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Property agents feeling the pinch as market cools

dancingshoes

Alfrescian
Loyal
quick question, do you think the curb is working? when will the price of housing rebound? thanks...bro!


According to the SRX Non-landed Private Residential Price Index:
- Year-on-year, prices have dropped 2.8% from May 2014;
- May 2015 prices were down 6.4% from the recent peak in January 2014.
- Price change in April has been revised from a 0.7% decrease to a 0.1% decrease.

http://www.srx.com.sg/singapore-pro...e-price-flat-in-may-volume-up-30-year-on-year
 

Runifyouhaveto

Alfrescian
Loyal
quick question, do you think the curb is working? when will the price of housing rebound? thanks...bro!

The main factor is the increment of Sibor
That's why the earlier article mentioned that it is too early to tell, regarding the lifting of ABSD
Because today's data shows a subdued single digit 6.4% drop in a year

As for the recovery of housing prices, I can't really tell at this moment
 

dancingshoes

Alfrescian
Loyal
increase in sibormeans higher interest and less buyers.

if they lift the ABSD, it will encourage foreign buyers.

now, many buyers waiting at the sideline for more dip, the last i heard.

The main factor is the increment of Sibor
That's why the earlier article mentioned that it is too early to tell, regarding the lifting of ABSD
Because today's data shows a subdued single digit 6.4% drop in a year

As for the recovery of housing prices, I can't really tell at this moment
 

dancingshoes

Alfrescian
Loyal
with the recession coming, it is possible that prices may take a dip further.


Singapore Housing Market is Too Costly: SC Capital

SC Capital Partners, which booked a loss from the sale of Singapore apartments to Blackstone Group LP in January, said prices in the city-state need to drop another 30 percent.
Suchad Chiaranussatti, founder of the Asian property fund, said he won’t be re-entering the Singapore residential market until he sees a further decline in prices. Prices need to drop by about 20 percent to 30 percent to make residential investments attractive again, he said in an interview.
“We bought in 2011 and then the policies came in,” Chiaranussatti said referring an additional stamp duty introduced that year to cool home prices that had reached a record. “The intensity and the severity of the policies caught us by surprise.”
SC Capital, which manages $1.8 billion in real estate assets, booked S$12 million ($8.9 million) in losses when it sold 18 units at the upscale Patterson Suites condominium project to Blackstone in January for S$2,100 a square foot after acquiring the properties for about S$2,300 in 2011, he said. The fund returned 28 percent even after booking the loss, Chiaranussatti said.
Home prices across the island fell for a sixth consecutive quarter in the first three months of the year, the longest losing streak in more than a decade. Prices in prime districts, with a high proportion of luxury properties, declined 0.6 percent in the period.
Since 2009, Singapore moved to stem a surge in the property market that was fueling discontent in the city-state of 5.5 million people. The measures included taxes as high as 15 percent of the purchase price for foreigners.
Interest Rates
Prices of luxury homes -- defined as those larger than 1,500 square foot and costing above S$2,400 per square foot -- have dropped at least 20 percent since the start of 2013, the Real Estate Developers’ Association of Singapore estimates.
Still, Chiaranussatti, who started SC Capital in 2004, doesn’t see the government removing property curbs for the next two years.
“With interest rates on the way up, there will be pressure,” Chiaranussatti said. “The policy is working, there is no reason whatsoever for the government to relax it.”
The three-month Singapore interbank offered rate, against which most home loans are benchmarked, topped 1 percent earlier this year before settling at 0.82 percent, almost double the rate at the end of 2014. Every percentage point increase in interbank rates raises repayments on a S$1 million property by 12 percent, assuming an 80 percent loan-to-value ratio and a 25-year loan duration, according Maybank Kim Eng Securities.
Opportunities Ahead
Others are betting on a removal of the curbs. Blackstone Chief Executive Officer Steven Schwarzman said in March that the Singapore restrictions would be lifted over time.
The world’s biggest private-equity fund bought a 10-story apartment block in addition to the units at Patterson Suites, while a group of Singapore investors in January bought 16 units at a condominium project off the Orchard Road shopping strip.
SC Capital’s Chiaranussatti says he expects some investment opportunities to arise over the next couple of years when prices decline further because mass-market home prices haven’t dropped as much as those for luxury housing. Mass-market homes have slid only as much as 5 percent, according to Knight Frank LLP.
Units in prime areas like Patterson are selling for S$2,100 per square foot, while condos in the suburbs are fetching S$1,600 a square foot, Chiaranussatti said.
“Today, if I can go back to Patterson Suites and buy at S$1,900 a square foot then I would,” he said.


http://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...t-sold-homes-to-blackstone-says-market-costly
 

blissquek

Alfrescian
Loyal
According to the SRX Non-landed Private Residential Price Index:
- Year-on-year, prices have dropped 2.8% from May 2014;
- May 2015 prices were down 6.4% from the recent peak in January 2014.
- Price change in April has been revised from a 0.7% decrease to a 0.1% decrease.

http://www.srx.com.sg/singapore-pro...e-price-flat-in-may-volume-up-30-year-on-year

Barclays Bank reported 2 years ago said that by end 2105. property price will drop by some 20%..

I am still waiting....or the economist at Barclays has run road already..???
 

Runifyouhaveto

Alfrescian
Loyal
Barclays Bank reported 2 years ago said that by end 2105. property price will drop by some 20%..

I am still waiting....or the economist at Barclays has run road already..???

a few years ago
barclay sacked their ops staff in singapore and get the support from india
 

dancingshoes

Alfrescian
Loyal

SgGoneWrong

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
more than 2,000 property agents leave major firms
http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/business/singapore/slump-sees-more-than-2/1923452.html

There are 23,947 agents left in the industry.
Think of it, it is quite saturated, this is like almost 10% of our local voting population
RUN have even been served by PRC property agents

Prc property agents are everywhere. Remember the 2 tiong bus who wanna fuck the sinkie estate manager till the end of the world? :biggrin: 1 or both of them is/are agent(s)
 
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