WP is going to win. Think that is a no-brainer.
Hougang as a 20 years long opposition bastion, is unlikely to be be retaken by the PAP with it's rather lame no-issue/smear-based campaign. There is simply no enough incentives to change drastically, no push or pull to move voters strongly either way; thus they will likely vote according to habit. In any case, the BE has been largely a non-event so far, helped by the less than charismatic candidates and maybe a little election fatigue as well.
The PAP knows that. But the PAP will be still nervously looking at the results - will their margins be eroded or enhanced?
An increase in vote share can be interpreted as an early endorsement of LHL's post-election reforms and vice-versa. He needs the vote of confidence to push through further changes - better margins would strengthen his hand. Likewise, a comprehensive defeat could encourage challenges and dissent within the PAP.
So the election may be less about Png or Desmond.....it's all about LHL.
Hougang as a 20 years long opposition bastion, is unlikely to be be retaken by the PAP with it's rather lame no-issue/smear-based campaign. There is simply no enough incentives to change drastically, no push or pull to move voters strongly either way; thus they will likely vote according to habit. In any case, the BE has been largely a non-event so far, helped by the less than charismatic candidates and maybe a little election fatigue as well.
The PAP knows that. But the PAP will be still nervously looking at the results - will their margins be eroded or enhanced?
An increase in vote share can be interpreted as an early endorsement of LHL's post-election reforms and vice-versa. He needs the vote of confidence to push through further changes - better margins would strengthen his hand. Likewise, a comprehensive defeat could encourage challenges and dissent within the PAP.
So the election may be less about Png or Desmond.....it's all about LHL.