling error. This raw number is being suppressed to prevent people jumping ship from BN.
Beyond the numbers, it is always useful to talk to people on the ground. The general impression is that Malaysians are tired of BN and want them out. Unlike Singapore where the PAP has the loyalty of the pre-65, BN does not seem to have any specific demographic that is particularly loyal to them. The propaganda message of strong BN support has been very effective and most Malaysians seem resigned that BN will stay in power. In spite of this, many seem determined to vote PKR to send BN a strong message. The sentiment is therefore very similar to the recent PE BE where up till the last minute, the PAP thought they had a good chance in an otherwise close fight.
I am going to be the first to call it. Given what the last raw numbers were and the sentiment on the ground, I think there is going to be "freak" election result that sees BN fall from power.
Last edited by aurvandil; 08-04-2013 at 06:58 AM.
Three things cannot be long hidden: the sun, the moon, and the truth. ~ Buddha